John W Nicholson
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15).
The record is strongest at Tramore (21.4%, n=42), clear of the yard's 8.1% baseline. Debutants struggle at 4% (n=50, Fair A/E 1.38). Mark Enright rode 20% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.3% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.38) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (13.7%, n=51) and on Good to Firm going (13%, n=77). The record read poorly over 6f – 7f — 2.3% over 43 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Lombardstown Mares Novice Chase at Cork (Dec 2012, £24,375). The stable star of the record was Knockcroghery (IRE) — 6 wins from 48 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jun–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 608 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 608 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 June 2006 to 28 December 2019.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is John W Nicholson's strike rate?
- John W Nicholson has won 47 of 580 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does John W Nicholson do best at?
- Tramore by strike rate: 9 wins from 42 runners (21.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for John W Nicholson?
- Mark Enright, with 114 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (12.3%).
- What is John W Nicholson's Fair A/E?
- 1.15, from 580 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.