Amy Baker
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 8% (40 rides).
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=72, Fair A/E 0.33). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 5.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +4.25 to a £1 stake over 237 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 5.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −151.37 to a £1 stake over 509 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Andrew Haynes supplied 17% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.3%, A/E 0.56). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (11%, n=73) and off a 61-180-day break (9.8%, n=51). The record read poorly on Good going — 0% over 77 rides, 5.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good to Firm going: Fair A/E 0.21 across 86 rides (1.2% strike, −82.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The standout partner of the record was Jake The Snake (IRE) — 5 wins from 21 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Dec–Feb.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 670 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 670 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 9 July 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Amy Baker's strike rate?
- Amy Baker has won 32 of 557 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Amy Baker do best at?
- Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 65 rides (9.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Amy Baker ride most for?
- Andrew Haynes, with 94 rides since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (4.3%).
- What is Amy Baker's Fair A/E?
- 0.88, from 552 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.