1:00 Wexford
This 2m0f100y maiden hurdle at Wexford on soft ground brings together a field of 16 four-year-olds, most of whom arrive with limited experience and only a handful boasting any racecourse form of note. The KTB Fit ratings point to a race of modest depth overall, with the top horse rated just 65 and the bulk of the field clustered in the low-to-mid 40s. Several debutants line up alongside lightly-raced types, and the small samples available for many mean that pedigree, connections and yard form at the venue will carry significant weight in forming a view.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is described as muddling and tactical with medium confidence and no obvious front-runner. Several runners are likely to be ridden close to the pace, including the selection who usually races prominently, along with Walkwithmyfriend and Timandi who share similar preferences. This setup should favour those who can settle handily without using up too much energy early, while held-up types such as Midnight Reign, Soleil D'aure and Pink Sheet Pony will need the race to fall right. The key question is whether the prominent runners can maintain their position without the pace collapsing or whether the race will be decided by those coming from off the pace in the latter stages.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Brady Hartsfield KTB Selection65/100
Brady Hartsfield has placed twice in three starts at this trip and displayed fair consistency when finishing second on both of his last two outings. The yard has a 13% strike rate at Wexford from 126 runs, which sits above their 7% at other tracks, while Alex Harvey rides with an 11% strike rate here from 55 rides that is in line with his record elsewhere. He has been placed once from one run on soft ground and usually races handily on or close to the lead. The dam has produced no winners from two previous runners, but the overall profile suggests a horse who should go well in a race of this nature. Data confidence remains low given the small samples involved.
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2Rightly Snookered55/100
Rightly Snookered lines up as a debutant whose assessment rests on pedigree and connections. He is a half-sister to The Brimming Water who won three times from nine runs and comes from a dam that has produced three winners from four runners to race. Shane Crawley operates at a 44% strike rate at Wexford from nine runs while Simon Torrens posts a 9% strike rate here from 140 rides that is in line with his record elsewhere. The sire Vadamos has a 9% overall win rate from 2219 runners. With no racecourse form and low data confidence this remains an unknown but the yard and pedigree supply encouragement.
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3Midnight Reign51/100
Midnight Reign has only one run to his name and showed nothing of note at this trip on that occasion. The yard has a 14% strike rate at Wexford from 343 runs which is above their 9% at other tracks while Ross Berry is still seeking his first winner from 19 rides at the course. He is usually held up and produces his effort late though the evidence for that run-style is limited. There are no runs on soft ground so he remains unproven on the going. With low data confidence the picture is tentative at this stage.
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4Trinity Belle51/100
Trinity Belle is a debutant with limited pedigree to go on. The dam has had two other runners without a win between them and the yard's 13% strike rate at Wexford from 69 runs is in line with their overall record. There is no going data available so the assessment is neutral on that front and there is no course win on record. With low data confidence this one is impossible to assess with any real confidence on what is known. Jockey course record is unavailable.
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5Dooks51/100
Dooks has shown little in two runs at this trip on his only starts to date. He is a full brother to Amarillo Sky who won six times from 18 runs and comes from a family that has produced winners. Both trainer and jockey have 13% strike rates at Wexford that sit in line with their records elsewhere though the low data confidence means this assessment is tentative. He typically settles in midfield and has one run on soft ground without a win or place. The yard and jockey combination is shown as 80 wins from 649 rides.
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6Walkwithmyfriend50/100
Walkwithmyfriend is a lightly raced 4-year-old with three runs yielding a fourth and two modest efforts. The small sample makes it hard to gauge true ability or how he will handle today's soft ground and the longer trip he has tried once without success. The trainer has too few runners at Wexford to judge while the jockey's 5% strike rate here sits in line with his record elsewhere.
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7East Wall50/100
East Wall is a debutant whose assessment rests entirely on pedigree, sales background and connections. The yard has a 14% strike rate at Wexford from 343 runs, above their 9% at other tracks, while claimer Eoin Staples has ridden four winners from 24 starts here. With no racecourse form and low data confidence, the picture remains tentative.
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8Don't Hold Back48/100
Don't Hold Back is a debutant who is fitted with first-time headgear. He is a half-brother to Clever As A Fox who won three times from 16 runs and comes from a dam who has produced four winners from six runners. The yard have a 14% strike rate at Wexford from 343 runs which is above their 9% at other tracks while Sean O'Keeffe matches his overall record with an 11% strike rate here from 215 rides. With no racecourse form and low data confidence the picture remains tentative.
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9Palinca47/100
Palinca is a debutant with a solid pedigree as half-sister to Listed winner Shokdor and out of a dam who has produced two winners from two runners to race. The yard has a 19% strike rate at Wexford from 370 runs, above their 13% at other tracks, while jockey Darragh O'Keeffe posts a 15% strike rate here from 271 rides, also above his 10% elsewhere. With no racecourse form and low data confidence, this remains an unknown on soft ground.
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10Gregwell47/100
Gregwell is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on. He is a half-brother to Watchoutitscookie who won twice from 40 runs and comes from a dam who has produced one winner from her other three runners. The trainer operates at a 6% strike rate at Wexford from 340 runs, in line with his overall record.
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11Soleil D'aure43/100
Soleil D'aure is a lightly raced four-year-old who showed little in a bumper on debut and now switches to hurdles in first-time headgear. He is a half-brother to smart jumps winner Zarak The Brave but the small sample means ability remains largely unknown. The trainer has only one previous runner at Wexford while Jordan Gainford has a 14% strike rate here from 113 rides in line with his overall record. He is usually held up and remains unproven on soft ground.
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12Pink Sheet Pony43/100
Pink Sheet Pony has only one prior run and steps up sharply in trip from 1m2½f, which asks a fresh question of this lightly-raced 4-year-old. The family supplies some encouragement as a half-sister to a winner and out of a dam who has already produced three winners from six runners. Trainer John G Carr operates at a 5% strike rate here in line with his overall record while jockey Josh Williamson is 3% at the track in line with his 11% elsewhere. He is usually held up.
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13Storm Bresie40/100
Storm Bresie has shown modest form in three completed starts this year, finishing second in a maiden hurdle before a poor effort last time. The lightly-raced profile means plenty remains to be learned, with only one run at today's trip and a going sample too small to judge. Trainer and jockey both operate at a 6% strike rate here at Wexford, in line with their records elsewhere.
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14Vinted Vinnie40/100
Vinted Vinnie is a debutant with no racecourse experience. The yard has only three runs at Wexford so the sample is too small to judge while jockey Danny Mullins operates at a 10% strike rate here which sits in line with his overall figure. Data confidence is low and the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
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15Drom Col Choille39/100
Drom Col Choille is a newcomer with first-time headgear. His dam has produced winners and he is a half-brother to Whatsyourstatus who won three times. The trainer has only one run at Wexford and the jockey's 2% strike rate from 52 rides here sits in line with his record elsewhere.
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16Timandi39/100
Timandi has been busy on the Flat with 19 runs in the last year and now switches to hurdles in first-time headgear while stepping up markedly in trip. He has shown very little on soft ground and is unproven at this distance. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from eight runs at Wexford while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge. He usually races handily.
KTB verdict
Brady Hartsfield stands out as the KTB Selection. He has shown fair consistency with two seconds from his last two starts at this trip and brings placed form on soft ground along with a prominent run-style that should suit the muddling, tactical shape. The yard's above-average record at Wexford and the booking of Alex Harvey add further layers of confidence. His main dangers are the well-bred debutants Rightly Snookered and Palinca, both of whom represent yards in form at the track and boast encouraging pedigrees, while Dooks cannot be entirely dismissed on the back of his useful sibling. The remainder of the field largely consists of unknowns or modest performers, making this a race where experience and connections may prove decisive.
KTB Selection Brady Hartsfield
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 2:09am, 26 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Hartsfield | 5/1 | Dragon Bet, 12:20am |
| Rightly Snookered | 40/1 | Dragon Bet, 1:24am |
| Midnight Reign | 50/1 | LiveScore Bet, 2:09am |
| Trinity Belle | 18/1 | Dragon Bet, 12:20am |
| Dooks | 6/1 | Bet365, 12:20am |
| Walkwithmyfriend | 16/1 | Bet Victor, 1:00am |
| East Wall | 25/1 | Dragon Bet, 12:20am |
| Don't Hold Back | 12/1 | William Hill, 12:20am |
| Palinca | 1/2 | Dragon Bet, 12:20am |
| Gregwell | 16/1 | LiveScore Bet, 12:20am |
| Soleil D'aure | 40/1 | Bet Victor, 12:20am |
| Pink Sheet Pony | 50/1 | LiveScore Bet, 2:09am |
| Storm Bresie | 20/1 | BetTom, 12:20am |
| Vinted Vinnie | 66/1 | William Hill, 12:20am |
| Drom Col Choille | 40/1 | BetTom, 12:20am |
| Timandi | 50/1 | Bet Victor, 12:20am |
This is the narrative read of the 1:00 Wexford. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Wexford racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Wexford results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Wexford racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest placed form at this trip?
Brady Hartsfield has placed twice in three starts at this trip and finished second on both of his last two outings.
How does the yard of the selection perform at Wexford?
John McConnell has a 13% strike rate at Wexford from 126 runs which is above their 7% at other tracks.
Which runners are likely to be ridden close to the pace?
Brady Hartsfield, Walkwithmyfriend and Timandi are all noted as usually racing prominently or handily.
Which debutant has the most encouraging pedigree according to the family lines supplied?
Rightly Snookered is a half-sister to The Brimming Water and comes from a dam that has produced three winners from four runners to race.
What is the KTB Fit rating of the selection and the second-rated horse?
Brady Hartsfield is rated 65 while Rightly Snookered is rated 55.
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