What is Robert Gray's strike rate?

Robert Gray has won 13 of 234 runners between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.

What is Robert Gray's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 232 runners with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Robert Gray

234 runners in our archive record, 2005–2007 · 47 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Feb 2007

Archive record 2005–2007

No runners from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 23 Jul 2005 to 5 Feb 2007. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

13–234

Wins / Runs

5.6%

Strike rate

n=234

35 (15%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=232 · 0.76 incl. margin

−108.88

£1 level stake

n=234 at SP · −46.5%

£84,481

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out 234 runners in our archive record (2005–2007), across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 234 archived runs (archive record 2005–2007) · updated 22 Oct 2026

The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −52.50 to a £1 stake over 121 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The yard also read well over 6f – 7f (10%, n=40) and on Standard (AW) going (10%, n=30). The record read poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 30 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.31 across 56 runners (1.8% strike, −47.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline

When favourite

25%

n=8 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +0.12

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.1%−1.5

n=121 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −52.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.6

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 5.6% · n=30

Over 6f – 7f 10% vs 5.6% · n=40

Over 1m5f – 2m 1.8% vs 5.6% · n=56

On Standard (AW) going 10% vs 5.6% · n=30

On Good to Firm going 2.7% vs 5.6% · n=73

In Class 5 8.3% vs 5.6% · n=72

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 129 6 4.7% −78.38

Hurdle 66 4 6.1% −32.50

Chase 34 3 8.8% +7.00

NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 73 2 2.7% −45.00

Good 40 2 5% −5.00

Good to Soft 35 3 8.6% −8.50

Soft 34 3 8.8% −13.00

Standard (AW) 30 3 10% −15.38

Heavy 13 0 0% −13.00

Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 28 3 10.7% −13.38

Newcastle 20 0 0% −20.00

Musselburgh 19 0 0% −19.00

Sedgefield 19 2 10.5% −2.00

Market Rasen 17 3 17.6% +5.50

Catterick 16 1 6.3% −3.00

Beverley 15 0 0% −15.00

Redcar 11 0 0% −11.00

Haydock 10 1 10% −1.00

Carlisle 10 0 0% −10.00

Pontefract 8 1 12.5% +0.00

Hexham 7 1 14.3% +19.00

York 7 0 0% −7.00

Thirsk 6 0 0% −6.00

Hamilton 5 1 20% +10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 72 6 8.3% −2.50

Class 6 58 2 3.4% −48.88

Class 4 57 4 7% −19.50

Class 3 25 1 4% −16.00

Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00

Class 7 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 11 3 27.3% 1.21 +5.12

2nd–3rd fav 23 3 13% 0.97 −4.50

4th–6th fav 71 4 5.6% 0.75 −34.50

7th+ in betting 129 3 2.3% 0.83 −75.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Overstrand (IRE)then Dr Richard Newland 15 1 2 8 Jul 06

Noble Edge (GB)then Karen McLintock 14 0 4 10 Nov 06

Our Mary (IRE) 14 0 3 10 Oct 06

Catch The Cat (IRE)then Samuel Murphy 12 1 3 27 Aug 06

Rifleman (IRE)then Brian Ellison 11 1 1 11 Aug 06

Samson des Galas (FR)then Lee James 10 0 2 28 Aug 06

Grandma's Girl (GB) 10 0 1 8 Aug 06

Bailieborough (IRE)then Brian Ellison 10 2 3 7 Jul 06

Sheer Guts (IRE) 9 2 3 3 Feb 07

Lady Predominant (GB) 9 0 0 2 Jan 06

Mis Chicaf (IRE)then Declan Carroll 8 0 0 24 Aug 06

Owed (GB)then Brian Ellison 8 3 3 23 Feb 06

All 47 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 47 horses listed, 25 have since run for another yard, most often for Brian Ellison (7) and Tracy Waggott (4); 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. Where a horse came from is not stated on an archive-era record: our archive cannot see before 2005. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 2005–2007

JFMAMJJASOND

36010000498418

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Greg Fairley 19 3 15.8% +10.50

Andrew Mullen 19 0 0% −19.00

Hayley Turner 18 2 11.1% −9.88

Ollie McPhail 16 1 6.3% −10.00

Mr Tom Greenway 16 1 6.3% +10.00

Mr M Lurcock 15 0 0% −15.00

Andrew Thornton 14 2 14.3% +1.00

Tony Dobbin 10 2 20% +6.50

Cathy Gannon 7 0 0% −7.00

Saleem Golam 7 0 0% −7.00

Daniel Tudhope 6 1 16.7% +7.00

Neil Callan 6 0 0% −6.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£84,481

Prize money

2005

Best season · 9 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.

Bailieborough (IRE) — Weatherbys Bank Handicap Catterick · Sep 2005 · Class 4

£6,933

Bailieborough (IRE) — Renault Kangoo Handicap Pontefract · Sep 2005 · Class 5

£5,741

Nowator (POL) — Newton Police Handicap Chase Haydock · Dec 2005 · Class 3

£5,390

Notable horses

Owed (GB) Bailieborough (IRE) Sheer Guts (IRE) Overstrand (IRE) Catch The Cat (IRE) Rifleman (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

In The Wings (GB) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 11% of 3,765 runs since 2005 (230 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 166.

Bold Edge (GB) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,637 runs since 2005 (81 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.4% from 160.

Mujadil (USA) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,480 runs since 2005 (245 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 18% from 111.

Catrail (USA) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 6.3% of 367 runs since 2005 (32 horses).

Starborough (GB) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 10.9% of 790 runs since 2005 (97 horses). Strongest on Good going: 16.4% from 219. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.3% from 131.

Agent Bleu (FR) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 17.4% of 368 runs since 2005 (48 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13% from 138.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 234 · newest first

The latest 50 of 234 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 July 2005 to 5 February 2007.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Feb 07 Hexham Bright (GB)J: Mr M Lurcock Joe Routledge Juvenile Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran PU 250/1

05 Feb 07 Hexham Redhot Fillypepper (GB)J: Mr M Lurcock Tyne Rivers Trust 'NH' Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran PU 200/1

03 Feb 07 Wetherby Sheer Guts (IRE)J: Tony Dobbin Breast Cancer Campaign Research Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 9/1

31 Jan 07 Newcastle Dashing Charm (GB)J: Mr Tom Greenway Gosforth Decorating Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 14 ran 4th 11/2J

25 Jan 07 Southwell (AW) Bright (GB)J: Emmett Stack Pontin's Family Holidays Classified StksClass 7 · 14f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 100/1

24 Jan 07 Catterick Dashing Charm (GB)J: Mr M Lurcock Richmond Beginners' ChaseClass 4 · 19f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 200/1

17 Jan 07 Newcastle Sheer Guts (IRE)J: Mr M Lurcock Weatherbys Bank Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 14 ran 12th 100/1

17 Jan 07 Newcastle Redhot Fillypepper (GB)J: Mr M Lurcock Clarkson Hill Group PLC Mares' Only Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 17 ran 15th 200/1

31 Dec 06 Warwick Redhot Fillypepper (GB)J: Mr M Lurcock E.B.F. Mares' Only 'NH' Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier)Class 4 · 21f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 100/1

31 Dec 06 Warwick Dashing Charm (GB)J: Mr M Lurcock Warwick Beginners' ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Heavy · 5 ran 4th 80/1

21 Dec 06 Ludlow Bright (GB)J: Mr M Lurcock Tanners Claret Juvenile Novices' Selling HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 100/1

16 Dec 06 Haydock Miznix (GB)J: David Cullinane Northern Racing Club Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 12.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 12th 33/1

09 Dec 06 Market Rasen Sheer Guts (IRE)J: Andrew Thornton Jack Dixon Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 25/1

09 Dec 06 Southwell (AW) Bright (GB)J: Hayley Turner southwell-racecourse.co.uk Claiming StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 100/1

25 Nov 06 Newcastle Urban Freeway (IRE)J: Mr M Lurcock Gosforth Decorating And Building Services Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 150/1

25 Nov 06 Newcastle Dashing Charm (GB)J: Mr M Lurcock World Bet Exchange Now Live At wbx.Com Novices' ChaseClass 3 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 3rd 100/1

10 Nov 06 Newcastle Urban Freeway (IRE)J: Mr M Lurcock Interface Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 17 ran PU 100/1

10 Nov 06 Newcastle Noble Edge (GB)J: Dominic Elsworth Betfred Poker Juvenile Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 7th 50/1

07 Nov 06 Sedgefield Vic's Charm (IRE)J: Graham Lee gg.com Standard Open NH FlatClass 6 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 7th 20/1

03 Nov 06 Hexham What A Blaze (IRE)J: David Cullinane Brooke Hospital Mares' Only Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 16th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robert Gray's strike rate?: Robert Gray has won 13 of 234 runners between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
What is Robert Gray's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 232 runners with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.