No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 10 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79).
Deterministic profile computed from 112 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 5.8%
The read
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.00). The rider also read well off a 15-30-day break (10%, n=30). The record read poorly off a 8-14-day break — 0% over 31 rides, 5.4pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.2%−1.2
n=71 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −30.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−5.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8.7%+3.3
n=23 · A/E 1.46 · £1 −8.25
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −1.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.8%+0.4
n=103 · A/E 0.84 · £1 +12.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−5.4
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With Ferdy Murphy12.5% vs 5.4% · n=40
Off a 8-14-day break0% vs 5.4% · n=31
Off a 15-30-day break10% vs 5.4% · n=30
Over 2m1f – 2m4f7.5% vs 5.4% · n=40
On Good going3.2% vs 5.4% · n=31
On first rides for the horse4.2% vs 5.4% · n=71 · A/E 0.72
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle7034.3%+11.75
Chase2015%−15.50
NH Flat20210%+9.50
Flat200%−2.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good3113.2%+36.00
Soft2813.6%−17.00
Good to Soft2613.8%−21.50
Heavy17211.8%+12.75
Good to Firm800%−8.00
Standard (AW)2150%+1.50
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield1000%−10.00
Hexham10330%+30.75
Wetherby6116.7%+61.00
Down Royal500%−5.00
Catterick500%−5.00
Cartmel400%−4.00
Ballinrobe400%−4.00
Naas400%−4.00
Punchestown400%−4.00
Kelso400%−4.00
Ayr4125%+0.50
Navan300%−3.00
Thurles300%−3.00
Wexford300%−3.00
Galway300%−3.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 52528%−10.25
Class 42428.3%+47.50
Class 611218.2%+18.50
Class 3200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite6116.7%0.57−2.25
2nd–3rd fav11327.3%1.70+8.00
4th–6th fav3300%0.00−33.00
7th+ in betting6223.2%1.05+31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m5235.8%+44.50
2m1f – 2m4f4037.5%−20.75
2m5f – 3m1600%−16.00
Over 3m400%−4.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008200%−2.00
2010100%−1.00
20111516.7%−4.00
201229413.8%+8.75
20133412.9%+33.00
20142700%−27.00
2015400%−4.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4912%−44.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners34411.8%+73.75
11-13 runners3100%−31.00
14-16 runners2200%−22.00
17+ runners1200%−12.00
5-7 runners12216.7%−4.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 71 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1050011020000760
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→
6
Archived wins
£27,345
Prize money
2012
Best season · 4 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Jimmie Brown (USA) — Welcome To Wetherby Racecourse Community Raceday Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Hurdle (Div 2) Wetherby · Apr 2013 · Class 4
£3,285
The Hollinwell (GB) — Get Your Bet On At bluesq.com 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat Race Southwell (AW) · Feb 2012 · Class 6
£2,599
Ockey De Neulliac (FR) — BetVictor.com Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase Ayr · Jan 2012 · Class 4
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Cyborg (FR)42.9% · 3–7
Progeny have won 8.9% of 470 runs since 2008 (45 horses). Weakest on Good going: 4.9% from 102.
Classic Cliche (IRE)16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 8% of 2,328 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.1% from 244.
Golan (IRE)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,565 runs since 2008 (871 horses).
Denel (FR)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.5% of 153 runs since 2008 (15 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 115 · newest first
The latest 50 of 115 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 25 October 2007 to 15 April 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is John Winston's strike rate?
John Winston has won 6 of 112 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is John Winston's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 112 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
John Winston·SR 5.4%·A/E 0.79
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