Horse profile
Lucky Man (IRE)
by Kodi Bear (IRE) out of Vastitas (IRE) (Green Desert)
46 runs · 17 courses · from Jun 2021
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
6 wins · 6 courses
Last run 17 Mar 2026 · 9th of 9
Last raced off OR 65
KTB Profile
Lucky Man has six wins from 46 starts with all wins in handicaps between 5f and 7f. Five of those came at 6f to 7f including a Class 6 success at Wolverhampton in Oct 2025 off an official rating of 65 and a Class 3 win at York in Sep 2022 off 91. He has four wins on standard AW from 20 runs on that surface. Aged 7 at his last run in Mar 2026 he finished 9 of 9 at Wolverhampton off an official rating of 65 which was 31lb below his highest ever mark.
Based on 46 archived runs · run-style from 15 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 31lb off peak
- 6–46Wins / Runs
- 13%Strike rate
- 15 (32.6%)Placed
- −13.25£1 level staken=46 at SP
- 1.32Fair A/E n=46 · 1.11 incl. margin
- 96Highest OR
- 38dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating65↓ 31lb off peak
65
65–96
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 96
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 20 | 109A | 94 | 4 runs · 96 / 92.5 |
| Good | 9 | 107C | 93 | — |
| Good to Firm | 8 | 118C | 104 | — |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 112C | 80 | — |
| Soft | 3 | 87B | 82 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 38 | 118C | 94 | 4 runs · 96 / 92.5 |
| Under 6f | 8 | 109A | 83 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 46 figures from 46 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 15 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 7 (47%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 4 (27%) · 0 wins
- Held up 2 (13%) · 0 wins
- Led 2 (13%) · 2 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 3,947 runs since Jan 2008 (387 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | +17 | — |
| Good to Firm | 535 | 65 | 12.1% | +1.8 | 1 from 8 |
| Good | 1,027 | 108 | 10.5% | +0.2 | 1 from 9 |
| Good to Soft | 375 | 34 | 9.1% | −1.2 | 0 from 5 |
| Soft | 536 | 51 | 9.5% | −0.8 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 141 | 14 | 9.9% | −0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,322 | 133 | 10.1% | −0.2 | 4 from 20 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 552 | 69 | 12.5% | +2.2 | 1 from 8 |
| 6f – 7f | 2,234 | 239 | 10.7% | +0.4 | 5 from 38 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 731 | 64 | 8.8% | −1.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 257 | 19 | 7.4% | −2.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 112 | 11 | 9.8% | −0.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 48 | 4 | 8.3% | −2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 10 | 2 | 20% | +9.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −10.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Vastitas (IRE) (Green Desert)
6 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Sir Garfield (IRE) (7 wins).
The wins came over 5f–7f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Remarkable Force (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Garfield (IRE) | 35 | 7 | 6f–7f | Class 4 |
| Remarkable Force (IRE) | 21 | 2 | 5f | Class 2 |
| Al Aakif (IRE) | 3 | 2 | 5f–6f | Class 3 |
| Rogue Dancer (IRE) | 11 | 2 | 6f | Class 5 |
| Alfie Solomons (IRE) | 31 | 1 | 5f | Class 4 |
| Luck Ahead (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 20 | 4 | 20% | −0.25 |
| Good | 9 | 1 | 11% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 8 | 1 | 13% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 11 | 1 | 9% | −5.00 |
| Class 5 | 10 | 1 | 10% | −6.00 |
| Class 3 | 10 | 3 | 30% | +9.50 |
| Class 2 | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Class 6 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.75 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 9 | 1 | 11% | −2.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 8 | 1 | 13% | −4.75 |
| Southwell (AW) | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.50 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| Ayr | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Windsor | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | +5.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ascot | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 38 | 5 | 13% | −9.25 |
| Under 6f | 8 | 1 | 13% | −4.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Wood | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Hayley Turner | 7 | 3 | 43% | +9.50 |
| Angus Villiers | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| P J McDonald | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| David Egan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jason Hart | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Darragh Keenan | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.25 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Lewis Edmunds | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Robert Havlin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hollie Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Neil Callan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Connor Planas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 1 | 1 | 100% | +6.00 |
| William Buick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hector Crouch | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 18 | 1 | 6% | −11.00 |
| None | 16 | 3 | 19% | +0.50 |
| Blinkers | 7 | 1 | 14% | −1.00 |
| Visor | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.75 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2025 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −5.75 |
| 2024 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −2.00 |
| 2023 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2022 | 13 | 3 | 23% | +6.50 |
| 2021 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 17 Mar 26+14d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div 2) Raced with plenty of enthusiasm early - went to front before being overtaken 3f out - urged along soon after - faded 2f out to finish well beaten | 9/9 | 8½ | 9-9 | 65 | 82C | 42C | Darragh Keenan | 28/1 |
| 03 Mar 26+43d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Settled just off the pace - pushed along inside final furlong - unable to land a blow - finished 9th | 9/9 | hd | 9-5 | 66 | 94A | 60A | Lewis Edmunds | 12/1 |
| 19 Jan 26+76d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Settled at the back early - pushed along with over a furlong to run - unable to threaten leaders - finished 8th | 8/10 | 1¼ | 9-7 | 68 | 96A | 72A | Paul Mulrennan | 22/1 |
| 2025 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Nov 25+17d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Held a forward position early - pressed for effort with 2f left - lost ground inside final furlong to finish seventh | 7/8 | ¾ | 9-8 | 69 | 91A | 72A | George Wood | 10/1 |
| 18 Oct 25+7d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap Sat close up on the inner - lost momentum in the closing stages - finished 5th | 5/7 | 1 | 9-13 | 69 | 83A | 73A | George Wood | 13/8F |
| 11 Oct 25+14d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Arc 1MILLION Bonus Has 150k Increase! Handicap (Div 2) Set the pace early - dropped to second as front-runner opened a gap by halfway - closed up entering straight and hit the front with a furlong left - quickly asserted for the win | 1/8 | 9-12 | 65 | 107A | 90A | Darragh Keenan | 9/4F | |
| 27 Sep 25+64d | Southwell (AW) | Andrew And Anthony Roy Memorial Race Handicap (Div 2) Settled towards the rear - nudged into contention approaching the last 2f - pressed for effort then dropped away in the closing stages - finished 5th beaten 3.25 lengths | 5/10 | 1¼ | 9-4 | 67 | 82A | 77A | George Wood | 14/1 |
| 25 Jul 25+9d | York | eventmasters.co.uk Handicap Held up in the pack early - driven with over 2f out - soon faded - finished 18th | 18/22 | 2 | 9-1 | 72 | 80C | 66A | George Wood | 66/1 |
| 16 Jul 25+31d | Catterick | 5th Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Settled in 4th early - slipped towards the back around 4f out - lost touch on the home bend - well held at the finish | 6/6 | 1½ | 9-6 | 72 | 82B | 61B | Paul Mulrennan | 9/1 |
| 15 Jun 25+15d | Doncaster | Grace And Dotty Fedoras And Feathers Handicap (Div 1) Settled in the pack - nudged for effort with 2f left - failed to quicken - finished well held in 8th | 8/10 | 4 | 9-9 | 75 | 85A | 70A | George Wood | 40/1 |
| 31 May 25+127d | York | William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap Tracked front pair early - dropped away 4f out - driven along and no impact final furlong | 17/20 | 2¼ | 9-9 | 78 | 57C | 57C | P J McDonald | 12/1 |
| 24 Jan 25+53d | Southwell (AW) | Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap Settled with the main group early - pushed along and asked for more with 2f left - dropped away inside the final furlong to finish ninth | 9/12 | hd | 9-11 | 80 | 94A | 81A | Robert Havlin | 16/1 |
| 2024 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 02 Dec 24+41d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Weekly Free Bets With BetUK Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) Held a spot near the front - pressed for effort with 2f left - dropped away inside final furlong to finish 10th | 10/12 | 2½ | 9-6 | 82 | 98A | 73A | George Wood | 22/1 |
| 22 Oct 24+31d | Newcastle (AW) | Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap Well placed on the wide flank early - urged to keep tempo - lost ground 2f out - beaten home in 8th | 8/14 | 1¼ | 9-4 | 83 | 80B | 85A | Hollie Doyle | 17/2 |
| 21 Sep 24+33d | Ayr | Virgin Bet Ayr Silver Cup Handicap Far flank in the main pack - nudged into contention from 2f out - stayed on through the closing stages without the speed to threaten | 8/22 | ¾ | 9-6 | 80 | 117C | 92A | David Egan | 22/1 |
| 19 Aug 24+21d | Windsor | Get The Inside Track With Raceday-Ready.Com Handicap Broke smartly from the wide stall and set a strong pace out wide - shifted right to link up with the pack 4f out - pressed for effort inside the final furlong - kept finding to score | 1/12 | 10-0 | 80 | 111B | 105A | Oisin Murphy | 5/1 | |
| 29 Jul 24+25d | Windsor | Fitzdares Handicap | 7/8 | hd | 9-7 | 82 | 95A | 81A | Kieran Shoemark | 22/1 |
| 04 Jul 24+19d | Haydock | Supalite Group Handicap | 9/11 | 1¾ | 9-8 | 84 | 94B | 72A | George Wood | 16/1 |
| 15 Jun 24+28d | York | Fordy Marshall Land And Property Consultants Handicap | 13/20 | 3¾ | 10-2 | 85 | 55C | 75A | Jason Hart | 9/1 |
| 18 May 24+238d | Thirsk | Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Handicap | 2/7 | nk | 9-6 | 85 | 97A | 90A | Jason Hart | 9/2 |
| 2023 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 23 Sep 23+23d | Ayr | Virgin Bet Ayr Silver Cup Handicap | 19/25 | 2½ | 9-12 | 90 | 68C | 64C | Jason Hart | 28/1 |
| 31 Aug 23+26d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Greene King IPA Handicap | 8/11 | 4 | 10-0 | 90 | 95B | 77A | Neil Callan | 10/1 |
| 05 Aug 23+7d | Goodwood | Coral Stewards' Cup (Heritage Handicap) | 19/27 | hd | 8-12 | 94 | 46C | 66C | Hayley Turner | 80/1 |
| 29 Jul 23+15d | York | Sky Bet Dash Handicap | 15/15 | 10 | 9-6 | 93 | 65C | 52C | Andrea Atzeni | 9/1 |
| 14 Jul 23+58d | Ascot | Tide Handicap | 3/6 | 1½ | 9-10 | 94 | 87B | 91B | Connor Planas | 11/1 |
| 17 May 23+186d | York | Churchill Tyres Handicap | 19/21 | 1¾ | 8-13 | 95 | 84C | 69A | Tom Marquand | 11/1 |
| 2022 · 13 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Nov 22+35d | Lingfield (AW) | BetUK Golden Rose Stakes (Listed) (All-Weather Championships Fast-Track Qualifier) | 8/9 | ½ | 9-5 | 96 | 102A | 79A | David Egan | 9/1 |
| 08 Oct 22+21d | York | Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) | 5/19 | hd | 9-3 | 96 | 112C | 103A | P J McDonald | 15/2 |
| 17 Sep 22+13d | Ayr | Virgin Bet Ayr Gold Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) | 4/24 | nk | 8-11 | 91 | 97C | 100A | P J McDonald | 18/1 |
| 04 Sep 22+43d | York | John And Judith Marshall Memorial Handicap | 1/13 | 9-7 | 91 | 107C | 111A | Daniel Tudhope | 6/1 | |
| 23 Jul 22+15d | York | Sky Bet Dash Handicap | 2/15 | nk | 8-6 | 89 | 118C | 90A | David Egan | 14/1 |
| 08 Jul 22+27d | Ascot | Alvarium Handicap | 6/9 | 1 | 9-4 | 89 | 112A | 73A | Kieran Shoemark | 15/2 |
| 11 Jun 22+38d | York | Pavers Foundation Catherine Memorial Sprint Handicap (Heritage Handicap) | 2/19 | 2¾ | 8-11 | 87 | 101C | 101A | William Buick | 16/1 |
| 04 May 22+21d | Chester | Deepbridge Handicap | 3/9 | hd | 9-1 | 87 | 82A | 86A | Hayley Turner | 12/1 |
| 13 Apr 22+35d | Newmarket | bet365 Handicap | 6/12 | ½ | 8-11 | 87 | 93A | 80A | Hayley Turner | 10/1 |
| 09 Mar 22+34d | Lingfield (AW) | Watch Racing Free Online At Coral Handicap | 1/7 | 8-9 | 83 | 107B | 85A | Hayley Turner | 7/1 | |
| 03 Feb 22+12d | Southwell (AW) | Watch Racing Free Online At Coral Handicap | 1/6 | 8-11 | 77 | 100A | 87B | Hayley Turner | 7/2 | |
| 22 Jan 22+16d | Lingfield (AW) | Play Coral Racing-super-series For Free Handicap | 3/10 | nk | 9-7 | 77 | 79A | 80A | Tom Marquand | 3/1 |
| 06 Jan 22+21d | Newcastle (AW) | Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free Handicap | 2/10 | nk | 9-6 | 73 | 109A | 93A | Hayley Turner | 9/4F |
| 2021 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 16 Dec 21+44d | Southwell (AW) | Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free Nursery | 3/12 | 1¼ | 9-3 | 73 | 102A | 86A | Angus Villiers | 9/4F |
| 02 Nov 21+12d | Newcastle (AW) | Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free Nursery | 1/9 | 9-1 | 69 | 94A | 88A | Hayley Turner | 3/1F | |
| 21 Oct 21+35d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free Nursery | 4/11 | 1½ | 9-4 | 70 | 83A | 73A | Angus Villiers | 7/2F |
| 16 Sep 21+31d | Chelmsford City (AW) | tote Placepot Your First Bet Nursery | 2/10 | hd | 9-4 | 65 | 67A | 82A | Angus Villiers | 3/1F |
| 16 Aug 21+17d | Windsor | British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 6/14 | 1 | 9-0 | — | 78C | 75A | Angus Villiers | 100/1 |
| 30 Jul 21+32d | Newmarket | Rich Energy British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 7/9 | 3¼ | 8-11 | — | 58A | 50A | Angus Villiers | 20/1 |
| 28 Jun 21 | Lingfield | Witheford Barrier Trials At Lingfield Park EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 9/12 | ¾ | 9-5 | — | 32A | 48A | Hector Crouch | 11/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Lucky Man won?
- Lucky Man (IRE) won 6 of 46 archived starts between 2021 and 2026, a strike rate of 13%. Placed 15 times in total (32.6% of starts).
- Who trains Lucky Man?
- Lucky Man (IRE) is trained by Jennie Candlish, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 17 March 2026.
- Who is Lucky Man's sire?
- Lucky Man (IRE) is by Kodi Bear (IRE) out of Vastitas (IRE), whose sire is Green Desert.
- What going does Lucky Man prefer?
- Lucky Man (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 4 wins from 20 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Lucky Man's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 65, from the run on 17 March 2026. The highest on record is 96.
- What is Lucky Man's sire's record?
- Kodi Bear (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 3,947 runs since Jan 2008 (387 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Lucky Man's siblings?
- Out of Vastitas (IRE), Lucky Man (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Sir Garfield (IRE) (7). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Remarkable Force (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–7f. As at Oct 2026.