7:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Shes Got The Blues KTB Selection56/100

   Form 331313 · Tony Carroll · Billy Loughnane

   Shes Got The Blues arrives as the KTB Selection with a Fit Score of 56. A modest performer, she has been busy this year and comes into the race in reasonable order having won three times from her last eight starts. She has shown up well at Wolverhampton without winning, finishing placed on her only attempt at the distance, and she handles the surface. The trainer operates at a 10% strike rate at the track from 3053 runs while jockey Billy Loughnane is operating above his usual rate at Wolverhampton with a 20% strike rate from 855 rides. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she should be well suited by the muddling tactical pace and is proven on standard going having been placed three times from eight starts.

2. 2Jamie Sommers50/100

   Form 334030 · David Loughnane · Hollie Doyle

   Jamie Sommers is rated just behind on a KTB Fit Score of 50. This modest performer has won once in two runs at Wolverhampton and steps back to a trip where it has been placed twice from three starts. Recent form has been patchy, with three placed efforts mixed among four poor runs, though the horse is proven on standard ground having recorded one win and two placed efforts from four starts. The trainer and jockey both operate at their usual level here, the yard on a 10% strike rate from 889 runs and Hollie Doyle on 14% from 1166 rides. Usually held up, the colt should be produced late in a race that lacks an obvious front-runner.

3. 3Moonlight Melody49/100

   Form 443640 · Donald McCain · Pierre-Louis Jamin

   Moonlight Melody holds a KTB Fit Score of 49 and is another modest performer who has shown consistent but limited ability. The colt has finished fourth on both previous runs here without placing and steps up markedly in trip from 6f to 1m, which asks a fresh question. Recent form reads 443640 and the horse is unproven on standard ground having had two runs without a win or place. The trainer operates at a 9% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 109 runs, in line with his overall record, while jockey Pierre-Louis Jamin has a 7% strike rate from 185 rides at the track, below his rate elsewhere. Usually held up, he will need the race to fall right in this tactical affair.

4. 4Rajendra48/100

   Form 673691 · David Simcock · Callum Shepherd

   Rajendra is next in with a KTB Fit Score of 48 and is a limited performer who has already won once over this course and distance. Stepping up in class, the colt drops back in trip after a recent 1m1½f run and has form figures of 673691 over the last six starts. He is proven on standard ground with one win and one placed effort from four starts. The trainer and jockey both operate at their standard level here, David Simcock on a 14% strike rate from 944 runs and Callum Shepherd on 12% from 830 rides. Usually held up, he will look to produce his effort late in what should be a muddling pace.

5. 5Eduardo Calderon46/100

   Form 244320 · Harry Eustace · George Wood

   Eduardo Calderon has a KTB Fit Score of 46 and is a modest performer with a solid recent record of placed efforts including two seconds. Stepping up in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance on his sole attempt, he is unproven on standard ground after one run without a win or place. The trainer's 5% strike rate at Wolverhampton is below their record elsewhere while the jockey's 11% is in line with his overall figure. Usually races prominently, he could be suited by the lack of an obvious front-runner.

6. 6Sovereign Bay45/100

   Form 234450 · James Owen · Cieren Fallon

   Family: half-brother to Serengeti (3 wins from 18 runs). The dam has had 1 other runner, a winner.

   Sovereign Bay is rated with a KTB Fit Score of 45 and is a modest performer who has been consistent enough to place three times from six starts but has failed to build on that in two runs since. Stepping back up to 1m today having already tried the trip without success, he is placed once from four starts on standard ground. Half-brother to Serengeti who won three times from 18 runs, with the dam having produced one other winner. The trainer holds a 20% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 281 runs while the jockey is on 13% from 426 rides. Usually races prominently.

7. 7Labiche41/100

   Form 0-3035 · James Owen · Luke Morris

   Family: half-brother to Ambiente Amigo, a Listed winner (4 wins from 23 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Labiche has a KTB Fit Score of 41 and is a limited performer who has shown bits of ability on the AW, finishing third here over 7f on his most recent start. Stepping up in trip today which is a fresh question for him, he is placed once from two starts on standard ground and finished third on his only previous run at Wolverhampton. Half-brother to Listed winner Ambiente Amigo, with the dam having produced five other runners including two winners. The yard's 20% strike rate at Wolverhampton is in line with their record elsewhere while the jockey has a 12% strike rate here which is above his rate at other courses. Usually races prominently.

8. 8Carwyn33/100

   Form 899070 · Patrick Morris · Tom Kiely-Marshall(3)

   Carwyn has the lowest KTB Fit Score on 33 and is a limited performer who has struggled this year with a string of modest efforts. Dropping back in trip to a distance he has never tried while making his first start at Wolverhampton on standard ground where he is 0-3, he steps up in class. The trainer and jockey both operate at a 7-8% strike rate here which sits in line with their records elsewhere. Usually held up.