As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2006100% of rides on the flat
Archive record 2005–2006
No rides from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 6 Jan 2005 to 23 Oct 2006. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.4%−2.8
n=84 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −60.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.2%−2.0
n=31 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −14.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
When claiming2.4% vs 5.2% · n=84
With G C H Chung2.5% vs 5.2% · n=40
On Standard (AW) going3.8% vs 5.2% · n=53 · A/E 0.67
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)5323.8%−38.00
Good to Firm2129.5%−7.00
Good10110%+7.00
Firm400%−4.00
Good to Soft400%−4.00
Soft300%−3.00
Heavy200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW)2514%−17.00
Wolverhampton (AW)2100%−21.00
Yarmouth1000%−10.00
Southwell (AW)400%−4.00
Brighton400%−4.00
Nottingham300%−3.00
Redcar300%−3.00
Thirsk300%−3.00
Kempton (AW)3133.3%+4.00
Pontefract200%−2.00
Beverley2150%+6.00
Warwick2150%+15.00
Goodwood200%−2.00
Epsom Downs100%−1.00
Newmarket100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 64536.7%−15.00
Class 53625.6%−20.00
Class 71000%−10.00
Class 4400%−4.00
Class 2200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite100%0.00−1.00
2nd–3rd fav5120%1.73+2.00
4th–6th fav30310%1.21−8.00
7th+ in betting6111.6%0.54−44.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f2900%−29.00
1m2f – 1m4f27414.8%+2.00
1m – 1m1f2514%−8.00
Under 6f1100%−11.00
1m5f – 2m500%−5.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20056900%−69.00
200628517.9%+18.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps5858.6%−12.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners4512.2%−38.00
14-16 runners1800%−18.00
8-10 runners1616.3%−8.00
17+ runners1317.7%+4.00
5-7 runners4250%+10.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 62 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, 2005–2006
JFMAMJJASOND
0008142098000·
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£23,363
Prize money
2006
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
The Pen (GB) — Betfair Apprentice Fillies' Handicap Beverley · Jun 2006 · Class 5
Progeny have won 5.8% of 1,127 runs since 2005 (78 horses).
Lycius (USA)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 6.4% of 375 runs since 2005 (24 horses).
Danehill (USA)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 13.2% of 3,185 runs since 2005 (270 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 9.8% from 358. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 759. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 161.
Lake Coniston (IRE)50% · 2–4
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,199 runs since 2005 (71 horses).
Night Shift (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,595 runs since 2005 (278 horses).
Daggers Drawn (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,233 runs since 2005 (176 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 239. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.8% from 125.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 97 · newest first
The latest 50 of 97 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 23 October 2006.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Dean Williams's strike rate?
Dean Williams has won 5 of 97 rides between 2005 and 2006, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
What is Dean Williams's Fair A/E?
0.95, from 97 rides with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2006. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Dean Williams·SR 5.2%·A/E 0.95
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