What is Connor Murtagh's strike rate?

Connor Murtagh has won 114 of 1,696 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Connor Murtagh do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 86 rides (11.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Connor Murtagh ride most for?

Richard Fahey, with 724 rides since 2008 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 71 (9.8%).

What is Connor Murtagh's Fair A/E?

0.86, from 1,684 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Connor Murtagh

1,696 rides in the lifetime window · 833 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2024 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

114–1,696

Wins / Runs

6.7%

Strike rate

n=1,696

380 (22%)

Placed

0.86

Fair A/E

n=1,684 · 0.74 incl. margin

−753.32

£1 level stake

n=1,696 at SP · −44.4%

£1.21m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.86). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (147 rides). Rides mostly for Richard Fahey — 43% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,696 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 24.7% when favourite Richard Fahey: 9.8% from 724 LTO winners: 12.2% Claiming: 7.3% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

It is weakest at York (0% over 59 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.2% (n=147, Fair A/E 0.81), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2% (n=246, Fair A/E 0.45). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −160.50 to a £1 stake over 266 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Richard Fahey supplies 43% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.8% vs 6.7%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (16.1%, n=93). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0.8% over 125 rides, 5.9pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Gabrial The Devil (IRE) — 5 wins from 22 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.6%−1.1

n=833 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −455.59

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.2%+5.5

n=147 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −52.51

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2%−4.7

n=246 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −180.50

When favourite

24.7%

n=81 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −20.69

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.3%+0.6

n=1,224 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −517.19

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.8%−2.9

n=266 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −160.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.7

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 16.1% vs 6.7% · n=93

Off a break of 180+ days 0.8% vs 6.7% · n=125

On last-time-out winners 12.2% vs 6.7% · n=147

At York 0% vs 6.7% · n=59

With Alan Berry 0% vs 6.7% · n=46

With horses switching code 0% vs 6.7% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 557 41 7.4% −197.98

Good to Firm 365 29 7.9% −92.75

Good 359 22 6.1% −205.67

Good to Soft 194 12 6.2% −125.04

Soft 182 7 3.8% −115.88

Heavy 38 3 7.9% −15.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 222 16 7.2% −42.14

Wolverhampton (AW) 155 7 4.5% −108.12

Chester 112 12 10.7% −28.50

Catterick 109 6 5.5% −46.00

Ayr 97 5 5.2% −55.50

Redcar 89 4 4.5% −43.50

Hamilton 89 5 5.6% −62.00

Southwell (AW) 86 10 11.6% −28.63

Musselburgh 86 10 11.6% −16.50

Thirsk 83 5 6% −50.62

Beverley 60 3 5% −47.78

York 59 0 0% −59.00

Ripon 55 3 5.5% −36.94

Doncaster 53 3 5.7% −22.25

Carlisle 52 4 7.7% +5.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 593 40 6.7% −263.57

Class 5 549 35 6.4% −239.08

Class 4 335 22 6.6% −139.42

Class 3 125 14 11.2% −43.75

Class 2 83 3 3.6% −56.50

Class 7 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 100 25 25% 0.98 −16.94

2nd–3rd fav 259 37 14.3% 0.89 −66.88

4th–6th fav 540 36 6.7% 0.86 −192.50

7th+ in betting 797 16 2% 0.67 −477.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gabrial The Devil (IRE) 22 5 11 20 Aug 22

Jan De Heem (GB) 18 1 7 15 Sep 20

Symbolic Star (IRE) 16 2 2 2 Aug 19

Alexandrakollontai (IRE) 15 2 3 29 Aug 19

I'll Be Good (GB) 13 0 2 20 Sep 20

Star Of St James (GER) 12 1 3 1 Nov 22

Rose Marmara (GB) 12 2 4 9 Nov 19

Due Consideration (GB) 11 1 7 3 Oct 24

Gabrial The Wire (GB) 11 1 2 31 Jul 22

Bell Heather (IRE) 11 2 5 20 Mar 21

Economic Crisis (IRE) 11 0 2 24 Jun 20

Remember Rocky (GB) 11 0 3 19 Sep 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 833 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1777747857647

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Fahey

43% of all rides
9.8% SR · A/E 1.02

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Fahey 724 71 9.8% −225.86

Adrian Nicholls 132 10 7.6% −55.87

Barry Murtagh 51 2 3.9% −16.00

Alan Berry 46 0 0% −46.00

Patrick Morris 40 3 7.5% −14.50

Paul Midgley 34 3 8.8% +7.00

Tina Jackson 34 1 2.9% −25.00

Lee Carter 33 2 6.1% +13.00

Olly Williams 30 1 3.3% −15.00

Alistair Whillans 30 2 6.7% +12.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

114

Archived wins

£1.21m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 24 wins

Orient Class (GB) — William Hill Tartan Trophy Consolation Race Handicap Musselburgh · Jun 2017 · Class 3

£25,876

Garfield Shadow (IRE) — Greenhous DAF Handicap Chester · Jul 2024 · Class 2

£25,480

The Wagon Wheel (IRE) — MBNA Make Good Stuff Happen Fillies' Handicap Chester · Jul 2017 · Class 2

£15,563

Notable horses

Gabrial The Devil (IRE) Patsy Fagan (IRE) Gabrial The Tiger (IRE) Symbolic Star (IRE) Alexandrakollontai (IRE) Rose Marmara (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 14.1% · 9–64

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,605 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Dandy Man (IRE) 9.8% · 5–51

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (929 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Dark Angel (IRE) 8.9% · 4–45

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Camacho (GB) 5.9% · 2–34

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,327 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Dutch Art (GB) 8.8% · 3–34

Progeny have won 12.1% of 8,109 runs since 2011 (600 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 18.1% from 700. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9% from 365.

Mayson (GB) 9.1% · 3–33

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,396 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,696 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,696 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 March 2017 to 7 October 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Oct 24 Pontefract Havana Rum (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Constant Security Services Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 10/1

07 Oct 24 Pontefract Thornaby Pearl (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Myra & Stuart's 25th Anniversary First Date HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 10/1

05 Oct 24 Wolverhampton (AW) The Bobster (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Racing Value At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 5/1F

05 Oct 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Cloudy Skye (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Essington Farm Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 16/1

04 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) Gincident (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Meetings & Events HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 33/1

04 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) Lesley's Boy (GB)T: Richard Fahey Download The QuinnBet App NurseryClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 9/2

03 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) Due Consideration (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 12/1

03 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) Ezra Cee (IRE)T: Adrian Nicholls Get Raceday Ready Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 16/1

03 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) Arie Gordye (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 250/1

02 Oct 24 Catterick Furzig (GB)T: Richard Fahey Racing Again 19th October HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 14/1

02 Oct 24 Catterick Monsieur Kodi (IRE)T: Richard Fahey Bet At racingtv.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 13/2

02 Oct 24 Catterick Maywedance (IRE)T: Adrian Nicholls EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 12/1

02 Oct 24 Catterick Tees Aggregates (IRE)T: Adrian Nicholls Download The Raceday Ready App NurseryClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 12/1

01 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) Tees Harriet (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Tips For Every Race At Raceday-Ready.Com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 33/1

30 Sep 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Hartswood (GB)T: Richard Fahey Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 25/1

30 Sep 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Safanah (GB)T: Richard Fahey Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 25/1

28 Sep 24 Ripon Thornaby Pearl (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Michael Raby Memorial Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 5/2J

28 Sep 24 Ripon Tropical Island (GB)T: Richard Fahey Ripon Cathedral City Of The Dales HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 9/1

24 Sep 24 Newcastle (AW) Rogue Thunder (GB)T: Patrick Morris QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 50/1

24 Sep 24 Newcastle (AW) Wyvern (GB)T: Patrick Morris QuinnBet Daily Free Bet HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Connor Murtagh's strike rate?: Connor Murtagh has won 114 of 1,696 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Connor Murtagh do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 86 rides (11.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Connor Murtagh ride most for?: Richard Fahey, with 724 rides since 2008 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 71 (9.8%).
What is Connor Murtagh's Fair A/E?: 0.86, from 1,684 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.