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Trainer profile

Stef Higgins

507 runners in the lifetime window · 44 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2011 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
58–507
Wins / Runs
11.4%
Strike rate
n=507
151 (30%)
Placed
1.15
Fair A/E
n=506 · 0.98 incl. margin
+30.86
£1 level stake
n=507 at SP · +6.1%
£466k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 13% off breaks of two months or more (77 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 507 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Oct–Nov Fresh horses: 13% 32.4% when favourite Micky Fenton: 12.4% from 225 Sent off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (17.1%, n=35), clear of the yard's 11.4% baseline. It is weakest at Windsor (3.3% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Micky Fenton rode 44% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.4%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 61-180-day break (16.3%, n=49). The record read poorly in Class 3 — 3.2% over 31 runners, 8.2pts below the baseline. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Investec Diomed Stakes at Epsom Downs (Jun 2009, £36,901). The stable star of the record was Councellor (FR) — 9 wins from 62 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
13%+1.6
n=77 · A/E 1.66 · £1 +19.63
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.3%−3.1
n=24 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −3.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−11.4
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−11.4
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
25%+13.6
n=12 · A/E 3.13 · £1 +13.50
When favourite
32.4%
n=34 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +3.36
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10.3%−1.1
n=29 · A/E 1.63 · £1 +34.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
22.7%+11.3
n=22 · A/E 4.68 · £1 +49.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 3 3.2% vs 11.4% · n=31
At Windsor 3.3% vs 11.4% · n=30
Off a 31-60-day break 5.8% vs 11.4% · n=52
At Southwell (AW) 17.1% vs 11.4% · n=35
Off a 61-180-day break 16.3% vs 11.4% · n=49
On last-time-out winners 6.8% vs 11.4% · n=59
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 303 36 11.9% −0.14
Good to Firm 97 12 12.4% −1.25
Good 71 8 11.3% +51.50
Good to Soft 20 1 5% −7.00
Firm 9 1 11.1% −5.25
Soft 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 106 11 10.4% +25.83
Lingfield (AW) 82 9 11% −16.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 75 10 13.3% −18.47
Southwell (AW) 35 6 17.1% +14.00
Windsor 30 1 3.3% −25.50
Bath 18 1 5.6% −14.25
Goodwood 18 2 11.1% −4.00
Folkestone 14 4 28.6% +2.75
Brighton 14 2 14.3% +8.00
Newmarket 13 2 15.4% +22.00
Salisbury 13 3 23.1% +30.00
Leicester 10 2 20% +4.00
Ascot 9 0 0% −9.00
Warwick 8 1 12.5% −3.50
Sandown 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 162 21 13% +25.91
Class 5 147 17 11.6% −17.38
Class 4 123 12 9.8% +2.33
Class 3 31 1 3.2% −23.00
Class 1 22 5 22.7% +49.00
Class 2 21 2 9.5% −5.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 43 11 25.6% 1.00 −5.64
2nd–3rd fav 117 18 15.4% 1.01 −11.50
4th–6th fav 173 22 12.7% 1.52 +49.00
7th+ in betting 174 7 4% 1.01 −1.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fault (GB)from Roger Charlton · then Tony Newcombe 46 7 16 21 Aug 11
Sarah's Art (IRE)from Miss D A McHale · then Derek Shaw 35 7 13 13 Aug 11
Victorian Bounty (GB)from E J O'Neill · then Tony Newcombe 33 5 9 2 Sep 11
Councellor (FR)from Richard Hannon Snr · then Derek Shaw 29 3 7 12 Aug 11
Siena Star (IRE)from Tracy Waggott 27 3 9 11 May 10
Freddie's Girl (USA)then Seamus Durack 26 3 10 19 Jan 11
My Best Bet (GB)from Mick Channon · then Derek Shaw 16 2 8 27 Sep 10
Bartercard (USA)from Charlie Mann 16 2 6 18 Aug 08
Woop Woop (IRE)then Ian Williams 15 1 6 9 Sep 11
Mac Love (GB)from Jeremy Noseda · then Roger Charlton 15 4 5 11 Aug 11
Satwa Gold (USA)from Ed Dunlop · then Seamus Durack 15 2 4 10 Feb 11
Green Lagonda (AUS)from James Given · then David Evans 15 0 6 22 Jun 09
All 44 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 44 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from James Given (2) and Jeremy Noseda (2); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

27 have since run for another yard, most often for Tony Newcombe (5) and Derek Shaw (3); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
15892041181311131512
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMicky Fenton
44% of all rides
12.4% SR · A/E 1.26
RiderRWSR£1
Micky Fenton 225 28 12.4% +0.16
Tom Queally 84 10 11.9% +5.08
Adam Kirby 51 8 15.7% +2.12
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
112
Archived wins
6
Pattern / graded wins
£817k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 25 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mac Love (GB) — Investec Diomed Stakes (Group 3) Epsom Downs · Jun 2009 · Group 3
£36,901
Mac Love (GB) — Select Racing UK On Sky 432 Stakes (Group 3) Goodwood · Sep 2009 · Group 3
£36,901
Mac Love (GB) — Totesport.com Sovereign Stakes (Group 3) Salisbury · Aug 2009 · Group 3
£36,901
Notable horses
Councellor (FR) Sarah's Art (IRE) Siena Star (IRE) Fault (GB) Tyzack (IRE) Victorian Bounty (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bahamian Bounty (GB) 16.3% · 15–92
Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.
City On A Hill (USA) 20% · 7–35
Progeny have won 9.8% of 632 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Gilded Time (USA) 10.3% · 3–29
Progeny have won 6% of 67 runs since 2008 (6 horses).
Brief Truce (USA) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 7.3% of 137 runs since 2008 (12 horses).
More Than Ready (USA) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 10.5% of 1,719 runs since 2008 (180 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.4% from 135. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 110. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.5% from 122.
Cape Cross (IRE) 22.2% · 4–18
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,085 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,085 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 9 September 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Sep 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Woop Woop (IRE)J: Jimmy Quinn mobet.williamhill.com HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Standard To Fast · 4 ran 4th 11/1
02 Sep 11 Haydock Victorian Bounty (GB)J: Neil Callan Betfred Sprint Festival Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 7th 10/1
25 Aug 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Woop Woop (IRE)J: Jimmy Quinn Enjoy The Party Pack Group Offer Claiming StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 7/2
21 Aug 11 Folkestone Fault (GB)J: Seb Sanders toteexacta Selling Stakes (Str)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 5/2
20 Aug 11 York Himalya (IRE)J: Steve Drowne Debenhams City Of York Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 11th 25/1
13 Aug 11 Newmarket Dunhoy (IRE)J: Jimmy Quinn Mickey Flynn's American Pool Hall HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 9th 12/1
13 Aug 11 Newmarket Sarah's Art (IRE)J: Jim Crowley Sky Bet Grey Horse Handicap (For Grey Horses Only)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 19 ran 16th 11/1
12 Aug 11 Kempton (AW) Councellor (FR)J: John Fahy Betfred 'The Bonus King' Handicap (London Mile Qualifier)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 50/1
11 Aug 11 Salisbury Mac Love (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave totepool Sovereign Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 9th 33/1
10 Aug 11 Beverley Fault (GB)J: Micky Fenton Journal Classified Claiming StakesClass 6 · 7.5f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 10/1
08 Aug 11 Windsor Victorian Bounty (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Vestra Wealth Management HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 11/1
03 Aug 11 Kempton (AW) Woop Woop (IRE)J: Adam Kirby Betdaq Mobile Apps HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 12/1
27 Jul 11 Sandown Dunhoy (IRE)J: Jimmy Quinn Bcl Burton Copeland HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 8th 8/1
25 Jul 11 Yarmouth Fault (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Happy Birthday Paul Mason HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 6th 7/1
25 Jul 11 Yarmouth Victorian Bounty (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Martin Foulger Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 1st 13/2
23 Jul 11 Salisbury Ever The Optimist (IRE)J: Jimmy Quinn Ellie Grimes Birthday Celebration Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 5th 18/1
09 Jul 11 Chester Victorian Bounty (GB)J: Liam Keniry Totequickpick HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 8th 5/1
08 Jul 11 Ascot Dunhoy (IRE)J: Jimmy Quinn Close Property Finance Handicap (Rnd)Class 3 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 17/2
07 Jul 11 Folkestone Woop Woop (IRE)J: Seb Sanders Roman Road Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 7/2
02 Jul 11 Leicester Fault (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Taylor Wimpey Homes HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 1st 4/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stef Higgins's strike rate?
Stef Higgins has won 58 of 507 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stef Higgins do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 35 runners (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Stef Higgins?
Micky Fenton, with 225 runners since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (12.4%).
What is Stef Higgins's Fair A/E?
1.15, from 506 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).