Hector's Chance (GB)
Hector's Chance (GB) is 4 from 43. Hasn't won since Aug 2013.
- 4–43Wins / Runs
- 9.3%Strike rate
- 17 (39.5%)Placed
- −15.25£1 level staken=43 at SP
- 1.00Fair A/E n=43 · 0.85 incl. margin
- 77Highest OR
- 35dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.4% of 3,248 runs since Jan 2008 (225 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 172.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 34 | 1 | 2.9% | −6.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 593 | 54 | 9.1% | −0.3 | 0 from 6 |
| Good | 617 | 53 | 8.6% | −0.8 | 1 from 9 |
| Good to Soft | 278 | 22 | 7.9% | −1.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 300 | 20 | 6.7% | −2.7 | 0 from 5 |
| Heavy | 69 | 7 | 10.1% | +0.7 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,357 | 147 | 10.8% | +1.4 | 3 from 21 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 508 | 50 | 9.8% | +0.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,478 | 155 | 10.5% | +1.1 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 590 | 47 | 8% | −1.4 | 1 from 10 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 399 | 32 | 8% | −1.4 | 3 from 28 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 172 | 8 | 4.7% | −4.7 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 84 | 12 | 14.3% | +4.9 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 16 | 0 | 0% | −9.4 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −9.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Cullentry Royal (GB) (4 wins).
The wins came over 1m6f–2m2f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cullentry Royal (GB) | 39 | 4 | 1m6f–2m2f | — |
| Allez Karakoz (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 21 | 3 | 14% | +0.75 |
| Good | 9 | 1 | 11% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 27 | 2 | 7% | −17.25 |
| Class 4 | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| Class 6 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +15.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempton (AW) | 11 | 2 | 18% | +4.75 |
| Newbury | 7 | 1 | 14% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Sandown | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Windsor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Goodwood | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Warwick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 28 | 3 | 11% | −6.25 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 10 | 1 | 10% | −4.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tate | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.00 |
| Martin Lane | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| George Baker | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Neil Callan | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.75 |
| Felix De Giles | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| James Doyle | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Timmy Murphy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrew Tinkler | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Frederik Tylicki | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Luke Morris | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Joe Fanning | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pat Cosgrave | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| George Buckell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr Simon Walker | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thomas Brown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Miss Serena Brotherton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Robert Winston | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| John Fahy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Queally | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieren Fallon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Hughes | 1 | 1 | 100% | +11.00 |
| Frankie McDonald | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Kingscote | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 38 | 4 | 11% | −10.25 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 14 | 0 | 0% | −14.00 |
| 2014 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2013 | 10 | 2 | 20% | +2.00 |
| 2012 | 12 | 2 | 17% | +3.75 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 40 | 4 | 10% | −12.25 |
| Hurdle | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Hector's Chance won?
- Hector's Chance (GB) won 4 of 43 archived starts between 2011 and 2015, a strike rate of 9.3%. Placed 17 times in total (39.5% of starts).
- Who trained Hector's Chance?
- Hector's Chance (GB) was trained by Heather Main on the most recent run on record, at Kempton (AW) on 6 October 2015.
- Who is Hector's Chance's sire?
- Hector's Chance (GB) is by Byron (GB) out of Fleur A Lay (USA), whose sire is Mr Greeley.
- What going does Hector's Chance prefer?
- Hector's Chance (GB) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 3 wins from 21 starts (14.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Hector's Chance's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 70, from the run on 6 October 2015. The highest on record is 77.
- What is Hector's Chance's sire's record?
- Byron (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.4% of 3,248 runs since Jan 2008 (225 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 172.
- Who are Hector's Chance's siblings?
- Out of Fleur A Lay (USA), Hector's Chance (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Cullentry Royal (GB) (4). The wins came over 1m6f–2m2f. As at Oct 2026.