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Jockey profile

Izzy Clifton

144 rides in the lifetime window · 83 individual horses
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2022 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
6–144
Wins / Runs
4.2%
Strike rate
n=144
31 (22%)
Placed
0.68
n=144 · 0.57 incl. margin
−52.00
£1 level stake
n=144 at SP · −36.1%
£85,194
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.68).

Deterministic profile computed from 144 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 4.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −51.00 to a £1 stake over 143 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (9.4%, n=32) and off a 8-14-day break (7.9%, n=38). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 0% over 51 rides, 4.2pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.6%−0.6
n=83 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −16.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
10%+5.8
n=10 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −7.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−4.2
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −3.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4.2%+0.0
n=143 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −51.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.9%+0.7
n=61 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −39.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At trips under 6f 9.4% vs 4.2% · n=32
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 4.2% · n=51
On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 4.2% · n=35
With Nigel Tinkler 8.3% vs 4.2% · n=36
Off a 8-14-day break 7.9% vs 4.2% · n=38
In Class 6 7.1% vs 4.2% · n=42
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 42 1 2.4% −8.00
Standard (AW) 35 0 0% −35.00
Soft 25 2 8% −5.50
Good to Firm 24 3 12.5% +14.50
Good to Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00
Southwell (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Beverley 9 2 22.2% +0.00
Curragh 8 0 0% −8.00
Musselburgh 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Newcastle (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Ayr 6 1 16.7% +28.00
Killarney 6 0 0% −6.00
Thirsk 6 0 0% −6.00
Limerick 5 0 0% −5.00
Doncaster 5 1 20% +5.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Navan 4 0 0% −4.00
Ripon 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 42 3 7.1% −7.00
Class 5 19 1 5.3% +15.00
Class 4 13 1 7.7% −3.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 1 14.3% 0.52 −4.50
2nd–3rd fav 13 1 7.7% 0.57 −6.50
4th–6th fav 33 2 6.1% 0.77 −10.00
7th+ in betting 91 2 2.2% 0.80 −31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fortinbrass (IRE) 8 0 2 8 May 19
Florence Thompson (IRE) 7 0 5 14 Oct 21
Athollblair Boy (IRE) 5 1 4 6 Feb 20
Monzino (USA) 4 0 0 20 Feb 20
Bashiba (IRE) 4 0 0 31 Aug 19
Fox Leicester (IRE) 3 0 1 14 Jan 22
Ghumama (IRE) 3 0 0 8 Dec 21
Barnhill Rose (GB) 3 0 0 19 Oct 21
Talk Now (IRE) 3 0 0 10 Oct 21
Boughtinthedark (IRE) 3 0 0 6 Oct 21
Plum Perfect (IRE) 3 1 1 22 Aug 21
Rudisha (IRE) 3 0 0 19 Aug 21
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 83 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00000121600000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
31% of all rides
2.2% SR · A/E 0.49
TrainerRWSR£1
Denis Gerard Hogan 45 1 2.2% −32.00
Nigel Tinkler 36 3 8.3% −17.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
6
Archived wins
£85,194
Prize money
2019
Best season · 5 wins
Plum Perfect (IRE) — Caulfield Industrial Handicap (50-70) (Div 2) Galway · Jul 2021
£6,195
Athollblair Boy (IRE) — Construction Index Handicap Doncaster · Jun 2019 · Class 4
£5,531
Ginger Jam (GB) — Ferguson Fawsitt Arms Handicap Beverley · Jul 2019 · Class 6
£3,493

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Baltic King (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,458 runs since 2011 (93 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.8% from 147. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 254.
Lawman (FR) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,432 runs since 2011 (730 horses).
Mayson (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,396 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.
Frozen Power (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,887 runs since 2015 (132 horses).
Iffraaj (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,998 runs since 2010 (1,092 horses).
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,874 runs since 2008 (1,572 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.9% from 845.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 144 · newest first

The latest 50 of 144 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 June 2018 to 4 March 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Izzy Clifton's strike rate?
Izzy Clifton has won 6 of 144 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Izzy Clifton's Fair A/E?
0.68, from 144 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).