What is Conor O'Farrell's strike rate?

Conor O'Farrell has won 451 of 4,822 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Conor O'Farrell do best at?

Wincanton by strike rate: 20 wins from 129 rides (15.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Conor O'Farrell ride most for?

David Pipe, with 629 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 83 (13.2%).

Is Conor O'Farrell in form?

In the last 14 days: 18 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 22.2%. That is above the baseline of 9.4% since 2008.

What is Conor O'Farrell's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 4,814 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Conor O'Farrell

4,822 rides in the lifetime window · 2,037 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 4 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Rides today 96% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

451–4,822

Wins / Runs

9.4%

Strike rate

n=4,822

1,292 (27%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=4,814 · 0.81 incl. margin

−1,604.55

£1 level stake

n=4,822 at SP · −33.3%

£5.30m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 250 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (480 rides). The rider is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 4,822 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 35% when favourite David Pipe: 13.2% from 629 LTO winners: 20.2% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Plumpton (19.6%, n=56), clear of the rider's 9.4% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.2% (n=480, Fair A/E 1.05), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.1% (n=1,070, Fair A/E 0.94). Right now the rider is firing: 4 winners from 18 rides in the last 14 days (22.2%, 12.8pts above the 9.4% baseline). David Pipe supplies 13% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13.2% vs 9.4%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (21.7%, n=152). 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the William Hill Becher Handicap Chase at Aintree (Dec 2020, £67,401). The standout partner of the record: Tonto's Spirit (GB) — 7 wins from 39 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.4%−2.0

n=2,031 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −794.44

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20.2%+10.8

n=480 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −92.71

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.3%−2.1

n=1,053 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −425.24

When favourite

35%

n=377 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −8.42

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7%−2.4

n=954 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −424.30

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.1%−4.3

n=1,070 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −502.82

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.5%−2.9

n=200 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −51.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 20.2% vs 9.4% · n=480

Off a 0-7-day break 21.7% vs 9.4% · n=152

At Plumpton 19.6% vs 9.4% · n=56

With Rose Dobbin 17.7% vs 9.4% · n=130

With C&D winners 15.3% vs 9.4% · n=424

With Seamus Durack 16.7% vs 9.4% · n=126

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 2,875 237 8.2% −1,027.28

Chase 1,409 164 11.6% −397.06

NH Flat 325 39 12% −50.62

Flat 213 11 5.2% −129.59

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,721 157 9.1% −782.65

Soft 1,195 111 9.3% −343.93

Good to Soft 1,036 101 9.7% −221.87

Heavy 518 50 9.7% −198.65

Good to Firm 271 29 10.7% −4.95

Standard (AW) 66 3 4.5% −37.50

Firm 15 0 0% −15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hexham 237 16 6.8% −138.38

Kelso 223 17 7.6% −97.77

Ayr 215 22 10.2% −70.44

Sedgefield 210 26 12.4% −84.97

Newcastle 197 21 10.7% −42.68

Perth 197 22 11.2% −44.73

Carlisle 175 21 12% +10.63

Musselburgh 173 20 11.6% −20.87

Uttoxeter 160 12 7.5% −28.83

Wetherby 159 16 10.1% −39.60

Taunton 152 14 9.2% −67.77

Newton Abbot 141 15 10.6% −29.12

Market Rasen 130 16 12.3% −15.71

Wincanton 129 20 15.5% +0.74

Catterick 114 16 14% +4.08

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,870 173 9.3% −676.05

Class 5 1,164 147 12.6% −210.34

Class 3 551 55 10% −191.04

Class 2 252 28 11.1% −31.12

Class 1 229 13 5.7% −89.00

Class 6 103 11 10.7% +14.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 446 142 31.8% 1.08 −36.04

2nd–3rd fav 1,005 160 15.9% 0.93 −217.01

4th–6th fav 1,540 105 6.8% 0.92 −429.50

7th+ in betting 1,831 44 2.4% 0.79 −922.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 1,685 159 9.4% −591.57

1m5f – 2m 1,490 117 7.9% −637.02

2m5f – 3m 1,181 136 11.5% −210.07

Over 3m 286 27 9.4% −72.05

1m2f – 1m4f 85 9 10.6% −28.84

1m – 1m1f 48 3 6.3% −18.00

6f – 7f 37 0 0% −37.00

Under 6f 10 0 0% −10.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 152 6 3.9% −88.50

2009 291 12 4.1% −158.00

2010 209 8 3.8% −154.75

2011 251 35 13.9% −27.00

2012 208 24 11.5% −67.96

2013 278 24 8.6% −129.58

2014 222 11 5% −106.67

2015 223 10 4.5% −131.58

2016 186 21 11.3% +9.17

2017 175 16 9.1% −68.25

2018 208 11 5.3% −103.17

2019 232 35 15.1% −8.19

2020 274 40 14.6% +16.24

2021 405 38 9.4% −169.14

2022 394 46 11.7% −104.33

2023 236 21 8.9% −50.75

2024 226 14 6.2% −108.82

2025 405 45 11.1% −64.63

2026 247 34 13.8% −88.64

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,090 330 10.7% −694.20

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,467 142 9.7% −389.04

11-13 runners 1,080 84 7.8% −402.06

5-7 runners 1,051 137 13% −269.36

14-16 runners 665 37 5.6% −334.27

17+ runners 405 18 4.4% −168.55

2-4 runners 154 33 21.4% −41.27

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87% completed · 4,284 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,409 81.5% 80 28 151 0 1

Hurdle 2,875 89.6% 60 25 193 13 8

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tonto's Spirit (GB) 39 7 11 30 Jun 24

Cudgel (GB) 24 4 12 14 Apr 25

Roll Of Thunder (GB) 20 3 10 30 Apr 22

Scots Poet (GB) 17 4 12 24 Oct 26

Cornerstone Lad (GB) 17 1 2 26 Feb 25

The Navigator (GB) 16 1 4 9 Mar 25

Gold Des Bois (FR) 16 2 7 27 May 24

Animore (GB) 16 2 4 10 May 23

Calliope (GB) 16 1 8 24 Aug 22

Titch Strider (IRE) 16 1 5 20 Nov 16

Exit To Where (FR) 15 3 5 25 Jun 23

Tico Times (IRE) 15 1 3 26 Jun 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,037 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

4 from 18 22.2% · +12.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days22.2%

Lifetime base9.4%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

91211109971079811

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDavid Pipe

13% of all rides
13.2% SR · A/E 0.99

TrainerRWSR£1

David Pipe 629 83 13.2% −123.78

Iain Jardine 427 50 11.7% −121.39

Neil Mulholland 334 51 15.3% −29.04

Micky Hammond 272 24 8.8% −62.54

John Joseph Hanlon 239 11 4.6% −142.50

Dianne Sayer 214 24 11.2% −52.74

Rebecca Menzies 174 16 9.2% −23.05

Rose Dobbin 130 23 17.7% −3.08

Richard Woollacott 127 5 3.9% −62.67

Seamus Durack 126 21 16.7% −3.72

N W Alexander 112 14 12.5% −36.35

James Walton 105 12 11.4% −25.13

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

454

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.34m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 46 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Vieux Lion Rouge (FR) — William Hill Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (National Course) (GBB Race) Aintree · Dec 2020 · Grade 3

£67,401

Truckers Delight (IRE) — www.thetote.com Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Punchestown · May 2011 · Grade B

£49,600

Kingofthefrontier (GB) — Oddschecker Novices' Hurdle Race(grade 2) (registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle Race) (gbb Race) Cheltenham · Oct 2026 · Grade 2

£47,552

Notable horses

Tonto's Spirit (GB) Trac (FR) Flowery (IRE) Cudgel (GB) Scots Poet (GB) Diamond's Return (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sulamani (IRE) 10.3% · 9–87

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,247 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.

Kayf Tara (GB) 10.7% · 9–84

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,769 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Presenting (GB) 13.3% · 10–75

Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Shirocco (GER) 12.5% · 9–72

Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,207 runs since 2010 (927 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Beneficial (GB) 8.7% · 6–69

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Authorized (IRE) 13.2% · 9–68

Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,041 runs since 2011 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,044. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,891 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,891 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 September 2006 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 26 Southwell I'll Start Monday (GB)T: John Dawson Lexy 21st Birthday Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 5/1

13 Nov 26 Southwell Out On Her Own (GB)T: Dianne Sayer JDA Grand Design Mares' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 3/1

12 Nov 26 Market Rasen Crac De Megaudais (FR)T: Tom Gretton Lincolnshire Rural Support Network Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 9/2

12 Nov 26 Market Rasen Tell The Tale (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland PricedUp Boosted Prices Daily Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 13/8F

09 Nov 26 Stratford Drumlee Orders (IRE)T: Kerry Lee 31 Days Free Racing TV At racingtv.com/freetrial Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 12/1

08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Mr Winter (IRE)T: Chris Honour Blackmores Build Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 80/1

06 Nov 26 Fontwell Wistmans Prince (GB)T: Kerry Lee Weddings At Fontwell Park Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 7/1

06 Nov 26 Fontwell Mild Magic (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland My Laces Cost More Than Your Shoes Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 11/8

05 Nov 26 Plumpton Bel Ombre (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Star Sports Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 3 ran 1st 8/13F

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Black Hawk Eagle (IRE)T: Kerry Lee Lysaght Cup Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 7/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Jerry The Dreamer (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 14/1

03 Nov 26 Warwick Risk Averse Rebel (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Alder Demain & Akers Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 7th 50/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Keno Black (FR)T: Neil Mulholland Final Fence Open 30th November Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 9/4

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Wendigo (FR)T: Jamie Snowden Colin Parker Memorial Intermediate Steeple Chase (Listed Race) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 20f · Good · 3 ran 1st 4/1

01 Nov 26 Carlisle To Chase A Dream (GB)T: John Dawson Pricedup Bog From 10am Castletown Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 3/1J

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Don't Tell Dougie (GB)T: John Dawson Pricedup Now With Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 100/1

31 Oct 26 Wetherby Geryville (FR)T: Micky Hammond Position Payout At Bet365 Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 25/1

31 Oct 26 Wetherby Some Good Men Gone (FR)T: Jessica Bedi 6 Horses Challenge At Bet365 Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 125/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford One Last Glance (GB)T: Tom Gretton J.H. Rowe Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 5/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Milan Milos (IRE)T: Tom Gretton Blaze A Trail Stratford Hat-Trick Hero Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 19 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 2) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Conor O'Farrell's strike rate?: Conor O'Farrell has won 451 of 4,822 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Conor O'Farrell do best at?: Wincanton by strike rate: 20 wins from 129 rides (15.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Conor O'Farrell ride most for?: David Pipe, with 629 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 83 (13.2%).
Is Conor O'Farrell in form?: In the last 14 days: 18 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 22.2%. That is above the baseline of 9.4% since 2008.
What is Conor O'Farrell's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 4,814 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.