Chris Catlin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 710 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (554 rides).
The record is strongest at Ffos Las (23.5%, n=34), clear of the rider's 9% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.8% (n=554, Fair A/E 1.03), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.7% (n=787, Fair A/E 0.70). Mick Channon supplied 8% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 0.88). 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Leopardstown 2,000 Guineas Trial at Leopardstown (Apr 2006, £45,570). The standout partner of the record was Maslak (IRE) — 5 wins from 36 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jan–Feb.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 10,025 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 10,025 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 18 February 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Chris Catlin's strike rate?
- Chris Catlin has won 575 of 6,369 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Chris Catlin do best at?
- Yarmouth by strike rate: 27 wins from 191 rides (14.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Chris Catlin ride most for?
- Mick Channon, with 481 rides since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (8.7%).
- What is Chris Catlin's Fair A/E?
- 0.95, from 6,325 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.