3:30 Limerick
The 3:30 at Limerick is a 15-runner Master Chefs Handicap Hurdle over 2m188y on yielding ground. A competitive field lines up with several smart and useful performers on the official figures, headed by the KTB top-rated Lenjoleur De Palma on 62/100. The KTB numbers point to a race where course form, trip suitability and the ability to handle yielding conditions will be key factors in a genuinely-run contest.
How the race shapes up
With a genuinely-run pace shape of high confidence, a front-runner is expected to be pressed by several handy types, ensuring a fair test. Zuzukel and Mad Maxios look most likely to take up forward positions from their prominent and front-running styles, while the majority of the field, including the top principals, are held-up types who will be produced late. The key question is whether the prominent runners can dictate matters or if the race will be won from off the pace in what should be an even gallop.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Lenjoleur De Palma KTB Selection62/100
Lenjoleur De Palma is a smart performer who has already won over this track and shown he handles yielding ground with a placed effort from his one run on it. He steps back up to 2m having been competitive at the trip without winning, and the recent sixth suggests he remains in decent form. The five-year-old is held up, usually producing his effort late. Trainer E McNamara has a 10% strike rate at Limerick from 1047 runs with an A/E of 0.85 while jockey Tom Kelly operates at 5% from 41 rides at the track with an A/E of 0.91. The pair combine with a 2/19 record at 11% strike rate, A/E 1.49 and +£10.00 LSP. He is the KTB selection.
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2Cumberland River61/100
Cumberland River is a smart performer who won on his only previous visit to Limerick. The four-year-old drops back in trip today having failed to land a blow in two previous tries at this distance. He is held up, usually producing his effort late. Trainer Gordon Elliott and jockey Jordan Gainford both operate at a 15% strike rate at Limerick, the trainer from 742 runs with an A/E of 0.77 and the jockey from 117 rides with an A/E of 0.93. Their combined record is 67/618 at 11% with an A/E of 0.85 and -£208.33 LSP. He has two runs on yielding without a win or place.
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3Glin Road Boy58/100
Glin Road Boy is a smart performer who arrives in form after two wins from his last three starts. The five-year-old has already been tried over this trip twice without success and is now dropping back from 2m2f, while his sole run at Limerick resulted in a remote 15th. He is held up, usually producing his effort late. Trainer C Byrnes has a 15% strike rate at Limerick from 512 runs with an A/E of 0.9 and jockey Philip Byrnes operates at 12% from 100 rides with an A/E of 0.84. Their combined record is 70/571 at 12% with an A/E of 0.80 and -£210.26 LSP. He has no runs on yielding ground and is unproven on the surface.
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4Shannon Bank57/100
Shannon Bank is a useful performer who has won on yielding ground and is placed at this trip. The seven-year-old drops back from 2m5f to a distance where he has shown some ability without scoring. He is held up, usually producing his effort late. Trainer Andrew Kinirons has an 8% strike rate at Limerick from 12 runs with an A/E of 0.9 while jockey Conor Smithers is still seeking a first win from 14 rides here with an A/E of 0. Their combined record is 1/10 at 10% with an A/E of 1.12 and -£0.50 LSP. He has one win from four runs on yielding with three places.
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5Zuzukel53/100
Zuzukel is a useful performer who has shown some ability on his better days but has been out of form on his last two starts. The six-year-old has only one run at Limerick where he finished seventh, and he is yet to win or place in two tries on yielding ground or four runs at this trip. He races prominently, usually on or close to the lead. Trainer A J Martin and jockey Daniel King both operate at a solid 11% strike rate at Limerick, the trainer from 255 runs with an A/E of 0.82 and the jockey from 131 rides with an A/E of 1.01. Their combined record is 10/117 at 9% with an A/E of 0.69 and -£57.26 LSP.
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6Bold Reflection52/100
Bold Reflection is a useful performer who showed his only win came at this track. He drops back to 2m today after his latest run over 2m4f and has limited overall race experience with just six career starts. He is held up and the trainer and jockey both hold an 8% strike rate at Limerick.
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7Del Boys Diva51/100
Del Boys Diva is a smart performer on the balance of her ratings and recent race history. She has won at today's trip and steps back up in distance after a string of placed efforts, though she remains unproven on yielding ground. The trainer and jockey both hold a 6% strike rate from 18 runs and rides at Limerick.
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8Individualism50/100
Individualism is a useful performer who has been consistent enough without winning lately, finishing in the frame on several occasions from his 23 starts. He steps up in trip again today having failed to trouble the judge in three previous tries at this distance and remains unproven on yielding ground. Trainer E McNamara has a solid 10% strike rate at Limerick from a big sample while the jockey is operating at 8%.
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9Mad Maxios48/100
Mad Maxios is a useful performer who won a maiden hurdle on debut and has shown steady placed form since. He steps back up to 2m today after a fall last time, though the small overall sample means the trip question remains open. He tends to make the running or race on the pace and both trainer and jockey have solid if unspectacular records at Limerick.
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10Likealightswitch48/100
Likealightswitch is a smart performer on the balance of his ratings and placed efforts at this trip. He has shown little on yielding ground so far and both trainer and jockey are still seeking their first Limerick winner from decent-sized samples. This is his first run at the track.
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11Quint Major47/100
Quint Major is a useful performer who has run creditably at this track without winning. He has form on yielding ground though is yet to score on it, while his record at today's trip shows one win from 11 starts. Trainer and jockey both have solid records at Limerick.
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12Our Girl Ellie45/100
Our Girl Ellie is a fair mare who has shown some ability on yielding ground and at this trip in the past. Recent form has been poor and she was well held when sixth on her only previous run at Limerick. Trainer has only had one runner here so that remains an unknown.
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13Kingdom Calling41/100
Kingdom Calling is a fair sort who has shown enough in recent runs to stay competitive at this level. He has placed over today's trip and has decent course form at Limerick, though he is yet to win on yielding ground in four attempts. The trainer has a solid 10% strike rate here from a big sample while the jockey remains winless from his six rides at the track.
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14Kome Dans Un Reve41/100
Kome Dans Un Reve is a useful performer who has shown enough in recent starts to suggest he can be competitive here, including a solid second last time out. He has placed at today's trip but is 0-3 on yielding ground and makes his first visit to Limerick. Trainer has a solid 10% strike-rate at the track while the jockey's 2% record from 58 rides is less encouraging.
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15Build A Bridge39/100
Build A Bridge is a useful performer who showed improved form when landing a recent win after a string of modest efforts. He steps up in trip again today having already failed to land a blow at this distance last time out. The yard has only a small sample at Limerick while the jockey maintains a modest 10% strike rate here.
KTB verdict
Lenjoleur De Palma is the KTB selection. A smart performer with a previous win at this track and a placed effort on yielding ground from his only attempt, he steps back up to a trip where he has been competitive without winning and his recent sixth suggests he remains in decent form. The yard and jockey combination add further positives at Limerick. Cumberland River, who won on his only previous visit here, and in-form Glin Road Boy are the most obvious dangers, while Shannon Bank and Zuzukel also merit respect in a race where the pace should be genuinely run.
KTB Selection Lenjoleur De Palma
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:20 UTC, 17 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Lenjoleur De Palma | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Cumberland River | 22/1 | Bet Victor |
| Glin Road Boy | 9/4 | Bet365 |
| Shannon Bank | 33/1 | BetTom |
| Zuzukel | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| Bold Reflection | 20/1 | Bet Victor |
| Del Boys Diva | 25/1 | Bet Victor |
| Individualism | 9/1 | BetTom |
| Mad Maxios | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Likealightswitch | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Quint Major | 16/1 | BetTom |
| Our Girl Ellie | 40/1 | BetTom |
| Kingdom Calling | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Kome Dans Un Reve | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Build A Bridge | 4/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 3:30 Limerick. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Limerick racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Limerick results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Limerick racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course-winning form at Limerick and a placed effort on yielding ground?
Lenjoleur De Palma has won here from four runs and is placed from his one run on yielding.
How many of the principals are held-up types?
Four of the five principals – Lenjoleur De Palma, Cumberland River, Glin Road Boy and Shannon Bank – are held-up types.
Which horse is unproven on yielding ground among the top three in the KTB Fit ratings?
Glin Road Boy has no runs on yielding ground.
Who is the only prominent runner among the top five KTB-rated horses?
Zuzukel is the only prominent runner among the top five, with the other four held up.
Which trainer has the biggest sample of runners at Limerick among those represented?
E McNamara has the biggest sample with 1047 runs at Limerick.
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About the A/E figures in this preview. They are the data supplier’s: the winners a trainer or jockey had, divided by the winners the starting prices implied, over the runs in that record. Above 1.0 means more wins than the prices suggested. It is not KTB’s fair A/E, which allows for the bookmakers’ margin and the favourite–longshot bias, and the two are not comparable.
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