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Trainer profile

Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

101 runners in the last 5 seasons · 20 individual horses
As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 91% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)
from 1 Jan 2022
12–101
Wins / Runs
11.9%
Strike rate
n=101
32 (32%)
Placed
1.07
Fair A/E
n=101 · 0.89 incl. margin
−3.34
£1 level stake
n=101 at SP · −3.3%
£73,897
Prize money (window)
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07).

Deterministic profile computed from 101 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (15.6%, n=32). The market has also underrated the yard in Class 6: Fair A/E 1.19 across 75 runners (14.7% strike, +18.66 to a £1 stake).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−11.9
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−11.9
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−11.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
25%+13.1
n=4 · A/E 3.56 · £1 +9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−11.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
20%
n=15 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −2.67
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
12.5%+0.6
n=16 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 2.7% vs 11.9% · n=37
Over 1m – 1m1f 15.6% vs 11.9% · n=32
In Class 6 14.7% vs 11.9% · n=75
In Flat races 13% vs 11.9% · n=92 · A/E 1.17
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 92 12 13% +5.66
Hurdle 8 0 0% −8.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 66 8 12.1% −24.17
Good 16 2 12.5% +6.50
Good to Firm 14 2 14.3% +19.33
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 31 4 12.9% −7.17
Southwell (AW) 25 4 16% −7.00
Newcastle (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Beverley 4 1 25% +9.00
Carlisle 4 1 25% +0.33
Pontefract 3 2 66.7% +35.50
Ayr 3 0 0% −3.00
Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Catterick 3 0 0% −3.00
Bangor-on-Dee 2 0 0% −2.00
Haydock 2 0 0% −2.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Redcar 2 0 0% −2.00
Worcester 1 0 0% −1.00
Chepstow 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 75 11 14.7% +18.66
Class 5 24 1 4.2% −20.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 3 18.8% 0.74 −3.67
2nd–3rd fav 23 5 21.7% 1.29 +3.33
4th–6th fav 28 3 10.7% 1.41 +2.00
7th+ in betting 34 1 2.9% 0.85 −5.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Captain Pickles (IRE)from Stella Barclay 11 3 7 27 Aug 26
Bossy Parker (IRE)from Stella Barclay 10 1 3 8 Oct 26
Balqaa (GB)from Stella Barclay 10 1 2 31 Jul 26
Go Victor (IRE)from Stella Barclay 8 3 4 5 Oct 26
Wolf Of Badenoch (GB)from Stella Barclay 7 1 2 24 Jul 26
Spirit Of Bowland (GB)from Stella Barclay 7 1 4 29 Apr 26
Cloch Nua (GB)from Stella Barclay 6 0 2 17 Oct 26
Basholo (IRE)from Stella Barclay 6 0 0 15 Sep 26
Dante's Inferno (GB)from Stella Barclay 5 0 1 13 Oct 26
Mr De Maggs (GB) 4 0 0 16 Oct 26
Iolaos Du Mou (FR)from Stella Barclay 4 0 1 19 Aug 26
Our Hero Matty (IRE)from Brian Ellison 4 0 0 17 Aug 26
All 20 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 20 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Stella Barclay (14); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Rebecca Menzies (2); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 6
Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
618390001401311··
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Stevie Donohoe 22 5 22.7% +1.16
Zak Wheatley 15 2 13.3% −3.00
Paul Mulrennan 8 0 0% −8.00
Jason Hart 7 1 14.3% +0.50
Barry McHugh 5 0 0% −5.00
Tabitha Worsley 5 0 0% −5.00
Sean Dylan Bowen 4 0 0% −4.00
Billy Garritty 4 3 75% +47.50
Cieren Fallon 3 0 0% −3.00
George Wood 3 0 0% −3.00
Dougie Costello 2 0 0% −2.00
Jamie Spencer 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→
12
Archived wins
£73,897
Prize money
2026
Best season · 12 wins
Captain Pickles (IRE) — BetMGM Supports Safer Gambling Classified Stakes (Div 1) Wolverhampton (AW) · Jan 2026 · Class 6
£4,711
Captain Pickles (IRE) — Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Classified Stakes Southwell (AW) · Mar 2026 · Class 6
£4,711
Go Victor (IRE) — John Allinson 90th Birthday Handicap Stakes Beverley · Sep 2026 · Class 6
£4,266
Notable horses
Captain Pickles (IRE) Go Victor (IRE) Skycutter (FR) Bossy Parker (IRE) Balqaa (GB) Spirit Of Bowland (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dark Angel (IRE) 27.3% · 3–11
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,868 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Kodiac (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,530 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Cable Bay (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,711 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 641. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
Pinatubo (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 13.8% of 1,072 runs since 2008 (181 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 10% from 110.
Victor Ludorum (GB) 37.5% · 3–8
Progeny have won 7.9% of 495 runs since 2008 (104 horses).
Coach House (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,476 runs since 2008 (145 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 101 · newest first

The latest 50 of 101 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2026 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mayflyer (GB)J: Sean Dylan Bowen Winter Ladies Night Saturday 28th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 14/1
17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Cloch Nua (GB)J: Sean Dylan Bowen Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 33/1
16 Oct 26 Redcar Mr De Maggs (GB)J: Faye McManoman Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 100/1
13 Oct 26 Southwell Dante's Inferno (GB)J: Jonjo O'Neill Jr. Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran UR 4/1
08 Oct 26 Ayr Bossy Parker (IRE)J: P. J. McDonald Heverlee Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 18/1
08 Oct 26 Ayr Queen Bee For You (IRE)J: Duran Fentiman Menabrea Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 33/1
05 Oct 26 Pontefract Go Victor (IRE)J: Billy Garritty Constant Security Services Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 1st 17/2
02 Oct 26 Hexham Dante's Inferno (GB)J: David Noonan Martin Bowler Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran UR 6/5F
01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Mayflyer (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 6/1
26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Dante's Inferno (GB)J: David Noonan £10 County Racedays Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 9/1
22 Sep 26 Beverley Go Victor (IRE)J: Billy Garritty John Allinson 90th Birthday Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 12/1
18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Bossy Parker (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 25/1
15 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Basholo (IRE)J: Sean Dylan Bowen Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 40/1
15 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Cloch Nua (GB)J: Sean Dylan Bowen Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 40/1
09 Sep 26 Carlisle Go Victor (IRE)J: Billy Garritty Deanta Fire Door Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 11th 20/1
07 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Houstonn (GB)J: George Wood attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 50/1
04 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Dante's Inferno (GB)J: Jonathan Burke Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 9/1
27 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Captain Pickles (IRE)J: Hector Crouch Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 6/1
19 Aug 26 Worcester Iolaos Du Mou (FR)J: Tabitha Worsley CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 12/1
17 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Our Hero Matty (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay's strike rate?
Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay has won 12 of 101 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.9% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay's Fair A/E?
1.07, from 101 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 19 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).