4:45 Kempton (AW)

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Stytch KTB Selection52/100

   Form 68 · Alan King · Rossa Ryan

   Family: the dam has had 2 other runners, none of them a winner.

   Stytch has shown modest form in two starts at this trip and was sixth on his only previous run here. The yard's 9% strike rate at Kempton is below their record elsewhere while the jockey's 14% is in line with his overall figure. First-time headgear is now fitted on a horse from an unproven family. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and that run style could prove well suited to the anticipated muddling pace. The selection carries a KTB Fit Score of 52 and, while unproven on standard to slow ground, he edges the principals on what he has shown so far.

2. 2Rattenbury51/100

   Form 6 · Charles Hills · Rob Hornby

   Family: half-brother to Dyed In The Wool (1 win from 17 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Rattenbury showed only modest promise when finishing sixth on debut over 6f. He now steps up to 7f for the first time which asks a fresh question, while the family record is ordinary with a half-brother to a modest winner. Trainer and jockey both operate at their expected 10-11% strike rates here on the all-weather. Dropping in class from his debut effort, he holds a KTB Fit Score of 51 and remains open to improvement, though the lack of experience on standard to slow ground adds an element of uncertainty. His prominent/stablemate India's Ridge may set a target for him to aim at.

3. 3Red Wizard50/100

   Form 95 · Harry Charlton · Lewis Edmunds

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Red Wizard has shown little in two starts so far, finishing 9th then 5th on this track last time. The yard records a 9% strike rate at Kempton from 109 runs, in line with their record elsewhere, while Lewis Edmunds has a 14% strike rate here from 292 rides, above his 10% at other courses. With only two runs in the book and a modest family background, this remains very much unknown territory. Usually racing prominently, he is one of the few with established early pace and his KTB Fit Score of 50 reflects that he could be involved if the muddling pace plays into his hands. He is unproven on standard to slow ground.

4. 4St Peter's Cross48/100

   Luke Dace · Ryan Kavanagh(3)

   Family: the dam has had 3 other runners, none of them a winner.

   St Peter's Cross is a newcomer whose dam has produced three previous runners without a winner between them. The yard's 7% strike rate at Kempton is in line with their record elsewhere while the 3 lb claimer has a 10% strike rate here that matches his overall figure. With low data confidence and no official rating yet this one is impossible to assess with any confidence on debut. By Land Force, he carries a KTB Fit Score of 48 and from draw 1 he could slot in handy enough, but the absence of any public form makes him a watching brief in a race where others have shown at least something.

5. 5King Gamrah47/100

   James Tate · Luke Morris

   King Gamrah is a newcomer with no racecourse experience and low data confidence. The yard has a 15% strike rate at Kempton that sits in line with their overall record while Luke Morris is on a 9% strike rate here which is below his figure at other tracks. He cost a useful sum as a yearling and is a half-brother to a Group 2 winner. By Naval Crown, he is given a KTB Fit Score of 47 and while the pedigree catches the eye the complete lack of form and the wide draw of 10 make this a leap into the unknown on standard to slow ground.

6. 6Idealise47/100

   Andrew Balding · Oisin Murphy

   Family: half-brother to Commendation (1 win from 19 runs). The dam has had 1 other runner, a winner.

   Idealise is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a 15% strike rate at Kempton. The colt cost a useful sum as a yearling and is a half-brother to a modest winner, with the dam also having produced another winner. Oisin Murphy takes the ride at an 18% strike rate here, though with no racecourse form the picture remains tentative.

7. 7India's Ridge44/100

   Form 5 · Richard Hannon · Callum Shepherd

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Lightly raced after a modest fifth on debut and the small sample means this is all guesswork. The dam has had just one other runner and it failed to win. Trainer and jockey both have below-average strike rates at Kempton. Usually racing prominently, he drops in class with a KTB Fit Score of 44.

8. 8Sequoiadendron43/100

   Richard Hannon · Kieran Shoemark

   Sequoiadendron is a newcomer with no racecourse experience and low data confidence. The Richard Hannon yard has an 11% strike rate at Kempton that sits below their overall figure while Kieran Shoemark operates at 10% here which is in line with his record elsewhere. Pedigree and sales background therefore carry most of the weight.

9. 9Clink41/100

   Heather Main · David Egan

   Clink has one run on the board at this trip and showed little. The yard posts a 10% strike rate at Kempton from 328 runs, in line with their record elsewhere, while David Egan has a 13% strike rate here from 591 rides, also matching his wider figure. With only one piece of form and low data confidence everything else remains unknown. Usually held up, he is unproven on standard to slow ground.

10. 10Boy's Slipper34/100

    Henry Candy · Callum Hutchinson

    Family: half-brother to Slipper Time (1 win from 8 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

    Boy's Slipper has one run behind him and drops back from 1m to 7f today which asks a fresh question. The Henry Candy yard records a 10% strike rate at Kempton which sits in line with their overall figure while Callum Hutchinson is operating at 5% here which is below his rate at other tracks. Data confidence is low so the form must be read with caution. Usually held up, his KTB Fit Score is 34.