Declan Cannon
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 200 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (98 rides).
It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (0% over 38 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.3% (n=98, Fair A/E 0.99), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=129, Fair A/E 0.76). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −102.50 to a £1 stake over 198 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Alan McCabe supplied 18% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.7% vs 7.1%, A/E 1.32) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The standout partner of the record was Just Paul (IRE) — 5 wins from 7 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jan–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,287 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,287 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 April 2005 to 9 October 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Declan Cannon's strike rate?
- Declan Cannon has won 84 of 1,179 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Declan Cannon do best at?
- Hamilton by strike rate: 4 wins from 37 rides (10.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Declan Cannon ride most for?
- Alan McCabe, with 207 rides since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (9.7%).
- What is Declan Cannon's Fair A/E?
- 0.98, from 1,170 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.