12:50 Galway
This Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden over 1m73y on heavy ground at Galway brings together a field of nine two-year-olds, most with limited experience and several unproven on the surface. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with only a single point separating the first two in the ranking and modest ratings across the board reflecting the early stage of many careers. Itstheonlyoneigot heads the KTB order after a placing on debut over the course and trip, while the likes of Wunderschon bring higher official figures but questions over the drop in distance and the going.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious front-runner the pace shape is expected to be muddling and tactical, suiting those who can be ridden close to the pace. Several runners, including Unreal Friend, Petticoat Bay, Lan De Ghaire and Handsoffshesmine, have prominent or mid-division run-styles that should see them well placed in a race lacking early speed. The key question will be whether any horse can inject rhythm into proceedings or whether the race will turn into a sprint from the final bend, favouring those with a bit of toe off a steady gallop.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Itstheonlyoneigot KTB Selection52/100
Itstheonlyoneigot shaped with promise when third on debut over this trip at Galway and remains lightly raced with scope for improvement. The yard records an 8% strike rate at the track from 204 runs, matching their record elsewhere, though both trainer and jockey have relatively modest figures here. As yet unproven on heavy ground, the filly is held up in her races and usually produces her effort late, though the small sample means data confidence is low. Connections will be encouraged by that initial placing and she is taken to build on it in a race that may not be run at a strong gallop.
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2Wunderschon51/100
Wunderschon is a useful performer who has shown that level in three of her four starts and arrives with an official rating of 91. She finished seventh on her only previous run at Galway and now drops back in trip having been beaten over 1m1f last time. The yard posts a 9% strike rate at the track from 697 runs, in line with their record elsewhere, while the jockey has a 4% strike rate from 97 rides here. Unproven on heavy ground and typically settling in midfield, she brings the highest figure in the field but must prove she is as effective over this shorter distance.
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3Unreal Friend49/100
Unreal Friend has shown only modest form in two runs at this trip so far and remains hard to weigh up with just that limited experience. The yard has an 11% strike rate at Galway from 158 runs, above their 7% at other courses, giving some encouragement. Usually racing prominently and on or close to the lead, the filly is unproven on heavy ground and has no previous course form. With data confidence low after only two starts, she will need to improve to play a leading role in a tactical affair.
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4Petticoat Bay47/100
Petticoat Bay showed fair promise when third on debut over 7f and now steps up to an untried 1m. Half-sister to the Listed winner January, she represents a yard with a strong 19% strike rate at Galway from 801 runs. The 5lb claimer takes the ride, though the jockey has a 0% strike rate from 25 rides at the track. Usually racing handily with limited evidence so far, she is unproven on heavy ground and the small sample keeps data confidence low, yet the Aidan O'Brien stable's record here makes her of obvious interest.
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5Lan De Ghaire47/100
Lan De Ghaire is a fair performer who has shown consistent form by finishing third on each of her three starts. Stepping up from 6f to 1m poses a fresh question and she remains unproven on heavy ground, while the trainer's 9% strike rate at Galway sits below his overall figure.
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6San Juan De Lope46/100
San Juan De Lope is a debutant with low data confidence so the assessment rests on pedigree and connections. The dam has had one other runner that failed to win, though the trainer boasts a 22% strike rate at Galway from 37 runs.
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7Looking For Love44/100
Looking For Love is a newcomer with no racecourse experience and low data confidence. The dam has produced two other runners without a win between them, while the yard records a 10% strike rate at Galway from 105 runs.
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8Handsoffshesmine40/100
Handsoffshesmine has shown little in two starts so far and needs to improve markedly. Half-sister to the modest winner Givemehoperosa, she is drawn 2 of 9 on heavy ground where the small-sample data offers no guidance.
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9Duquesne Bay33/100
Duquesne Bay showed little on debut when finishing eighth and now steps back into a maiden on heavy ground. The yard's 7% strike rate at Galway is in line with their record elsewhere and data confidence remains low after just one run.
KTB verdict
Itstheonlyoneigot is the KTB Selection. She showed enough when third on debut over the course and trip to suggest she can build on that effort, and the muddling pace shape should suit her held-up style if she can be delivered late against rivals who may be vulnerable at this trip or on the ground. Wunderschon brings the highest official rating and cannot be dismissed despite the drop in distance, while Petticoat Bay represents powerful connections with a strong track record at Galway and could improve for the extra furlong. Unreal Friend and Lan De Ghaire add further depth to what looks a competitive if unexposed maiden.
KTB Selection Itstheonlyoneigot
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:02am, 27 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Itstheonlyoneigot | 8/1 | Bet365, 12:02am |
| Wunderschon | 7/4 | BoyleSports, 12:02am |
| Unreal Friend | 16/1 | Bet Victor, 12:02am |
| Petticoat Bay | 7/2 | Bet365, 12:02am |
| Lan De Ghaire | 14/1 | Bet365, 12:02am |
| San Juan De Lope | 4/1 | BetTom, 12:02am |
| Looking For Love | 17/2 | Bet365, 12:02am |
| Handsoffshesmine | 40/1 | BetTom, 12:02am |
| Duquesne Bay | 66/1 | BoyleSports, 12:02am |
This is the narrative read of the 12:50 Galway. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Galway racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Galway results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Galway racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest official rating in the field?
Wunderschon has an official rating of 91.
How many previous runs has the selection had?
Itstheonlyoneigot has had one previous run, finishing third.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Galway in this race?
Aidan O'Brien has a 19% strike rate at Galway from 801 runs.
What is the expected pace shape of the race?
Muddling and tactical with no obvious front-runner, suiting those ridden close to the pace.
Which horses are related to previous winners according to the family notes?
Wunderschon is half-sister to Wonderful Eagle (6 wins from 13 runs); Petticoat Bay is half-sister to January, a Listed winner (2 wins from 13 runs); Handsoffshesmine is half-sister to Givemehoperosa (1 win from 9 runs).
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