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Jockey profile

Brian Hayes

4,262 rides in the lifetime window · 1,699 individual horses
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
308–4,262
Wins / Runs
7.2%
Strike rate
n=4,262
955 (22%)
Placed
0.97
Fair A/E
n=4,261 · 0.78 incl. margin
−1,945.75
£1 level stake
n=4,262 at SP · −45.7%
£5.67m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.8%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 220 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (377 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,262 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 40.6% when favourite John Joseph Hanlon: 4.8% from 668 LTO winners: 15.4% Rides the favourite in 5% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Tramore (12.1%, n=314), clear of the rider's 7.2% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.4% (n=377, Fair A/E 1.08). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −921.55 to a £1 stake over 1,698 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. John Joseph Hanlon supplies 16% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (4.8% vs 7.2%, A/E 0.75). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (12.6%, n=206). 33 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Mrs Paddy Power Mares' Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2023, £67,582). The standout partner of the record: Impervious (IRE) — 6 wins from 9 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.1%−2.1
n=1,698 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −921.55
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
15.4%+8.2
n=377 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −129.29
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.3%−0.9
n=918 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −591.07
When favourite
40.6%
n=234 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +7.82
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.4%−1.8
n=1,086 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −598.77
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.7%−2.5
n=2,274 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −1,330.31
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
6.8%−0.4
n=488 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −213.29

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C A Murphy 17.8% vs 7.2% · n=135
With David Harry Kelly 20.5% vs 7.2% · n=39
On last-time-out winners 15.4% vs 7.2% · n=377
Off a 0-7-day break 12.6% vs 7.2% · n=206
At Tramore 12.1% vs 7.2% · n=314
With W P Mullins 11.6% vs 7.2% · n=602
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 2,946 199 6.8% −1,275.99
Chase 1,163 99 8.5% −560.30
NH Flat 133 9 6.8% −92.46
Flat 20 1 5% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 1,480 96 6.5% −646.31
Good 1,203 100 8.3% −481.29
Heavy 941 63 6.7% −504.95
Good to Soft 521 42 8.1% −268.20
Good to Firm 110 7 6.4% −38.00
Firm 6 0 0% −6.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 378 27 7.1% −180.87
Tramore 314 38 12.1% −67.31
Fairyhouse 296 19 6.4% −176.04
Cork 268 22 8.2% −96.95
Clonmel 249 17 6.8% −79.34
Limerick 248 18 7.3% −166.94
Thurles 200 13 6.5% −149.04
Navan 194 12 6.2% −112.47
Gowran Park 194 8 4.1% −55.94
Galway 186 9 4.8% −136.84
Wexford 175 13 7.4% −94.87
Leopardstown 173 6 3.5% −116.13
Kilbeggan 170 16 9.4% −17.75
Naas 149 9 6% −64.67
Tipperary 144 15 10.4% −48.11

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 509 33 6.5% −234.29
Class 4 25 4 16% −15.41
Class 3 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 2 12 2 16.7% −5.97
Class 5 8 2 25% −2.47
Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 273 108 39.6% 1.33 +21.08
2nd–3rd fav 665 101 15.2% 1.02 −132.33
4th–6th fav 1,167 66 5.7% 0.84 −490.50
7th+ in betting 2,157 33 1.5% 0.58 −1,344.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.9% completed · 4,109 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 1,163 79.4% 67 46 117 6 4
Hurdle 2,946 89.9% 68 27 176 14 13
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Halsafari (IRE) 27 2 7 26 Feb 26
Carrolls Cottage (IRE) 22 2 6 17 Feb 24
Old Supporter (IRE) 22 1 11 2 Sep 17
Linden Arden (IRE) 21 5 9 22 Mar 26
Conduct Yourself (IRE) 20 4 11 8 Nov 18
Lake Chad (IRE) 19 1 7 16 May 25
Macs Charm (IRE) 19 4 7 21 Apr 25
Jaime Sommers (IRE) 19 0 3 22 Oct 20
Miss Faithful (IRE) 19 2 7 20 Oct 16
Knockanarrigan (IRE) 19 1 5 29 Jul 16
Rock Road (IRE) 18 3 4 21 Sep 22
Ask Nile (IRE) 18 2 5 31 Dec 18
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,699 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 12
Only 12 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
75868107106975
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJohn Joseph Hanlon
16% of all rides
4.8% SR · A/E 0.75
TrainerRWSR£1
John Joseph Hanlon 668 32 4.8% −373.42
W P Mullins 602 70 11.6% −251.70
Philip Fenton 267 20 7.5% −31.53
John C McConnell 157 9 5.7% −119.02
Michael J Bowe 144 17 11.8% −2.88
C A Murphy 135 24 17.8% −3.61
Michael Winters 133 9 6.8% −87.12
Emmet Mullins 126 15 11.9% −76.80
James Daniel Dullea 117 5 4.3% −88.42
John E Kiely 79 10 12.7% +58.60
Seamus Neville 77 8 10.4% −1.67
Henry De Bromhead 70 7 10% −24.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
308
Archived wins
33
Pattern / graded wins
£5.67m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 44 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Impervious (IRE) — Mrs Paddy Power Mares' Chase (Registered As The Liberthine Mares' Chase) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2023 · Grade 2
£67,582
Chapeau De Soleil (IRE) — SBK Gold Trophy Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Punchestown · May 2024 · Listed
£59,000
Western Diego (IRE) — Bet With Tote Dan & Joan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Fairyhouse · Jan 2026 · Grade 3
£59,000
Notable horses
Impervious (IRE) Linden Arden (IRE) May Call You Back (GB) Zanoosh (IRE) Conduct Yourself (IRE) Macs Charm (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Stowaway (GB) 6% · 7–117
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Presenting (GB) 5.6% · 6–107
Progeny have won 11% of 20,055 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Shantou (USA) 13.1% · 14–107
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,849 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 14% · 12–86
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,127 runs since 2011 (714 horses).
Milan (GB) 4.8% · 4–84
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,893 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 13.9% · 11–79
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,297 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,272 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,272 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 June 2005 to 14 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Nov 26 Navan (IRE) Mount Shenshan (IRE)T: Thomas Mullins Lisadell Equine Hospital 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 4th 9/1
14 Nov 26 Navan (IRE) War Rooms (IRE)T: Gerard Keane Kilberry Pub & Kitchen Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 6th 125/1
10 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Glen Kiln (IRE)T: David Harry Kelly Irish National Hunt Steeplechase CLG Beginners Steeplechase20f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 5th 5/2
10 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Rebel Reba (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 2nd 8/13F
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Smokin Aces (FR)T: W. P. Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Academy Hurdle18.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 1st 9/4F
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Balko D'ange (FR)T: Philip Fenton Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 2nd 10/1
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Shellrunforbriggs (IRE)T: Michael Winters Mongey Communications Novice Handicap Steeplechase20f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 1st 15/8F
07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Lunar Majesty (IRE)T: C A Murphy Gerry Comerford Drilling Beginners Steeplechase20f · Good · 10 ran 9th 33/1
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Thurman (IRE)T: C A Murphy Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Yielding · 13 ran 5th 16/1
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Le Roi Du Livet (FR)T: Philip Fenton Botanica International Rated Novice Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 8 ran 5th 5/1
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Wolfhill (IRE)T: David Harry Kelly William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 7th 18/1
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Genuine Article (GB)T: Gerard Keane Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 11th 100/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Mailloche (FR)T: W. P. Mullins Paddy Power From The Horse's Mouth Podcast Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 4th 7/2
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Rebel Reba (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins Glenlo Abbey Hotel & Estate Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 9/2
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Shellrunforbriggs (IRE)T: Michael Winters Medical Technology Ireland Expo Galway Handicap Hurdle16f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 4/1
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Bigbraveboy (IRE)T: James William Hannon Brasserie On The Corner Handicap Steeplechase18f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 4th 33/1
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Chart Topper (FR)T: W. P. Mullins Gerry Coyne Memorial Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran 1st 10/11F
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Magic Hands Noel (IRE)T: Gerard Keane End Of An Era Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran PU 10/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Ronnie's Rascal (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins Sligo Fillies Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 2/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Katie Can't Count (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 5 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 6 runs (won 1) · to 10 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Brian Hayes's strike rate?
Brian Hayes has won 308 of 4,262 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Brian Hayes do best at?
Tramore by strike rate: 38 wins from 314 rides (12.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Brian Hayes ride most for?
John Joseph Hanlon, with 668 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (4.8%).
Is Brian Hayes in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 12 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Brian Hayes's Fair A/E?
0.97, from 4,261 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).