What is Thomas Brown's strike rate?

Thomas Brown has won 110 of 914 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Thomas Brown do best at?

Yarmouth by strike rate: 6 wins from 30 rides (20%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Thomas Brown ride most for?

Andrew Balding, with 170 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (14.7%).

What is Thomas Brown's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 910 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Thomas Brown

914 rides in the lifetime window · 495 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Aug 2017 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

110–914

Wins / Runs

12%

Strike rate

n=914

278 (30%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=910 · 0.91 incl. margin

−197.39

£1 level stake

n=914 at SP · −21.6%

£792k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 110 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (116 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 914 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jan–Feb 30.9% when favourite Andrew Balding: 14.7% from 170 Claiming: 12.5% Rode the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Yarmouth (20%, n=30), clear of the rider's 12% baseline. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6% (n=117, Fair A/E 0.95). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 7.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −62.13 to a £1 stake over 145 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Andrew Balding supplied 19% of the rides and edges the rider's average (14.7% vs 12%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well off a 31-60-day break (18.9%, n=143). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 4.3% over 69 rides, 7.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.54 across 70 rides (5.7% strike, −46.34 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The standout partner of the record was Mubtadi (GB) — 6 wins from 7 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.7%−0.3

n=495 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −103.49

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.8%+1.8

n=116 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −40.70

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.6%−4.4

n=145 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −62.13

When favourite

30.9%

n=110 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +5.48

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

12.5%+0.5

n=648 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −180.52

Big fields · 14+ runners

6%−6.0

n=117 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −36.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−12.0

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Ismail Mohammed 21.3% vs 12% · n=122

Off a 31-60-day break 18.9% vs 12% · n=143

Off a break of 180+ days 4.3% vs 12% · n=69

At Yarmouth 20% vs 12% · n=30

On Soft going 5.7% vs 12% · n=70

With first-time headgear 19% vs 12% · n=42

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 351 51 14.5% −48.58

Good to Firm 193 22 11.4% −58.35

Good 179 17 9.5% −50.12

Good to Soft 86 11 12.8% +14.00

Soft 70 4 5.7% −46.34

Firm 21 2 9.5% −9.50

Heavy 14 3 21.4% +1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 110 15 13.6% −26.25

Wolverhampton (AW) 104 17 16.3% +20.82

Kempton (AW) 97 13 13.4% −32.38

Bath 44 4 9.1% −20.00

Windsor 44 7 15.9% +7.75

Salisbury 35 4 11.4% −9.12

Brighton 32 4 12.5% −4.50

Yarmouth 30 6 20% −1.85

Nottingham 27 2 7.4% −12.50

Lingfield 26 3 11.5% −5.00

Leicester 26 5 19.2% +18.00

Ascot 25 1 4% −19.00

Doncaster 24 0 0% −24.00

Chepstow 24 2 8.3% −13.50

Goodwood 23 3 13% −1.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 369 43 11.7% −88.22

Class 6 259 38 14.7% −34.80

Class 4 160 18 11.3% −32.25

Class 2 66 7 10.6% −7.37

Class 3 44 4 9.1% −18.75

Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 7 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 123 37 30.1% 1.09 +5.23

2nd–3rd fav 221 37 16.7% 1.04 −20.62

4th–6th fav 297 31 10.4% 1.25 −7.00

7th+ in betting 273 5 1.8% 0.53 −175.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bold Cross (IRE) 12 3 5 21 Aug 14

Dream Farr (IRE) 8 2 4 12 Aug 17

Rustique (GB) 8 2 3 23 Mar 17

Rawaki (IRE) 8 3 5 26 Nov 14

Monteamiata (IRE) 7 1 4 5 Jul 17

Wily Rumpus (IRE) 7 1 2 15 Apr 17

Poet's Beauty (IRE) 7 2 6 15 Jul 16

Zampa Manos (USA) 7 1 2 18 Jun 15

Dungannon (GB) 7 1 2 28 Mar 15

Foxhaven (GB) 7 2 3 2 Sep 14

Light Burst (USA) 7 1 2 20 Sep 13

Mubtadi (GB) 7 6 6 19 Jun 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 495 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

182711811161113101039

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardAndrew Balding

19% of all rides
14.7% SR · A/E 0.98

TrainerRWSR£1

Andrew Balding 170 25 14.7% −23.09

Ed Walker 124 14 11.3% −23.25

Ismail Mohammed 122 26 21.3% +74.32

Lee Carter 41 4 9.8% −16.00

Patrick Chamings 31 3 9.7% −15.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

110

Archived wins

£792k

Prize money

2013

Best season · 51 wins

Educate (GB) — 57th John Smith's Cup (Heritage Handicap) York · Jul 2016 · Class 2

£124,500

Mysterious Man (IRE) — Fly Easyjet From London Southend Airport Handicap Newmarket · Aug 2013 · Class 2

£25,876

Rawaki (IRE) — Totequadpot Four Places In Four Races Handicap Windsor · Jun 2013 · Class 2

£12,938

Notable horses

Mubtadi (GB) Bold Cross (IRE) Rawaki (IRE) Sylvia Pankhurst (IRE) Dream Farr (IRE) Rustique (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cape Cross (IRE) 25% · 6–24

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Poet's Voice (GB) 22.2% · 4–18

Progeny have won 10.1% of 6,039 runs since 2008 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 263. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.

Iffraaj (GB) 23.5% · 4–17

Progeny have won 10.6% of 13,952 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 489.

Oasis Dream (GB) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,002 runs since 2008 (1,509 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 482. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Dream Ahead (USA) 20% · 3–15

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,679 runs since 2008 (528 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,217 runs since 2008 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 914 · newest first

The latest 50 of 914 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 April 2010 to 12 August 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Aug 17 Lingfield Dream Farr (IRE)T: Ed Walker Play Roulette At 188bet HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 7/2

12 Aug 17 Lingfield Abel Tasman (GB)T: Ed Walker Uspga Golf At 188bet Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 9/1

07 Aug 17 Salisbury Di Alta (IRE)T: Ed Walker Bathwick Tyres Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Good · 8 ran 5th 8/1

24 Jul 17 Windsor Sky Eagle (IRE)T: Ed Walker Sky Bet Horseracing Cash Out Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 16th 25/1

24 Jul 17 Windsor Di Alta (IRE)T: Ed Walker Ebf Stallions Breeding Winners Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 2/1

22 Jul 17 Lingfield Bryght Boy (GB)T: Ed Walker 188Bet HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 7/1

21 Jul 17 Newbury Maygold (GB)T: Ed Walker bet365 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 16/1

19 Jul 17 Yarmouth Brorocco (GB)T: Andrew Balding Diomed Development HandicapClass 2 · 10f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

11 Jul 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Four Fifty Three (GB)T: Mark H Tompkins Signal 107 More Of Your Music Novice Auction StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 250/1

10 Jul 17 Ripon Romanor (GB)T: Ed Walker Sanlam Private Wealth And Guests HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Good · 6 ran 5th 12/1

07 Jul 17 Doncaster Boychick (IRE)T: Ed Walker Betfair Each Way Edge Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 2nd 11/4J

07 Jul 17 Doncaster Di Alta (IRE)T: Ed Walker Chesterfield Estates/EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 8/1

07 Jul 17 Doncaster Clearance (GB)T: Mark H Tompkins Jollys Jewellers Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 100/1

06 Jul 17 Yarmouth Bay Watch (IRE)T: Andrew Balding Grosvenor Casino Magic Queen Tribute Evening HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 20/1

05 Jul 17 Kempton (AW) Monteamiata (IRE)T: Ed Walker 32Red.com HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 5th 12/1

05 Jul 17 Kempton (AW) Miss Liguria (GB)T: Ed Walker 100% Profit Boost At 32redsport.com Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 3rd 33/1

30 Jun 17 Doncaster Bryght Boy (GB)T: Ed Walker 188Bet Handicap (Rnd)Class 5 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 7th 15/2

26 Jun 17 Chepstow Jinkie Pink (IRE)T: Ed Walker Feeder - The Homecoming Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 11/2

24 Jun 17 Ascot Arthur Mc Bride (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race)Class 2 · 21.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 9th 66/1

24 Jun 17 Ascot Captain Colby (USA)T: Ed Walker Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 27 ran 22nd 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Thomas Brown's strike rate?: Thomas Brown has won 110 of 914 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Thomas Brown do best at?: Yarmouth by strike rate: 6 wins from 30 rides (20%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Thomas Brown ride most for?: Andrew Balding, with 170 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (14.7%).
What is Thomas Brown's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 910 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.