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Jockey profile

Joe Doyle

2,230 rides in the lifetime window · 1,070 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2023 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
184–2,230
Wins / Runs
8.3%
Strike rate
n=2,230
502 (23%)
Placed
1.11
n=2,218 · 0.93 incl. margin
−463.35
£1 level stake
n=2,230 at SP · −20.8%
£1.87m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 120 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (172 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,230 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 34.5% when favourite Denis Gerard Hogan: 7.5% from 454 LTO winners: 18% Claiming: 11.5% Group/Graded: 12.8% Rides the favourite in 5% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Catterick (19%, n=63), clear of the rider's 8.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18% (n=172, Fair A/E 1.19), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.3% (n=819, Fair A/E 1.10). Denis Gerard Hogan supplies 20% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Stella Artois Handicap at Chester (Aug 2014, £48,518). The standout partner of the record: Make A Challenge (IRE) — 8 wins from 19 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.1%−2.2
n=1,070 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −363.74
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
18%+9.7
n=172 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −22.47
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.8%−2.5
n=326 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +42.50
When favourite
34.5%
n=110 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +5.66
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
11.5%+3.2
n=771 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −21.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.3%−3.0
n=819 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −259.29
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
12.8%+4.5
n=39 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −23.81

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With James Given 22.6% vs 8.3% · n=62
On last-time-out winners 18% vs 8.3% · n=172
At Catterick 19% vs 8.3% · n=63
With debutants 0% vs 8.3% · n=111
With new recruits 1.1% vs 8.3% · n=93
With John Ryan 16.7% vs 8.3% · n=48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 547 41 7.5% −143.67
Standard (AW) 545 44 8.1% −34.39
Soft 421 41 9.7% −20.03
Good to Firm 358 35 9.8% −144.67
Good to Soft 244 19 7.8% −78.84
Heavy 113 3 2.7% −43.75
Firm 2 1 50% +2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 290 13 4.5% −21.34
Curragh 95 7 7.4% −44.00
Redcar 93 6 6.5% −53.75
Newcastle (AW) 82 6 7.3% −54.12
Beverley 80 9 11.3% −43.38
Wolverhampton (AW) 80 7 8.8% −33.67
Musselburgh 79 9 11.4% −6.30
Ayr 78 4 5.1% −22.75
Navan 75 8 10.7% −4.73
Doncaster 69 5 7.2% −41.25
Naas 64 3 4.7% −42.75
Hamilton 64 6 9.4% −41.54
Thirsk 63 4 6.3% −35.00
Catterick 63 12 19% +37.00
Cork 62 4 6.5% +9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 408 54 13.2% +87.57
Class 6 376 26 6.9% −185.76
Class 4 220 26 11.8% −38.08
Class 3 107 11 10.3% −30.25
Class 2 81 8 9.9% −28.17
Class 1 39 5 12.8% −23.81
Class 7 3 1 33.3% +5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 146 46 31.5% 1.26 +0.91
2nd–3rd fav 317 50 15.8% 1.00 −66.26
4th–6th fav 586 62 10.6% 1.35 +107.00
7th+ in betting 1,181 26 2.2% 0.77 −505.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Make A Challenge (IRE) 19 8 11 26 Jun 21
Hell Left Loose (GB) 18 3 6 19 Oct 22
Hot Sunset (GB) 16 1 5 14 Oct 22
Boughtinthedark (IRE) 16 1 2 3 Sep 22
Mulzamm (IRE) 16 3 6 15 Oct 21
Kirkham (GB) 14 1 7 26 Sep 17
Ocean Applause (GB) 13 3 8 15 May 15
Drish Melody (IRE) 12 2 3 18 Oct 22
Mickey The Steel (GB) 12 0 7 5 Oct 22
Wojood (GB) 12 2 4 26 Aug 22
Drummer (GB) 12 1 2 2 Sep 21
Adapt To Dan (IRE) 12 1 5 11 Nov 20
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,070 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
912611891189549
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
20% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 1.13
TrainerRWSR£1
Denis Gerard Hogan 454 34 7.5% −97.24
Julie Camacho 163 19 11.7% −55.92
John Quinn 122 18 14.8% +37.95
Kevin Ryan 111 13 11.7% −39.20
Jim Goldie 92 3 3.3% −34.50
James Given 62 14 22.6% +15.45
Joseph Anthony Murray 58 3 5.2% −16.00
John Ryan 48 8 16.7% −2.50
Alan Berry 30 1 3.3% −21.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
184
Archived wins
5
Pattern / graded wins
£1.87m
Prize money
2015
Best season · 34 wins
Top of The Glas (IRE) — Stella Artois Handicap Chester · Aug 2014 · Class 2
£48,518
Swaheen (GB) — Stan James Handicap York · Oct 2015 · Class 2
£31,125
Make A Challenge (IRE) — Manguard Plus Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Sep 2019
£29,500

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dandy Man (IRE) 5.1% · 4–78
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.
Kodiac (GB) 17.2% · 10–58
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,606 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.
Acclamation (GB) 5% · 2–40
Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 23.1% · 9–39
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 11.8% · 4–34
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,819 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 321.
Lawman (FR) 9.1% · 3–33
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,432 runs since 2011 (730 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,230 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,230 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 April 2012 to 30 May 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joe Doyle's strike rate?
Joe Doyle has won 184 of 2,230 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Joe Doyle do best at?
Catterick by strike rate: 12 wins from 63 rides (19%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Joe Doyle ride most for?
Denis Gerard Hogan, with 454 rides since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (7.5%).
What is Joe Doyle's Fair A/E?
1.11, from 2,218 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).