James Ryan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 110 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 9% (135 rides).
The record is strongest at Roscommon (11.8%, n=68), clear of the rider's 5.9% baseline. It is weakest at Limerick (0% over 30 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 8.9% (n=135, Fair A/E 0.83), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=285, Fair A/E 0.67). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −388.21 to a £1 stake over 795 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. T G McCourt supplies 30% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.6%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (10.3%, n=195). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the GAIN Summer Fillies Handicap at Curragh (Jun 2025, £59,000). The standout partner of the record: Inishmot Prince (IRE) — 11 wins from 58 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2021→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,997 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,997 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 May 2021 to 11 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 7 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 11 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is James Ryan's strike rate?
- James Ryan has won 118 of 1,997 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does James Ryan do best at?
- Roscommon by strike rate: 8 wins from 68 rides (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does James Ryan ride most for?
- T G McCourt, with 602 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (6.6%).
- Is James Ryan in form?
- In the last 14 days: 16 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 5.9% since 2008.
- What is James Ryan's Fair A/E?
- 0.96, from 1,992 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.