Top Notch Tonto (IRE)
Top Notch Tonto (IRE) is 6 from 61, including a Group 3 win. The biggest win we hold: the betfred.com Superior Mile at Haydock (Sep 2013). Hasn't won since Jun 2015. Last raced off 70, 48lb below the career-high mark.
- 6–61Wins / Runs
- 9.8%Strike rate
- 15 (24.6%)Placed
- +0.75£1 level staken=61 at SP
- 1.23Fair A/E n=60 · 1.05 incl. margin
- 118Highest OR
- 21dBetween runs (median)longest 478 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 104
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 6 | 139C | 99 | — |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 105C | 97 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 102A | 90 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 108A | 104.5 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 93A | 92 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 10 | 139C | 97.5 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 9 | 111C | 96 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 19 figures from 19 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 6.7% of 932 runs since Mar 2012 (68 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 10.2% from 226. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 133.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −6.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 153 | 9 | 5.9% | −0.8 | 2 from 11 |
| Good | 214 | 14 | 6.5% | −0.2 | 1 from 19 |
| Good to Soft | 109 | 7 | 6.4% | −0.3 | 2 from 15 |
| Soft | 169 | 7 | 4.1% | −2.6 | 0 from 10 |
| Heavy | 58 | 2 | 3.4% | −3.3 | 1 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 226 | 23 | 10.2% | +3.5 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 133 | 16 | 12% | +5.3 | 1 from 4 |
| 6f – 7f | 285 | 17 | 6% | −0.7 | 1 from 8 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 187 | 11 | 5.9% | −0.8 | 4 from 32 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 153 | 12 | 7.8% | +1.1 | 0 from 17 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 105 | 4 | 3.8% | −2.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 51 | 0 | 0% | −6.7 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | −0.4 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 1 | 50% | +43.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2012 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Kardyls Hope (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kardyls Hope (IRE) | 45 | 3 | 6f–1m | — |
| Golden Starlet (IRE) | 15 | 0 | — | — |
| Blakeshall Hope (GB) | 15 | 0 | — | — |
| Hazelivius (IRE) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 19 | 1 | 5% | −9.50 |
| Good to Soft | 15 | 2 | 13% | +16.00 |
| Good to Firm | 11 | 2 | 18% | −1.75 |
| Soft | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 1 | 33% | +9.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 23 | 3 | 13% | +14.00 |
| Class 2 | 16 | 1 | 6% | −4.00 |
| Class 4 | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.25 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +8.50 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 11 | 1 | 9% | −3.00 |
| Beverley | 5 | 1 | 20% | +4.50 |
| Newmarket | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.75 |
| Sandown | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Haydock | 4 | 1 | 25% | +19.00 |
| Ascot | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Redcar | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Leopardstown | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Doncaster | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Chester | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Galway | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Pontefract | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 1 | 100% | +11.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 32 | 4 | 13% | +14.25 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 17 | 0 | 0% | −17.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 8 | 1 | 13% | −2.00 |
| Under 6f | 4 | 1 | 25% | +5.50 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Swift | 14 | 3 | 21% | +27.00 |
| Ben Robinson | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Ben Curtis | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 7 | 2 | 29% | +4.25 |
| Paddy Mathers | 7 | 1 | 14% | +2.50 |
| Leigh Roche | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Denis Linehan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tom Eaves | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Alistair Rawlinson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Megan Nicholls | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieran Schofield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oisin Orr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Allan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chris Hayes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Colm O'Donoghue | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mikey Ennis | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Neil Farley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Garry Whillans | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 47 | 5 | 11% | +6.75 |
| Cheekpieces | 10 | 1 | 10% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2017 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2016 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2015 | 10 | 1 | 10% | −2.00 |
| 2014 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2013 | 10 | 3 | 30% | +22.25 |
| 2012 | 9 | 2 | 22% | +12.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Top Notch Tonto won?
- Top Notch Tonto (IRE) won 6 of 61 archived starts between 2012 and 2019, a strike rate of 9.8%. Placed 15 times in total (24.6% of starts).
- Who trained Top Notch Tonto?
- Top Notch Tonto (IRE) was trained by Brian Ellison on the most recent run on record, at Redcar on 25 September 2019.
- Who is Top Notch Tonto's sire?
- Top Notch Tonto (IRE) is by Thousand Words (GB) out of Elite Hope (USA), whose sire is Moment Of Hope.
- What going does Top Notch Tonto prefer?
- Top Notch Tonto (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Top Notch Tonto's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 70, from the run on 25 September 2019. The highest on record is 118.
- What is Top Notch Tonto's sire's record?
- Thousand Words (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 6.7% of 932 runs since Mar 2012 (68 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 10.2% from 226. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 133.
- Who are Top Notch Tonto's siblings?
- Out of Elite Hope (USA), Top Notch Tonto (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Kardyls Hope (IRE) (3). The wins came over 6f–1m. As at Nov 2026.