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Trainer profile

A Oliver

854 runners in the last 5 seasons · 142 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 8.5% of 260 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.
Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
85–854
Wins / Runs
10%
Strike rate
n=854
236 (28%)
Placed
1.09
n=853 · 0.89 incl. margin
−19.90
£1 level stake
n=854 at SP · −2.3%
£1.43m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 170 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.09). The yard is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 854 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct 31% when favourite W J Lee: 16% from 243 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races
The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.6% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.45). Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 1 from 20 runners in the last 14 days (5%, 5pts below the 10% baseline). W J Lee rides 28% of the entries and beats the yard's average (16% vs 10%, A/E 1.28) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (15.8%, n=114). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.4% over 42 runners, 7.6pts below the baseline. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. 'Nasrullah' Handicap at Navan (Jul 2015, £60,000). The stable star of the record: Jazz Girl (IRE) — 8 wins from 39 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.1%−1.9
n=111 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −26.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−10.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
3.9%−6.1
n=128 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −51.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
6.3%−3.7
n=64 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −45.67
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5%−5.0
n=20 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
31%
n=71 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −9.14
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.5%−5.5
n=67 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −32.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
2.6%−7.4
n=38 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −21.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 18.5% vs 10% · n=54
With W J Lee 16% vs 10% · n=243
With debutants 3.9% vs 10% · n=128
Off a break of 180+ days 2.4% vs 10% · n=42
On Heavy going 2.4% vs 10% · n=41
Off a 31-60-day break 15.8% vs 10% · n=114
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 846 84 9.9% −23.90
Hurdle 8 1 12.5% +4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 305 29 9.5% +133.49
Soft 203 17 8.4% −71.17
Standard (AW) 188 25 13.3% −37.89
Good to Soft 86 10 11.6% −41.83
Heavy 41 1 2.4% −12.00
Good to Firm 31 3 9.7% +9.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 187 25 13.4% −36.89
Curragh 163 13 8% +88.88
Navan 82 10 12.2% +110.83
Down Royal 76 8 10.5% −29.67
Leopardstown 75 6 8% −45.09
Naas 56 5 8.9% −17.68
Gowran Park 51 4 7.8% −27.25
Cork 32 1 3.1% −26.50
Fairyhouse 25 1 4% −21.00
Roscommon 24 2 8.3% −17.25
Sligo 17 5 29.4% +1.72
Limerick 15 0 0% −15.00
Galway 12 2 16.7% +28.00
Tipperary 11 0 0% −11.00
Bellewstown 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 38 1 2.6% −21.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 88 25 28.4% 1.04 −12.81
2nd–3rd fav 160 34 21.3% 1.39 +14.41
4th–6th fav 250 16 6.4% 0.86 −64.50
7th+ in betting 356 10 2.8% 0.94 +43.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Highway Rat (IRE) 33 3 12 15 Oct 26
Apercu (IRE) 24 5 10 11 Oct 26
Semblance Of Order (IRE) 24 3 8 1 May 25
Sierra De Gredos (GB)then Stephen Thorne 16 3 7 29 Oct 25
Gibbs Island (GB)then Tom Lacey 16 1 3 20 Oct 24
Gradulations (GB) 16 2 6 13 Oct 23
Faro Island (GB) 15 3 5 18 Oct 26
Squire Danagher (GB)then Ben Pauling 15 4 9 11 Oct 24
Senor Carrots (IRE) 15 1 2 27 Apr 24
Bamako (IRE) 14 1 2 17 Dec 25
Bright Stripes (IRE) 14 2 4 20 Oct 24
Copper Craft (IRE) 13 1 5 15 Aug 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 142 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 58 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell
1 from 20 5% · −5.0pts vs baseline
Last 14 days5%
5-season base10%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1707612108101211815
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderW J Lee
28% of all rides
16% SR · A/E 1.28
RiderRWSR£1
W J Lee 243 39 16% +10.22
G. F. Carroll 117 10 8.5% −45.00
Ben Coen 109 7 6.4% −66.50
R. P. Whelan 62 5 8.1% −7.40
Chris Hayes 57 3 5.3% −39.00
W. M. Lordan 33 3 9.1% +8.33
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
324
Archived wins
9
Pattern / graded wins
£4.93m
Prize money
2012
Best season · 30 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
I'll Be Your Clown (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. 'Nasrullah' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Navan · Jul 2015
£60,000
First Cornerstone (IRE) — Galileo European Breeders Fund Futurity Stakes (Group 2) Curragh · Aug 2012 · Group 2
£57,150
Punch Your Weight (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Irish Cambridgeshire (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Aug 2012
£57,000

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dandy Man (IRE) 7.7% · 3–39
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,925 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 8.6% · 3–35
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,147 runs since 2008 (659 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,187.
Muhaarar (GB) 10.3% · 3–29
Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,785 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Kodi Bear (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,934 runs since 2008 (386 horses).
Churchill (IRE) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 11% of 4,788 runs since 2008 (459 horses).
Iffraaj (GB) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 10.6% of 13,951 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 489.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,812 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,812 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 January 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) King Of Eze (GB)J: Nathan Crosse DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 14th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is A Oliver's strike rate?
A Oliver has won 85 of 854 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does A Oliver do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 25 wins from 187 runners (13.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for A Oliver?
W J Lee, with 243 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (16%).
Is A Oliver in form?
In the last 14 days: 20 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5%. That is below the baseline of 10% since 2022.
What is A Oliver's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 853 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).