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Trainer profile

M J Wallace

169 runners in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2008 100% of runners on the flat
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
24–169
Wins / Runs
14.2%
Strike rate
n=169
53 (31%)
Placed
0.98
Fair A/E
n=168 · 0.83 incl. margin
−49.24
£1 level stake
n=169 at SP · −29.1%
£388k
Prize money (window)
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 170 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 169 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also read well in Class 5 (21%, n=62) and off a 15-30-day break (20%, n=55). The market has also underrated the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 1.38 across 85 runners (18.8% strike, +3.72 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly at trips under 6f — 7.5% over 40 runners, 6.7pts below the baseline. 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Majestic Barriere de Cannes at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2007, £96,520). The stable star of the record was Benbaun (IRE) — 7 wins from 24 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
11.5%−2.7
n=26 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −1.67
New recruits · first run for the yard
25%+10.8
n=4 · A/E 3.80 · £1 +4.00
Debutants · first career start
14.3%+0.1
n=21 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
14.3%+0.1
n=7 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +4.00
When favourite
35.7%
n=28 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −1.45
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
20%+5.8
n=5 · A/E 1.53 · £1 −2.38
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.9%−8.3
n=17 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −14.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 21% vs 14.2% · n=62
At trips under 6f 7.5% vs 14.2% · n=40
Off a 15-30-day break 20% vs 14.2% · n=55
Over 6f – 7f 18.8% vs 14.2% · n=85
In Class 4 8.8% vs 14.2% · n=34
On Standard (AW) going 17.6% vs 14.2% · n=91
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 91 16 17.6% −8.47
Good 29 1 3.4% −18.00
Good to Firm 23 4 17.4% −5.85
Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 11 3 27.3% −1.92
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 26 3 11.5% −13.75
Kempton (AW) 20 4 20% +8.38
Chelmsford (AW) 17 2 11.8% −9.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 14 3 21.4% +2.92
Southwell (AW) 13 3 23.1% +1.73
Yarmouth 9 1 11.1% −4.00
Newmarket 6 0 0% −6.00
Beverley 5 2 40% +1.95
Thirsk 5 1 20% −2.80
Curragh 4 0 0% −4.00
Catterick 4 0 0% −4.00
Doncaster 4 0 0% −4.00
Lingfield 3 1 33.3% +5.00
Ascot 3 0 0% −3.00
Folkestone 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 62 13 21% −0.80
Class 6 38 5 13.2% −4.27
Class 4 34 3 8.8% −17.05
Class 1 17 1 5.9% −14.25
Class 3 10 2 20% −4.87
Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 33 11 33.3% 1.04 −3.57
2nd–3rd fav 52 9 17.3% 1.06 −4.17
4th–6th fav 47 3 6.4% 0.79 −15.50
7th+ in betting 37 1 2.7% 0.63 −26.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Baunagain (IRE)then Peter Chapple-Hyam 11 2 4 22 Sep 08
Royal Soverin (GB) 9 0 2 22 Aug 08
Millie's Rock (IRE)from Mick Channon · then Kevin Ryan 8 2 3 19 Jul 08
Imperial Lucky (IRE)from David Nicholls 7 2 3 18 Oct 08
Benbaun (IRE)then Kevin Ryan 7 0 2 28 Sep 08
Spring Tale (USA) 7 1 3 20 Sep 08
Geoffdaw (GB)then David Evans 7 2 2 14 Sep 08
Kate The Great (GB)then Clive Cox 7 1 3 21 Aug 08
Manchurian (GB) 6 1 2 28 Jul 08
Les Fazzani (IRE)then Kevin Ryan 5 0 1 30 Oct 08
Usetheforce (IRE)then Mick Quinn 5 0 0 21 Oct 08
Chantilly Dancer (IRE)then Mick Quinn 5 0 0 7 Oct 08
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

29 have since run for another yard, most often for Mick Quinn (4) and Kevin Ryan (3); 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
250171231138131423··
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPat Cosgrave
25% of all rides
16.3% SR · A/E 1.18
RiderRWSR£1
Pat Cosgrave 43 7 16.3% −0.52
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
91
Archived wins
8
Pattern / graded wins
£1.26m
Prize money
2007
Best season · 33 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Benbaun (IRE) — Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Majestic Barriere de Cannes Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2007 · Group 1
£96,520
Benbaun (IRE) — King Of Beer Stakes (listed) Curragh · Jun 2005 · Listed
£65,100
Benbaun (IRE) — Weatherbys Ireland Greenlands Stakes Curragh (IRE) · May 2007 · Group 3
£52,000

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Stravinsky (USA) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,074 runs since 2008 (66 horses).
No Excuse Needed (GB) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 7.9% of 240 runs since 2008 (19 horses).
Royal Applause (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,562 runs since 2008 (871 horses).
Danetime (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.
Desert Story (IRE) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 7.6% of 250 runs since 2008 (22 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 691 · newest first

The latest 50 of 691 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 30 October 2008.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Oct 08 Lingfield (AW) Usetheforce (IRE)J: Shane Kelly Marsh Green Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 10/1
14 Oct 08 Leicester Usetheforce (IRE)J: Eddie Ahern Whissendine Selling StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 17 ran 11th 16/1
04 Oct 08 Newmarket Vitoria (IRE)J: Eddie Ahern Tattersalls Timeform Fillies' 800Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 2nd 7/1
26 Sep 08 Haydock Kay Gee Be (IRE)J: Jamie Spencer Griffiths & Armour HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 10th 7/1
25 Sep 08 Pontefract Residency (IRE)J: Ted Durcan E.B.F. Poppin Lane Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 10th 16/1
22 Sep 08 Kempton (AW) Baunagain (IRE)J: Jamie Spencer Avanta HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 7/2
18 Sep 08 Chelmsford (AW) Usetheforce (IRE)J: Eddie Ahern Hector HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 15 ran 12th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M J Wallace's strike rate?
M J Wallace has won 24 of 169 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is M J Wallace's Fair A/E?
0.98, from 168 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).