5:25 Brighton
This Class 6 handicap over the extended 5f at Brighton on good ground features a field of ten limited performers where the KTB Fit scores range from 59 down to 32. The race is characterised by modest official ratings clustered between 39 and 55, with recent form suggesting a competitive but low-grade contest in which consistency rather than star quality will be decisive. Overall the KTB numbers highlight a lack of depth, underlining that several runners have been knocking on the door without managing to break their duck.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is a lone leader with high confidence, pointing to Dreambird Dolly being able to dictate matters from the front with little pressure expected early on. Most of the field, including the selection Harry Mole, are held-up types who will be looking to come from off the pace, which could make it difficult for closers to reel in an uncontested leader on this track. The key question is whether the front-runner can maintain the advantage to the line or if the held-up brigade can find the necessary burst in the final furlong on good ground.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Harry Mole KTB Selection59/100
Harry Mole arrives in excellent heart with a string of placed efforts this year, including five from eight starts at today's trip, and his recent form figures of 223343 underline his consistency. Limited on the official figure of 54 and still a maiden after 11 runs, he nevertheless handles good ground well enough having been placed four times from seven attempts. The yard posts a 13% strike rate at Brighton with an A/E of 1.39 from 16 runs while Jack Doughty has a 15% strike rate at the track from 145 rides with an A/E of 0.9. Usually held up and producing his effort late, this will be his first visit to Brighton but the combination of his placed form and the solid trainer and jockey records here make him the KTB selection.
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2Dreambird Dolly55/100
Dreambird Dolly is a limited performer with an official rating of 52 who has become a regular at Brighton without managing a win in nine runs, though her best effort was a second over this trip. She has shown consistent placed form on good ground with one win and three places from six attempts and the booking of Tom Marquand is a notable positive given his 20% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.18 from 228 rides. The yard has a 14% strike rate at Brighton with an A/E of 0.96 from 399 runs. Tending to make the running or race prominently, she is likely to set the pace in a race with a lone-leader shape and her course placings add to her claims.
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3Be An Angel52/100
Be An Angel is a limited performer rated 55 who has shown some consistency this year yet remains a maiden after 24 starts. She has placed at this trip and was second on her only previous visit to Brighton, though she is 0-3 on good ground and has not looked like ending her winless run of late. The trainer has a 12% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.95 from 137 runs while George Wood has an 11% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.79 from 83 rides. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she will need to improve on recent efforts if she is to capitalise on the draw in stall one.
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4Honour Your Dreams45/100
Honour Your Dreams is a limited performer on his 51st career start and rated 54 who has been busy this year with recent form figures of 945262. He has shown some ability at Brighton with a third and a fourth from three runs here, though his record on good ground is modest with just one win from nine attempts and two places. The yard has a 9% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.84 from 370 runs while Kieren Fox has a 7% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.75 from 111 rides. Usually held up with high confidence and producing his effort late, he remains vulnerable on balance.
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5Fai Fai43/100
Fai Fai is a limited performer rated 46 who has been placed three times at Brighton without winning in ten runs here. He has shown some competitiveness on good ground with three places from six attempts and is dropping back to a trip he has tried nine times before without success. The trainer has a modest 3% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.33 from 73 runs, though this is offset by the jockey's solid 11% strike rate at Brighton with an A/E of 0.91 from 28 rides. Usually held up with high confidence, his placed course form keeps him in the mix at this level.
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6Bated Breeze43/100
Bated Breeze is a limited performer who has won once in seven runs at Brighton and has placed without winning at today's trip. Recent form is mixed with a win and three placed efforts from his last six starts but he has failed to score since June; the trainer holds a solid 17% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.99 from 126 runs while the jockey's strike rate here is a more modest 9%.
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7No Claims Bonus43/100
No Claims Bonus is a limited performer who has shown some spark at this track, finishing second here on his penultimate start before a respectable fifth last time. Dropping back to 5f having been placed at the trip without winning, he acts on good ground; the trainer continues in solid form at Brighton with a 24% strike rate and an A/E of 0.97 from 42 runs but the jockey's modest 8% strike rate here tempers expectations.
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8Harry Brown41/100
Harry Brown is a limited performer who has been on the go a long time and is now 0-50 on the clock. He has shown some ability at Brighton with three placed efforts from four runs here yet has failed to win on good ground in four attempts and looks vulnerable in the last furlong; the trainer's modest 7% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.44 from 42 runs adds little confidence.
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9Bluesy Moon36/100
Bluesy Moon is a limited performer who has shown the odd flash of ability here without winning in four runs. He has been out of form this year and his only run on good ground brought no joy; the trainer and jockey both have solid if unspectacular records at the track.
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10Tilsworth Ony Ta32/100
Tilsworth Ony Ta is a limited horse who has been on the go for years and is now struggling for form with a string of poor efforts this season. He has placed at this track and at today's trip but is 0-7 on good ground and the yard's modest 7% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.7 from 273 runs adds little confidence; the jockey is also winless from 14 rides at Brighton.
KTB verdict
Harry Mole stands out as the KTB selection on the back of his consistent placed efforts this year, including multiple placings at the trip, and the solid records of both yard and jockey at Brighton. He handles good ground well enough and his held-up style should see him delivered at the right time if the lone leader begins to tire. The main dangers are Dreambird Dolly, who is likely to dictate from the front with the booking of Marquand a plus, and Be An Angel, who has placed at the course and trip but needs to overcome a modest record on good ground. Honour Your Dreams and Fai Fai add further depth on their best days but both have limitations that may prove costly.
KTB Selection Harry Mole
This is the narrative read of the 5:25 Brighton. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Brighton racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Brighton results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Brighton racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is likely to take the uncontested lead?
Dreambird Dolly, who tends to make the running or race on the pace in a race with a lone-leader pace shape.
How many times has Harry Mole been placed at today's trip?
Five times from eight starts.
What is Tom Marquand's strike rate at Brighton?
20% with an A/E of 1.18 from 228 rides.
Has Be An Angel won on good ground?
No, she is 0-3 on good ground.
How many career starts has Honour Your Dreams had?
51.
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