5:32 Naas
This Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden for two-year-olds over seven furlongs at Naas on good to yielding ground brings together a field of 13 debutants with no previous racecourse form to evaluate. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched between 53 and 43, underlining how much of the puzzle rests on pedigree, sales background and the respective trainers' records with juveniles at the track. Layla Belle tops the KTB rankings on the strength of her breeding and the yard's positive record at Naas, while the race looks set to provide plenty of clues for future events.
How the race shapes up
With every runner making its first appearance, the early pace shape is difficult to read with certainty, though the presence of several forward-going pedigrees suggests a decent gallop could materialise. Layla Belle from stall 1 and King Cador in stall 2 are likely to track the pace or race prominently from their inside draws, while those drawn higher such as Soldat in 11 and Champion Basma in 12 will need to find a rhythm without being caught wide. The key question is which of these unexposed types can translate pedigree promise into immediate racecraft over this stiff seven furlongs on ground that should suit most.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Layla Belle KTB Selection53/100
Layla Belle tops the KTB Fit ratings at 53 and is the selection. A newcomer by Starspangledbanner out of a dam who has already produced several winners including at two, she represents Daniel McLoughlin who holds a 10% strike rate at Naas from 21 runs with a positive A/E of 1.35. Nathan Crosse takes the mount on his first ride at the track for the yard, whose overall trainer-jockey record stands at 2/47 with an A/E of 0.99. The lack of any going or course data is taken as neutral, and the filly is expected to benefit from her low draw of 1. With no racecourse evidence the assessment relies heavily on pedigree and sales background, yet the yard's local record adds substance to her claims.
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2Johntom50/100
Johntom is rated at 50 on KTB Fit and comes from the Gavin Cromwell yard that has a solid 9% strike rate at Naas from 358 runs with an A/E of 0.91. This debutant by Cracksman, whose sire has a 12% overall win rate, is hard to assess with any confidence beyond pedigree and sales background. Connections will be hoping he is forward enough to show something on his first start. G F Carroll rides, the pair combining with a 9% strike rate at the track from 542 rides and an A/E of 1.01. The trainer-jockey record overall stands at 81/894 with an A/E of 0.78. No course win on record and the going read is taken from the sire line.
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3Soldat50/100
Soldat is another 50-rated debutant on KTB Fit, representing G M Lyons who posts a 15% strike rate at Naas from nearly 900 runs with an A/E of 0.94. By Mehmas, whose overall win rate is 12%, this is a horse whose limited public data leaves plenty unknown at this stage. Colin Keane, who has a 17% strike rate at the track from 757 rides with an A/E of 0.95, takes the ride. The yard's overall trainer-jockey record is 697/3537 with an A/E of 0.93. No course win on record, and the wide draw of 11 will ask a question of his early racecraft.
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4Champion Basma49/100
Champion Basma is rated 49 on KTB Fit and is a newcomer whose profile rests entirely on pedigree and sales background. By Sioux Nation, whose overall win rate stands at 13%, he is trained by E J O'Neill who has a modest 7% strike rate at Naas from 15 runs with an A/E of 1. Chris Hayes rides, the jockey recording a 9% strike rate at the track from 908 rides with an A/E of 0.87. The trainer-jockey record is 3/41 with an A/E of 0.86. With low data confidence and a wide draw in stall 12, this is very much an unknown quantity on debut and no course win on record.
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5Vienna Waltz48/100
Vienna Waltz is a 48-rated newcomer on KTB Fit from the Aidan O'Brien yard that has a solid 22% strike rate at Naas from 1430 runs with an A/E of 0.96. By Camelot, whose overall win rate is 12%, the colt is bred to be quick and should handle good to yielding ground. Jack Cleary takes the ride with his 5 lb claim, the jockey showing a 10% strike rate at Naas from 69 rides with an A/E of 0.85. The trainer-jockey record stands at 28/190 with an A/E of 0.88. No course win on record, and with draw 9 this remains very much an unknown quantity on debut.
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6Boxwood Hill47/100
Boxwood Hill is rated 47 on KTB Fit. A newcomer by The Gurkha from the Gavin Cromwell yard that has a solid 9% strike rate at Naas from 358 runs. Robert Whearty rides and no racecourse form is available so the view rests almost entirely on pedigree and sales background.
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7King Cador47/100
King Cador is a 47-rated newcomer on KTB Fit from the Aidan O'Brien yard with its solid 22% strike rate at Naas from 1430 runs. By Siyouni, whose overall win rate is 13%, the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background with low data confidence. R P Whelan rides from draw 2.
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8Miss Hong Kong46/100
Miss Hong Kong is a first-time runner rated 46 on KTB Fit from the Donnacha Aidan O'Brien yard that has a solid 12% strike rate at Naas from 105 runs. By Churchill, whose overall win rate is 11%, the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background with no racecourse form available. Gavin Ryan rides.
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9Sinanli45/100
Sinanli is rated 45 on KTB Fit. A son of Blue Point out of a half-sister to Group 1 winner Sky Lantern, this 95,000 euro yearling is the first foal from a useful dam. J P Murtagh has a modest 9% strike rate at Naas from 434 runs and this debutant has to be judged mainly on pedigree. Ben Coen rides.
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10Raqi45/100
Raqi is a 45-rated newcomer on KTB Fit from Joseph Patrick O'Brien's yard that operates at a 12% strike rate at Naas from 644 runs. First-time headgear is applied on debut. By Lope De Vega, whose overall win rate is 13%, the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background with no racecourse form available.
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11Raygani44/100
Raygani is rated 44 on KTB Fit. A newcomer from the J P Murtagh yard that has a modest 9% strike rate at Naas from 434 runs. With no racecourse form and only low data confidence the assessment rests entirely on sales and pedigree background. Seamie Heffernan rides from the widest draw of 13.
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12First Watch44/100
First Watch is a debutant rated 44 on KTB Fit. Connections have a solid 9% strike rate at Naas from a large sample. With low data confidence and no racecourse evidence yet the colt's true level remains unknown. Shane Foley rides for Mrs J Harrington.
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13Nouveau Grey43/100
Nouveau Grey is the lowest-rated on KTB Fit at 43. A debutant whose sales and pedigree background offers the only real clues with low data confidence. Trainer Ross O'Sullivan has a modest 4% strike rate at Naas from 222 runs. W J Lee rides.
KTB verdict
Layla Belle is the KTB Selection. Her position at the head of the Fit ratings is justified by a pedigree that carries plenty of appeal and the trainer's positive record at Naas, while the inside draw should allow her to find a comfortable early position. She holds an edge over the other principals on the supplied numbers. The main dangers are likely to come from the powerful Aidan O'Brien and G M Lyons runners, with Johntom, Soldat and Vienna Waltz all capable of making strong impressions if their pedigrees translate quickly to the track.
KTB Selection Layla Belle
This is the narrative read of the 5:32 Naas. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Naas racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Naas results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why is Layla Belle rated top on KTB Fit despite being a debutant?
She tops the KTB Fit ratings at 53 on the strength of her Starspangledbanner pedigree out of a dam who has produced several winners including at two, allied to Daniel McLoughlin's 10% strike rate at Naas with a positive A/E of 1.35.
How does the Naas record of the leading trainers compare?
Aidan O'Brien has a 22% strike rate from 1430 runs, G M Lyons 15% from nearly 900 runs, and Daniel McLoughlin 10% from 21 runs at the track.
Which runners are noted for having first-time headgear?
Raqi is the only horse with first-time headgear applied on debut.
What is the widest draw in the field and which horse has it?
Draw 13 is the widest, held by Raygani.
Which jockey has the strongest strike rate at Naas among those riding in this race?
Colin Keane has a 17% strike rate at Naas from 757 rides.
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