What is Frankie McDonald's strike rate?

Frankie McDonald has won 66 of 1,448 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Frankie McDonald do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 14 wins from 159 rides (8.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Frankie McDonald ride most for?

Richard Hannon Snr, with 86 rides since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (7%).

What is Frankie McDonald's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 1,439 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Frankie McDonald

1,448 rides in the lifetime window · 881 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2014 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

66–1,448

Wins / Runs

4.6%

Strike rate

n=1,448

210 (15%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=1,439 · 0.79 incl. margin

−765.63

£1 level stake

n=1,448 at SP · −52.9%

£354k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 210 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (68 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,448 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Richard Hannon Snr: 7% from 86 LTO winners: 13.2%

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (8.8%, n=159), clear of the rider's 4.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.2% (n=68, Fair A/E 1.19). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −143.84 to a £1 stake over 245 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Richard Hannon Snr supplied 6% of the rides and edges the rider's average (7% vs 4.6%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (10.5%, n=105) and at trips under 6f (9.2%, n=229). The standout partner of the record was Lesley's Choice (GB) — 5 wins from 12 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.4%−1.2

n=850 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −536.51

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.2%+8.6

n=68 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −19.67

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.3%−1.3

n=245 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −143.84

When favourite

52.2%

n=23 · A/E 1.78 · £1 +11.17

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.5%−1.1

n=231 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −87.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.6

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 13.2% vs 4.6% · n=68

Off a 0-7-day break 10.5% vs 4.6% · n=105

At trips under 6f 9.2% vs 4.6% · n=229

With Mark Loughnane 10.9% vs 4.6% · n=46

At Southwell (AW) 8.8% vs 4.6% · n=159

With Alastair Lidderdale 10.3% vs 4.6% · n=39

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,447 66 4.6% −764.63

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 775 37 4.8% −362.65

Good to Firm 291 10 3.4% −183.17

Good 176 2 1.1% −159.09

Good to Soft 78 7 9% −3.00

Soft 67 5 7.5% −45.34

Firm 46 4 8.7% −3.88

Heavy 15 1 6.7% −8.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 212 8 3.8% −121.25

Lingfield 202 10 5% −84.25

Kempton 190 5 2.6% −138.00

Southwell (AW) 159 14 8.8% −7.15

Bath 80 6 7.5% −14.38

Newbury 52 1 1.9% −26.00

Nottingham 47 1 2.1% −41.50

Chepstow 45 1 2.2% −42.50

Brighton 44 0 0% −44.00

Salisbury 41 1 2.4% −32.00

Windsor 38 0 0% −38.00

Lingfield 38 3 7.9% −21.59

Leicester 37 3 8.1% +15.00

Folkestone 35 2 5.7% +2.75

Goodwood 24 0 0% −24.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 700 38 5.4% −297.71

Class 5 523 19 3.6% −286.50

Class 4 128 5 3.9% −104.75

Class 2 47 1 2.1% −42.67

Class 3 35 3 8.6% −19.00

Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 7 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 32 13 40.6% 1.53 +7.67

2nd–3rd fav 121 21 17.4% 1.23 −10.80

4th–6th fav 358 20 5.6% 0.92 −120.50

7th+ in betting 937 12 1.3% 0.52 −642.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lesley's Choice (GB) 12 5 8 15 Jul 10

Captain Kallis (IRE) 11 1 4 14 Feb 10

Pepin (IRE) 11 1 2 23 Oct 09

Logans Lad (IRE) 9 2 4 30 Sep 14

Lucky Dottie (GB) 8 1 1 28 Oct 14

Cheers (GB) 8 1 2 8 Aug 12

Triskaidekaphobia (GB) 8 1 1 4 Jul 11

Maddy (GB) 8 2 3 1 Jun 09

Royal Alcor (IRE) 7 2 3 9 Mar 12

Defector (IRE) 7 0 1 16 Sep 11

Princess Valerina (GB) 7 0 0 3 Mar 10

Across The Sands (GB) 7 0 1 26 Feb 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 881 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

654453653564

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Hannon Snr

6% of all rides
7% SR · A/E 1.04

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Hannon Snr 86 6 7% −12.25

Henry Candy 71 6 8.5% −34.84

Paul Midgley 60 2 3.3% −22.00

Derek Haydn Jones 60 2 3.3% −25.50

Jane Chapple-Hyam 52 1 1.9% −47.50

Mark Loughnane 46 5 10.9% −9.00

Alastair Lidderdale 39 4 10.3% −13.40

Paul Fitzsimons 32 2 6.3% +36.00

Peter Winkworth 31 1 3.2% −14.00

Linda Jewell 30 0 0% −30.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

101

Archived wins

£634k

Prize money

2005

Best season · 23 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Look Busy (IRE) — Joyce And Keith Saunders Conditions Stakes Beverley · May 2008 · Class 2

£12,462

Abientot (IRE) — Links Of London Stakes Handicap Goodwood · Jul 2005 · Class 4

£9,303

Intriguing Glimpse (GB) — Toteexacta Brighton Dash Handicap Brighton · Aug 2005 · Class 4

£8,470

Notable horses

Lesley's Choice (GB) Abientot (IRE) Logans Lad (IRE) Intriguing Glimpse (GB) Maddy (GB) Royal Alcor (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bertolini (USA) 5.7% · 2–35

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Compton Place (GB) 0% · 0–32

Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.

Captain Rio (GB) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Royal Applause (GB) 6.7% · 2–30

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Avonbridge (GB) 0% · 0–25

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,930 runs since 2009 (262 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 795.

Piccolo (GB) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,233 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,233 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 28 October 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Oct 14 Windsor Lucky Dottie (GB)T: Pat Phelan 188bet Casino HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 66/1

24 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) The Firm (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Exclusive Free Bets At Monsterbet HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 9/2

16 Oct 14 Brighton Trust Me Boy (GB)T: John E Long ChoiceBet Number One Telephone Betting 08000126499 Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 25/1

13 Oct 14 Windsor First In Command (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Ladbrokes HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Heavy · 15 ran 13th 50/1

11 Oct 14 Newmarket Ventura Quest (USA)T: Richard Fahey Betfred TV Stakes (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 12f · Good · 24 ran 18th 50/1

09 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Yourinthewill (USA)T: Mark Loughnane Betting Shop Solutions Powered By Betconstruct HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 12/1

09 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Bonfire Heart (GB)T: Mark Loughnane EBF Stallions betting.co.uk - Terrific Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 22/1

30 Sep 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Logans Lad (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Champions League Betting Tips At Bookies.com HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 3/1J

30 Sep 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Shimmering Silver (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Price Boosts Galore At Bookmakers.co.uk Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 25/1

24 Sep 14 Redcar Logans Lad (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Racing Replay, All Today's Racing Sky432 HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 20 ran 13th 16/1

20 Sep 14 Newbury Ventura Quest (USA)T: Richard Fahey Dubai Duty Free HandicapClass 2 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 40/1

13 Sep 14 Wolverhampton (AW) The Firm (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Book Hospitality At Wolverhampton Racecourse HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 5/1

13 Sep 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Aussie Sky (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Follow Us On Twitter At WolvesRaces HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 20/1

11 Sep 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Bonfire Heart (GB)T: Mark Loughnane Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 22/1

11 Sep 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Shimmering Silver (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 40/1

09 Sep 14 Redcar Random (GB)T: Mark Loughnane Racing UK Anywhere Available Now Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 25/1

05 Sep 14 Haydock First In Command (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Betfred Jobwise HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good · 16 ran 12th 25/1

04 Sep 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Grey Star (GB)T: Mark Loughnane Monsterbet Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 50/1

03 Sep 14 Bath My New Angel (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Bathwick Car And Van Hire HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 13 ran 7th 5/1

29 Aug 14 Wolverhampton (AW) The Firm (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Bet Totetrifecta HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Frankie McDonald's strike rate?: Frankie McDonald has won 66 of 1,448 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Frankie McDonald do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 14 wins from 159 rides (8.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Frankie McDonald ride most for?: Richard Hannon Snr, with 86 rides since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (7%).
What is Frankie McDonald's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 1,439 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.