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Jockey profile

Derek Nolan

165 rides in our archive record, 2005–2007 · 119 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Aug 2007 98% of rides on the flat
Archive record 2005–2007
No rides from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 4 Jan 2005 to 4 Aug 2007. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
11–165
Wins / Runs
6.7%
Strike rate
n=165
32 (19%)
Placed
0.84
Fair A/E
n=164 · 0.69 incl. margin
−80.92
£1 level stake
n=165 at SP · −49.0%
£48,086
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode 165 times in our archive record (2005–2007), almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.84).

Deterministic profile computed from 165 archived runs (archive record 2005–2007) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming: 7.4%
The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (11.8%, n=34), clear of the rider's 6.7% baseline. The rider also read well over 1m2f – 1m4f (12.5%, n=32). The record read poorly on Good to Firm going — 0% over 31 rides, 6.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline
When favourite
33.3%
n=9 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +2.58
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.4%+0.7
n=149 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −64.92
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.1%−2.6
n=49 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −27.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going 0% vs 6.7% · n=31
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 12.5% vs 6.7% · n=32
At Lingfield (AW) 11.8% vs 6.7% · n=34
In Class 6 9.4% vs 6.7% · n=53
On Standard (AW) going 8.9% vs 6.7% · n=79
Over 1m – 1m1f 4.5% vs 6.7% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 162 11 6.8% −77.92
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 79 7 8.9% −25.50
Good to Firm 31 0 0% −31.00
Good 30 2 6.7% −20.75
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Soft 8 2 25% +13.33
Firm 6 0 0% −6.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 34 4 11.8% −0.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 28 1 3.6% −24.00
Southwell (AW) 13 2 15.4% +3.00
Leicester 11 2 18.2% −2.92
Yarmouth 7 0 0% −7.00
Nottingham 5 0 0% −5.00
Haydock 5 0 0% −5.00
Bath 5 0 0% −5.00
Brighton 5 1 20% +0.50
Kempton (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Warwick 4 0 0% −4.00
Pontefract 4 0 0% −4.00
Windsor 3 0 0% −3.00
Catterick 3 0 0% −3.00
Ripon 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 63 4 6.3% −46.75
Class 6 53 5 9.4% −7.67
Class 7 25 2 8% −2.50
Class 4 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 3 21.4% 0.99 −2.42
2nd–3rd fav 33 6 18.2% 1.42 +5.50
4th–6th fav 46 0 0% 0.00 −46.00
7th+ in betting 72 2 2.8% 0.84 −38.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Smokey Blue (GB) 5 0 0 10 Jun 06
Stage Manager (IRE) 5 1 1 3 May 06
Stamford Blue (GB) 4 1 1 30 May 05
La Gitana (GB) 4 1 2 31 Mar 05
Cooleycall Star (IRE) 4 0 4 21 Feb 05
Mountain Pass (USA) 3 0 0 11 Jul 06
Maria Antonia (IRE) 3 0 0 10 Jun 06
Meditation (GB) 3 0 1 5 Jun 06
Russian Mist (IRE) 3 0 0 10 May 06
Fight On (IRE) 3 0 0 4 Aug 05
Mr Whizz (GB) 3 1 1 22 May 05
Larad (IRE) 3 0 0 4 Apr 05
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 119 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 2005–2007
JFMAMJJASOND
1190155060··00
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardM J Wallace
24% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 0.94
TrainerRWSR£1
M J Wallace 40 3 7.5% −20.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
11
Archived wins
£48,086
Prize money
2006
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Participation (GB) — ladbrokes.com Claiming Stakes Leicester · Jul 2006 · Class 5
£4,534
Latif (USA) — Ashby London Apprentice Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Apr 2006 · Class 5
£3,886
Glad Big (GER) — Tom Winters Lifetime In Racing Apprentice Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2006 · Class 5
£3,239
Notable horses
Stage Manager (IRE) Stamford Blue (GB) La Gitana (GB) Mr Whizz (GB) Latif (USA) Pawn In Life (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Tomba (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,257 runs since 2005 (75 horses).
Desert Prince (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.3% of 4,883 runs since 2005 (302 horses).
In The Wings (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11% of 3,765 runs since 2005 (230 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 166.
Singspiel (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 12% of 6,100 runs since 2005 (525 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 26.1% from 111. Weakest on Soft going: 8.9% from 704.
Bluegrass Prince (IRE) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 7.4% of 514 runs since 2005 (38 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.9% from 134.
Desert Sun (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,471 runs since 2005 (144 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.3% from 818. Weakest on Soft going: 4.3% from 281.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 165 · newest first

The latest 50 of 165 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 4 August 2007.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Aug 07 Windsor Yankee Storm (GB)T: M J Wallace Norma Murray's Birthday Wedding EBF Median Auction Maiden StClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 10th 50/1
02 Aug 07 Musselburgh Lake Hero (GB)T: M J Wallace John Smith's Extra Cold HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 12th 18/1
02 Aug 07 Musselburgh Tan Bonita (USA)T: M J Wallace John Smith's No Nonsense Nursery HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 10/1
09 Jun 07 Curragh Aunty Euro (IRE)T: Patrick Morris Gallo Turning Leaf EBF (Fillies) Handicap (60-90)8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 9th 33/1
31 May 07 Punchestown Snow Point (IRE)T: Patrick Morris Ballymore Properties (Mares) Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Firm · 25 ran 7th 25/1
07 May 07 Curragh Christianus (IRE)T: Adrian Sexton Antonius Pius Maiden7f · Good · 25 ran 22nd 50/1
14 Dec 06 Catterick Stagecoach Amber (USA)T: Sue Smith 'Come Racing 28th December' Intermediate Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 28/1
03 Nov 06 Hexham Flora May (GB)T: Sue Smith Brooke Hospital Mares' Only Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 3rd 9/1
14 Aug 06 Windsor Duke Of Milan (IRE)T: Giles Bravery Play Blackjack At VC Casino.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 20/1
18 Jul 06 Newcastle Wolfman (GB)T: D W Barker Transcend Bloodstock Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 15th 50/1
15 Jul 06 Lingfield (AW) Trifti (GB)T: C A Cyzer 180 Casino Games At ladbrokescasino.com HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 33/1
15 Jul 06 Lingfield (AW) Three Decades (IRE)T: C A Cyzer play Backgammon At ladbrokes.com Nursery HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 14/1
11 Jul 06 Wolverhampton (AW) Mountain Pass (USA)T: M J Wallace William Hill 0800 44 40 40 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 20/1
11 Jul 06 Wolverhampton (AW) Athboy Nights (IRE)T: M J Wallace williamhill.co.Uk HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 20/1
08 Jul 06 Leicester Participation (GB)T: M J Wallace ladbrokes.com Claiming StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 1st 11/4F
07 Jul 06 Southwell (AW) Noorain (GB)T: Stef Higgins Book Tickets On-Line HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 8/1
06 Jul 06 Newbury Bukit Fraser (IRE)T: Paul Cole stanjamesuk.com Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 16/1
06 Jul 06 Haydock Pomfret Lad (GB)T: John Quinn Easibed HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 10th 20/1
05 Jul 06 Kempton (AW) Mountain Pass (USA)T: M J Wallace Weatherbys Messaging Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 13/2
30 Jun 06 Wolverhampton (AW) Imperial Lucky (IRE)T: M J Wallace Yell HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 3/1J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Derek Nolan's strike rate?
Derek Nolan has won 11 of 165 rides between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
Which course does Derek Nolan do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 rides (11.8%) between 2005 and 2007. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Derek Nolan's Fair A/E?
0.84, from 164 rides with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008). This profile has no runs from 2008, so every figure on this page counts from the start of the archive instead.