No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
24–169
Wins / Runs
14.2%
Strike rate
n=169
53 (31%)
Placed
0.98
Fair A/E
n=168 · 0.83 incl. margin
−49.24
£1 level stake
n=169 at SP · −29.1%
£388k
Prize money (window)
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 170 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).
Deterministic profile computed from 169 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read
The yard also read well in Class 5 (21%, n=62) and off a 15-30-day break (20%, n=55). The market has also underrated the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 1.38 across 85 runners (18.8% strike, +3.72 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly at trips under 6f — 7.5% over 40 runners, 6.7pts below the baseline. 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Majestic Barriere de Cannes at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2007, £96,520). The stable star of the record was Benbaun (IRE) — 7 wins from 24 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
11.5%−2.7
n=26 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −1.67
New recruits · first run for the yard
25%+10.8
n=4 · A/E 3.80 · £1 +4.00
Debutants · first career start
14.3%+0.1
n=21 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
14.3%+0.1
n=7 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +4.00
When favourite
35.7%
n=28 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −1.45
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
20%+5.8
n=5 · A/E 1.53 · £1 −2.38
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.9%−8.3
n=17 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −14.25
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Class 521% vs 14.2% · n=62
At trips under 6f7.5% vs 14.2% · n=40
Off a 15-30-day break20% vs 14.2% · n=55
Over 6f – 7f18.8% vs 14.2% · n=85
In Class 48.8% vs 14.2% · n=34
On Standard (AW) going17.6% vs 14.2% · n=91
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)911617.6%−8.47
Good2913.4%−18.00
Good to Firm23417.4%−5.85
Soft1200%−12.00
Good to Soft11327.3%−1.92
Firm200%−2.00
Heavy100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW)26311.5%−13.75
Kempton (AW)20420%+8.38
Chelmsford (AW)17211.8%−9.50
Wolverhampton (AW)14321.4%+2.92
Southwell (AW)13323.1%+1.73
Yarmouth9111.1%−4.00
Newmarket600%−6.00
Beverley5240%+1.95
Thirsk5120%−2.80
Curragh400%−4.00
Catterick400%−4.00
Doncaster400%−4.00
Lingfield3133.3%+5.00
Ascot300%−3.00
Folkestone300%−3.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 5621321%−0.80
Class 638513.2%−4.27
Class 43438.8%−17.05
Class 11715.9%−14.25
Class 310220%−4.87
Class 2700%−7.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite331133.3%1.04−3.57
2nd–3rd fav52917.3%1.06−4.17
4th–6th fav4736.4%0.79−15.50
7th+ in betting3712.7%0.63−26.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f851618.8%+3.72
Under 6f4037.5%−25.50
1m2f – 1m4f23417.4%−10.46
1m – 1m1f2015%−16.00
1m5f – 2m100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps711318.3%+4.27
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners51713.7%−4.17
8-10 runners50612%−27.24
5-7 runners39820.5%−12.83
14-16 runners17211.8%−1.00
17+ runners8112.5%+0.00
2-4 runners400%−4.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 43 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 37 had their first archived run for this yard.
29 have since run for another yard, most often for Mick Quinn (4) and Kevin Ryan (3); 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
250171231138131423··
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
91
Archived wins
8
Pattern / graded wins
£1.26m
Prize money
2007
Best season · 33 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Benbaun (IRE) — Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Majestic Barriere de Cannes Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2007 · Group 1
£96,520
Benbaun (IRE) — King Of Beer Stakes (listed) Curragh · Jun 2005 · Listed
£65,100
Benbaun (IRE) — Weatherbys Ireland Greenlands Stakes Curragh (IRE) · May 2007 · Group 3
Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,074 runs since 2008 (66 horses).
No Excuse Needed (GB)18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 7.9% of 240 runs since 2008 (19 horses).
Royal Applause (GB)0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE)25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,562 runs since 2008 (871 horses).
Danetime (IRE)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.
Desert Story (IRE)28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 7.6% of 250 runs since 2008 (22 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 691 · newest first
The latest 50 of 691 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 30 October 2008.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is M J Wallace's strike rate?
M J Wallace has won 24 of 169 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is M J Wallace's Fair A/E?
0.98, from 168 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
M J Wallace·SR 14.2%·A/E 0.98
KTB
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