What is Alice Haynes's strike rate?

Alice Haynes has won 194 of 1,913 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alice Haynes do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 34 wins from 258 runners (13.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Alice Haynes?

Kieran O'Neill, with 1,023 runners since 2022 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 103 (10.1%).

What is Alice Haynes's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 1,903 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Alice Haynes

1,913 runners in the last 5 seasons · 270 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 321 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2022

194–1,913

Wins / Runs

10.1%

Strike rate

n=1,913

506 (27%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=1,903 · 0.86 incl. margin

−453.91

£1 level stake

n=1,913 at SP · −23.7%

£2.23m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 380 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,913 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–May 38.5% when favourite Kieran O'Neill: 10.1% from 1,023 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Thirsk (18.8%, n=32), clear of the yard's 10.1% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.7% (n=136, Fair A/E 0.46). Kieran O'Neill rides 53% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.1%, A/E 0.95). The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (15.8%, n=311). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix d'Arenberg at Longchamp (FR) (Sep 2022, £33,613). The stable star of the record: Aspire To Glory (IRE) — 6 wins from 35 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.5%−1.6

n=211 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −30.41

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.6%−0.5

n=83 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −43.84

Debutants · first career start

8%−2.1

n=163 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −58.15

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.7%−6.4

n=136 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −69.95

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9%−1.1

n=78 · A/E 1.01 · £1 +18.50

When favourite

38.5%

n=135 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +7.25

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.4%−1.7

n=333 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +3.44

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.2%−5.9

n=71 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −57.44

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Hollie Doyle 20% vs 10.1% · n=30

At trips under 6f 15.8% vs 10.1% · n=311

On last-time-out winners 16.3% vs 10.1% · n=184

With first-time headgear 3.7% vs 10.1% · n=136

At Thirsk 18.8% vs 10.1% · n=32

With Rowan Scott 17.5% vs 10.1% · n=57

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,909 194 10.2% −449.91

Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 990 107 10.8% −85.99

Good 300 21 7% −198.93

Good to Firm 296 26 8.8% −78.46

Soft 137 16 11.7% −59.21

Good to Soft 136 15 11% −27.74

Heavy 50 7 14% −6.79

Firm 4 2 50% +3.21

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 258 34 13.2% +71.31

Chelmsford City (AW) 202 22 10.9% −34.62

Lingfield (AW) 157 20 12.7% −4.79

Kempton (AW) 152 11 7.2% −48.75

Southwell (AW) 134 11 8.2% −47.97

Yarmouth 87 5 5.7% −8.00

Newcastle (AW) 83 9 10.8% −17.17

Leicester 57 3 5.3% −38.25

Doncaster 56 4 7.1% −41.75

Nottingham 43 3 7% −30.79

Brighton 41 3 7.3% +10.50

Lingfield 40 5 12.5% −16.71

Goodwood 38 2 5.3% −21.00

Bath 38 5 13.2% −10.29

Windsor 35 3 8.6% +6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 701 79 11.3% −168.78

Class 6 634 68 10.7% −100.39

Class 4 333 32 9.6% −42.97

Class 2 94 6 6.4% −32.75

Class 3 73 4 5.5% −49.38

Class 1 71 3 4.2% −57.44

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 162 61 37.7% 1.23 +12.63

2nd–3rd fav 404 65 16.1% 0.97 −95.04

4th–6th fav 715 51 7.1% 0.90 −230.50

7th+ in betting 632 17 2.7% 0.77 −141.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Maysong (GB)from Ed Dunlop 49 3 18 23 Oct 24

Josies Kid (IRE) 40 3 7 24 Jun 24

Capuchinero (GB)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 39 4 9 29 Nov 25

Aspire To Glory (IRE)then Dylan Cunha 35 6 12 21 Aug 25

Mashaan (GB)from Richard Fahey 31 4 13 1 Dec 25

Vitesse Du Son (GB)from Mark Pattinson 27 2 6 12 Aug 25

Cavalluccio (IRE)from Richard Hughes 26 4 12 26 Jun 24

Strong Power (IRE)from George Scott · then Brian Ellison 26 4 7 8 Jul 23

Keen Interest (IRE)from William Haggas 24 2 8 5 Apr 25

Parisiac (IRE)from Bryan Smart · then Iain Jardine 24 2 6 6 Jul 24

Goldsmith (IRE)from David Menuisier · then H D McGuigan 24 5 10 28 Apr 24

Clipsham Noble (IRE)then Charlie Clover 23 1 4 4 Dec 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 270 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from James Ferguson (2); 38 had their first archived run for this yard.

27 have since run for another yard, most often for Grace Harris (2) and Iain Jardine (2); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

89151313911787169

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKieran O'Neill

53% of all rides
10.1% SR · A/E 0.95

RiderRWSR£1

Kieran O'Neill 1,023 103 10.1% −274.39

Christian Howarth 201 16 8% +43.58

Thore Hammer Hansen 76 8 10.5% −27.67

Rowan Scott 57 10 17.5% −7.00

Darragh Keenan 37 2 5.4% −28.00

Rossa Ryan 33 6 18.2% −6.24

Hollie Doyle 30 6 20% −6.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

214

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.40m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 57 wins

Lady Hollywood (GB) — Prix d'Arenberg (2yo) (Sprint Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2022 · Group 3

£33,613

Fix You (GB) — Goffs Irish EBF Polonia Stakes (Fillies' Listed) Cork · May 2023 · Listed

£30,975

Mr Professor (IRE) — British Stallion Studs EBF Silver Tankard Stakes (Listed) Pontefract · Oct 2021 · Listed

£28,355

Notable horses

Aspire To Glory (IRE) Goldsmith (IRE) She's Centimental (USA) Girl Magic (GB) Josies Kid (IRE) Capuchinero (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 10.9% · 19–175

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,538 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Ardad (IRE) 6.6% · 6–91

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,508 runs since 2008 (350 horses).

Havana Grey (GB) 24.1% · 19–79

Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,538 runs since 2008 (416 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.3% from 408.

Mehmas (IRE) 3% · 2–67

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,110 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Cotai Glory (GB) 15.7% · 8–51

Progeny have won 11.4% of 3,918 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.6% from 1,396. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 418.

Mayson (GB) 6.1% · 3–49

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,365 runs since 2008 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 1,728. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,086 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,086 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 February 2021 to 4 December 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Rosemary's Rose (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Flutter Proudly Supporting Pancreatic Cancer UK HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 16/1

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Clipsham Noble (IRE)J: Oliver Carmichael Flutter Proudly Supporting Pancreatic Cancer UK HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 50/1

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Beachborough Girl (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Flutter Proudly Supporting Pancreatic Cancer UK HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 14/1

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Brave Byreflection (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Sky Bet Build A Bet Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 9/1

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Tam Lin (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill 'Seamus Hazlett 25 Not Out' HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 4/1

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Love Me Bae (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 150/1

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Filly Foden (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Sky Bet For The Fans NurseryClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 9/2

03 Dec 25 Kempton (AW) Space Alexander (IRE)J: Tyler Heard Unibet/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 200/1

03 Dec 25 Kempton (AW) My Mate Mackley (GB)J: Tyler Heard Unibet/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 8th 100/1

03 Dec 25 Lingfield (AW) Exquisite Skye (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 18/1

01 Dec 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Mashaan (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 10/1

01 Dec 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Filly Foden (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk NurseryClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 33/1

29 Nov 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Liberty Bird (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Safer Gambling Week 2024 At Betmgm HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 11/1

29 Nov 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Capuchinero (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill 30 In Free Bets With Betuk HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 16/1

28 Nov 25 Southwell (AW) Trust No One (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill AtTheRaces.com/Marketmovers Nursery HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 28/1

27 Nov 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Pretty Ambitious (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Flutter Proudly Supporting Pancreatic Cancer UK confined Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Fillies Which Have Run No More ThaClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 10/1

26 Nov 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Tam Lin (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Betfair Exchange Beacons HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 11/4

26 Nov 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Mashaan (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Betting.Betfair.Com Fillies' HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 6/1

25 Nov 25 Lingfield (AW) Blue Eclipse (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Tips For Every Race At Raceday-Ready.Com HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 66/1

25 Nov 25 Lingfield (AW) Nibras Angel (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Get The Inside Track With Raceday-Ready.Com Ebf Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alice Haynes's strike rate?: Alice Haynes has won 194 of 1,913 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alice Haynes do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 34 wins from 258 runners (13.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Alice Haynes?: Kieran O'Neill, with 1,023 runners since 2022 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 103 (10.1%).
What is Alice Haynes's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 1,903 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.