6:00 Wolverhampton (AW)
This Class 6 nursery handicap over the minimum trip of 5f21y at Wolverhampton on standard ground features an 11-runner field of largely unexposed or modest two-year-olds. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Past Passion and Cavan Lady both rated 57, ahead of Calef on 48, indicating a competitive but low-grade contest where consistency and suitability to the conditions will be key. First-time headgear on the selection and several class droppers add further layers to a race that lacks a dominant profile.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious front-runner the pace shape is described as muddling and tactical, which should favour those able to race prominently or close to the pace. Past Passion, Cavan Lady and Havana Grey Star are all noted as prominent runners who usually race handily, while the held-up types such as Calef, Agent Rose and several others will need the race to fall right. The key question is which of the forward-going contingent can secure a favourable position in a race that may not be truly run.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Past Passion KTB Selection57/100
Past Passion is a modest performer who has shown some consistency, placing at this trip twice in six attempts without winning. First run at Wolverhampton on standard ground where the yard and jockey both record 10% strike rates that sit in line with their figures elsewhere. First-time headgear is now applied after a string of ordinary efforts. The prominent run-style should be an asset in a tactical affair from draw 9, and as the KTB Selection she is taken to put her experience to good use. Recent form of 320434 underlines a reliable if limited profile at this level.
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2Cavan Lady57/100
Cavan Lady is a modest performer who has shown consistent form, finishing in the first four on four of her five starts including a win at this trip. She has already placed here on her only visit to Wolverhampton and the yard’s 12% strike rate at the track is in line with their record elsewhere. Jockey Cieren Fallon also rides to a 13% strike rate here which matches his overall figure. Her prominent style should allow her to track the pace, and with a placed effort already on standard ground she enters the argument. The family line reveals she is half-sister to Nibras Angel who won twice from 17 runs, with the dam having produced one winner from three other runners.
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3Calef48/100
Calef is a modest 2-year-old who has shown consistent but limited ability, placing without winning at this trip and on today's standard ground. Has two runs here already, finishing third and fourth, and holds an official rating of 64 after ten starts. Trainer and jockey both operate at their standard 12% and 13% strike rates at Wolverhampton. His held-up run-style means he will be relying on the race to unfold in his favour in this muddling contest. Recent form of 4U6436 reflects a horse who stays on but has yet to break his duck.
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4Havana Grey Star47/100
Havana Grey Star is a modest performer who has shown little spark in four runs to date. Drops back to 5f having failed to trouble the judge at that trip twice already, while the wide draw in stall 11 of 11 adds another complication. Trainer records a 10% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 1,895 runs, above his 7% elsewhere, and jockey Billy Loughnane posts a 20% strike rate here from 855 rides, also above his 16% at other tracks. Prominent in his racing style, he is dropping in class but remains unproven on standard ground. The combination of the wide draw and lack of sparkle makes this a stiff task.
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5Agent Rose44/100
Agent Rose has shown little in four runs to date and looks limited on her official rating of 59. She drops back to 5f today having failed to make an impact at that trip on her only previous attempt. The yard has a 15% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 937 runs which is above their 11% at other courses while the jockey is operating at 13% from 56 rides here in line with his 9% elsewhere. Held up in his races, the 5lb claimer may help but she remains with plenty to prove. Half-sister to Mystical Dawn who won once from four runs, with the dam having produced five winners from five other runners.
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6Ricky's Rocket43/100
Ricky's Rocket holds a limited official rating after three runs at this trip without success. The yard posts a 16% strike rate at Wolverhampton which sits in line with their overall record while Gina Mangan matches her general rate with an 8% strike rate here. Half-brother to Prop Forward who has won four times from nine runs, though the small sample leaves his level of ability and going preference unclear. Dropping in class from a mid-division run-style.
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7Mollisha42/100
Modest performer who has shown ordinary form in four starts at maiden and novice level. Drops back to an untried 5f today which asks a fresh question of her. Trainer holds an 11% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 811 runs while jockey is operating above his usual mark with a 12% record here from over 4,600 rides. Half-sister to Surrey Blaze who has won five times from 27 runs, with the dam having produced two winners from four other runners. Racing from mid-division.
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8Penny Capri41/100
Modest performer who has won once at this trip from seven starts. Has shown little at Wolverhampton in one run here and her recent form has been patchy at best. Trainer and jockey both record strike rates at the track that sit in line with their figures elsewhere. Dropping in class and typically settles in midfield, with a course run of tenth to her name.
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9Fancied Angel39/100
Limited performer who has shown little in three starts to date. Drops back to 5f having been well held over 6f last time. Trainer's modest 5% strike rate at Wolverhampton is in line with his record elsewhere. Held up in his races and dropping in class with no course form on record.
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10Carrow Road33/100
Carrow Road is a limited performer who has shown little in five starts with a recent form line of 69060. He drops back to 5f today having been well held over 7f last time and has already been beaten on his only previous run at this trip. The yard and jockey both operate at their standard 10% and 7% strike rates respectively at Wolverhampton. Half-brother to Manila Scouse who has won seven times from 56 runs, with the dam having produced two winners from three other runners. Held up from stall 1 but with a twelfth on his sole previous course visit.
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11Dadawada32/100
Limited performer who has shown little since a modest debut sixth at this track. Has failed to place in four runs at this trip and the dam has produced no winners from two previous foals. Trainer's 4% strike rate at Wolverhampton is in line with his overall record while the jockey's 8% strike rate here is also in line with her record elsewhere. Held up in his races and unproven on standard ground.
KTB verdict
Past Passion is the KTB Selection in a race where her prominent style and recent consistency give her a solid platform. The application of first-time headgear may sharpen her up at a trip where she has already placed twice, and the muddling pace should play to her strengths. Cavan Lady, with her course placing and recent win at the distance, is the most obvious danger, while Calef's placed efforts here on standard ground mean he cannot be dismissed from off the pace. The remainder largely look limited or face questions over trip, ground or draw.
KTB Selection Past Passion
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 3:45am, 2 Nov. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Past Passion | 6/1 | Bet365, 3:39am |
| Cavan Lady | 5/2 | Bet365, 3:39am |
| Calef | 11/2 | Bet Victor, 12:06am |
| Havana Grey Star | 11/2 | Bet Victor, 12:06am |
| Agent Rose | 22/1 | Midnite, 12:06am |
| Ricky's Rocket | 16/1 | Bet365, 3:39am |
| Mollisha | 12/1 | Dragon Bet, 12:06am |
| Penny Capri | 8/1 | QuinnBet, 12:06am |
| Fancied Angel | 17/2 | Bet Victor, 12:06am |
| Carrow Road | 9/1 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Dadawada | 14/1 | Bet Victor, 3:45am |
This is the narrative read of the 6:00 Wolverhampton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Wolverhampton (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Wolverhampton (AW) results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Wolverhampton (AW) racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is making its first start at Wolverhampton on standard ground?
Past Passion, whose yard and jockey both record 10% strike rates at the track that sit in line with their figures elsewhere.
How many previous visits to Wolverhampton has Cavan Lady made?
One, when she finished third.
What is the official rating of the KTB Selection?
63.
Which runner is dropping in class from a wide draw of 11?
Havana Grey Star, who is unproven on standard ground.
Which horse is a half-sister to a four-time winner?
Mollisha is half-sister to Surrey Blaze who has won five times from 27 runs; Ricky's Rocket is half-brother to Prop Forward who has four wins from nine runs.
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