What is James Rogers's strike rate?

James Rogers has won 32 of 365 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Rogers do best at?

Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 38 rides (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does James Rogers ride most for?

William Muir, with 60 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (8.3%).

What is James Rogers's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 361 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

James Rogers

365 rides in the lifetime window · 201 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Apr 2015 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

32–365

Wins / Runs

8.8%

Strike rate

n=365

88 (24%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=361 · 0.87 incl. margin

−106.75

£1 level stake

n=365 at SP · −29.2%

£130k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02).

Deterministic profile computed from 365 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10% William Muir: 8.3% from 60 Claiming: 8.9%

The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.7% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.29). William Muir supplied 16% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.3%, A/E 0.88). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (15.9%, n=44) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (13%, n=92). The record read poorly off a 31-60-day break — 2.9% over 35 rides, 5.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.63 across 114 rides (5.3% strike, −66.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.5%−2.3

n=200 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −75.25

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

9.5%+0.7

n=42 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −25.75

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10%+1.2

n=40 · A/E 2.14 · £1 +24.00

When favourite

26.1%

n=23 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −1.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.9%+0.1

n=313 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −84.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.7%−7.1

n=60 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −54.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 15.9% vs 8.8% · n=44

With Mark Brisbourne 16.2% vs 8.8% · n=37

With C&D winners 13.5% vs 8.8% · n=89

Off a 31-60-day break 2.9% vs 8.8% · n=35

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 13% vs 8.8% · n=92

Over 6f – 7f 5.3% vs 8.8% · n=114

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 149 15 10.1% −40.50

Good to Firm 72 5 6.9% −39.00

Good 69 5 7.2% +4.00

Good to Soft 34 4 11.8% −13.75

Soft 29 3 10.3% −5.50

Heavy 9 0 0% −9.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 44 4 9.1% −16.25

Southwell (AW) 40 5 12.5% −11.25

Kempton (AW) 38 5 13.2% +7.00

Lingfield (AW) 25 1 4% −18.00

Chepstow 21 1 4.8% −16.00

Haydock 15 3 20% +0.75

Leicester 13 0 0% −13.00

Bath 11 2 18.2% −2.00

Nottingham 11 2 18.2% +0.25

Warwick 11 0 0% −11.00

Pontefract 10 2 20% +6.00

Salisbury 10 2 20% +6.00

Doncaster 9 0 0% −9.00

Beverley 9 0 0% −9.00

York 9 1 11.1% +17.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 162 12 7.4% −44.00

Class 5 125 11 8.8% −55.25

Class 4 59 7 11.9% −1.50

Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 2 7 1 14.3% +0.00

Class 7 4 1 25% +2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 28 7 25% 0.99 −1.25

2nd–3rd fav 61 12 19.7% 1.35 +5.50

4th–6th fav 117 10 8.5% 1.02 −33.00

7th+ in betting 159 3 1.9% 0.54 −78.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Takajan (IRE) 15 3 4 17 Mar 12

King Zeal (IRE) 14 4 7 1 Jun 12

Kheley (IRE) 12 2 8 2 Jun 11

Lunar River (FR) 11 1 4 16 Sep 11

Comptonspirit (GB) 9 2 6 16 Sep 12

Gazboolou (GB) 8 0 1 7 Dec 11

Valley Tiger (GB) 8 0 2 8 Oct 11

Kielty's Folly (GB) 7 2 3 2 Jul 12

Storm Hawk (IRE) 7 1 3 5 Apr 11

Woolston Ferry (IRE) 6 1 2 15 Dec 11

Area Fifty One (GB) 6 1 4 20 Aug 11

Dream Catcher (FR) 5 0 0 4 Nov 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 201 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8277068109126010

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardWilliam Muir

16% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 0.88

TrainerRWSR£1

William Muir 60 5 8.3% −23.00

Mark Brisbourne 37 6 16.2% −5.00

David Pinder 30 2 6.7% −3.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£161k

Prize money

2011

Best season · 16 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Island Sunset (IRE) — 150 Welcome Bonus At galacasino.co.uk Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Dec 2010 · Class 2

£8,723

Alsahil (USA) — Future Cleaning Services Apprentice Handicap York · Sep 2011 · Class 4

£5,240

Tango Sky (IRE) — Casino At Bet365.com Handicap Haydock · Jul 2012 · Class 4

£5,175

Notable horses

King Zeal (IRE) Takajan (IRE) Kheley (IRE) Comptonspirit (GB) Kielty's Folly (GB) Alsahil (USA)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Barathea (IRE) 17.6% · 3–17

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).

King's Best (USA) 23.5% · 4–17

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Kheleyf (USA) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,546 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Compton Place (GB) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.

Green Desert (USA) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 11% of 3,324 runs since 2008 (251 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.8% from 269. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.4% from 147.

Muhtathir (GB) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,714 runs since 2008 (494 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.9% from 967.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 452 · newest first

The latest 50 of 452 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 November 2005 to 29 April 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Apr 15 Lingfield (AW) No Rum (IRE)T: Ralph Beckett 25 Free Bet At Titanbet.co.uk Claiming StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 8/1

26 Apr 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Nelson's Hill (GB)T: William de Best-Turner Bet Totequadpot On All Uk Meetings Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 100/1

07 Jan 15 Lingfield (AW) Foxtrot Jubilee (IRE)T: Ralph Beckett Daily Price Boosts At Unibet HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 16/1

27 Nov 14 Kempton (AW) Foxtrot Jubilee (IRE)T: Ralph Beckett Follow BetVictorRacing On Twitter HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 16/1

11 Oct 14 York Aldborough (IRE)T: Ralph Beckett Coldstream Guards Association Cup (Handicap)Class 4 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 12th 22/1

25 Sep 14 Newmarket Percy Alleline (GB)T: Ralph Beckett ebm-papst NurseryClass 2 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 5th 14/1

05 Sep 14 Chepstow Bold Appeal (GB)T: Ralph Beckett Sis Maiden Auction StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 12/1

28 Sep 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Sandbanks Sizzler (IRE)T: Ralph Beckett Holiday Inn Wolverhampton HandicapClass 4 · 14f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 9/1

22 Sep 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Fiona's Spirit (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane 32Red HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard To Fast · 12 ran 9th 50/1

16 Sep 12 Bath Comptonspirit (GB)T: Brian Baugh Bathwick Tyres HandicapClass 5 · 5.5f · Firm · 9 ran 3rd 17/2

10 Sep 12 Bath Comptonspirit (GB)T: Brian Baugh Weatherbys Bank HandicapClass 5 · 5.5f · Firm · 15 ran 3rd 28/1

09 Sep 12 York Hurry Up George (GB)T: Ralph Beckett York 800 HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 20 ran 5th 33/1

07 Sep 12 Chepstow Smiley Miley (IRE)T: David Lewis bet365 Apprentice Selling StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 10th 100/1

27 Aug 12 Chepstow Norlander (GB)T: Ralph Beckett Medinet UK HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 6/1

27 Aug 12 Chepstow Bondi Mist (IRE)T: Jonathan Portman Chepstow Annual Members Apprentice Selling StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 9/4F

17 Aug 12 Newbury Victorian Number (FR)T: Geoffrey Deacon Polar Jest Apprentice Handicap (In Memory Of Jack Colling)Class 5 · 9f · Good · 16 ran 16th 25/1

11 Aug 12 Haydock Stevie Gee (IRE)T: Mark Buckley Duke Of Lancaster's Own Yeomanry HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 25/1

10 Aug 12 Lingfield (AW) Casta Diamante (GB)T: Ralph Beckett Follow Us On Twitter At LingfieldPark Fillies' Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 25/1

08 Aug 12 Pontefract Comptonspirit (GB)T: Brian Baugh Chaplins Club HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 9/1

31 Jul 12 Beverley Comptonspirit (GB)T: Brian Baugh Dale Swift Is Our Sponsored Jockey HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Firm · 10 ran 4th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Rogers's strike rate?: James Rogers has won 32 of 365 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Rogers do best at?: Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 38 rides (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does James Rogers ride most for?: William Muir, with 60 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (8.3%).
What is James Rogers's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 361 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.