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Jockey profile

Kate O'Brien

112 rides in the lifetime window · 65 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Aug 2014 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
6–112
Wins / Runs
5.4%
Strike rate
n=112
22 (20%)
Placed
1.05
Fair A/E
n=111 · 0.79 incl. margin
−28.00
£1 level stake
n=112 at SP · −25.0%
£44,983
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.5%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05).

Deterministic profile computed from 112 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
The read

The rider also read well over 6f – 7f (10%, n=30) and on Soft going (8.6%, n=35). The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 0% over 33 rides, 5.4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.6%−0.8
n=65 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −33.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−5.4
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
12.5%+7.1
n=24 · A/E 3.08 · £1 +8.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +0.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.4%+0.0
n=111 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −27.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.7%+1.3
n=75 · A/E 1.42 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 5.4% · n=33
Over 6f – 7f 10% vs 5.4% · n=30
On Soft going 8.6% vs 5.4% · n=35
Over 1m – 1m1f 2.9% vs 5.4% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 35 3 8.6% +6.00
Good 27 1 3.7% −23.00
Good to Firm 23 2 8.7% +16.00
Standard (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Naas 16 3 18.8% +36.00
Dundalk (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Tipperary 9 1 11.1% +8.00
Leopardstown 8 0 0% −8.00
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Navan 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Curragh 6 0 0% −6.00
Gowran Park 6 1 16.7% +5.00
Sligo 6 1 16.7% −2.00
Ballinrobe 4 0 0% −4.00
Killarney 4 0 0% −4.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 1 25% 1.42 +0.00
2nd–3rd fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
4th–6th fav 16 1 6.3% 1.00 −5.00
7th+ in betting 86 4 4.7% 1.20 −17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Great Ability (IRE) 14 1 3 1 Nov 13
Via Mia (GB) 5 1 1 13 Jun 11
Lovestoned (IRE) 5 1 2 28 May 11
Beat The Bell (GB) 4 0 1 23 Jul 14
Chaotic (IRE) 4 0 0 4 Aug 10
Fol Hollow (IRE) 3 0 1 2 May 13
Kateeva (IRE) 3 1 1 20 Aug 11
Rosa Dieci (IRE) 3 0 2 19 Aug 11
Frutti Tutti (IRE) 3 0 1 30 May 11
Blackwitch Woman (IRE) 3 0 0 20 May 11
Anamundi (GB) 3 0 0 12 Jul 10
Calle Aneto (IRE) 2 1 1 20 Jun 14
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 65 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00·10185400000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardT Hogan
40% of all rides
4.4% SR · A/E 0.95
TrainerRWSR£1
T Hogan 45 2 4.4% −6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
6
Archived wins
£44,983
Prize money
2013
Best season · 2 wins
Calle Aneto (IRE) — Audi Sligo Apprentice Handicap (47-65) Sligo · Jun 2014
£5,693
Kateeva (IRE) — Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (47-65) Tipperary · Apr 2011
£5,520
Via Mia (GB) — Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (47-60) Naas · May 2011
£5,520
Notable horses
Great Ability (IRE) Via Mia (GB) Lovestoned (IRE) Kateeva (IRE) Calle Aneto (IRE) Pepparpot (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Great Exhibition (USA) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 7.1% of 452 runs since 2008 (29 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.9% from 153.
Namid (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,102 runs since 2008 (276 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.8% from 119.
Modigliani (USA) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 7.6% of 607 runs since 2008 (52 horses).
Monashee Mountain (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.4% of 998 runs since 2008 (75 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 11.7% from 291. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.9% from 103. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.7% from 120.
Beat All (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.
Montjeu (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 112 · newest first

The latest 50 of 112 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 April 2010 to 4 August 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Aug 14 Naas Wholelotofrosie (IRE)T: P J F Murphy Naas Apprentice Handicap (50-80)8f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 10th 16/1
29 Jul 14 Galway Smallnsmart (IRE)T: T Hogan Caulfieldindustrial.com E.B.F. Maiden7f · Good · 8 ran 6th 20/1
23 Jul 14 Naas Beat The Bell (GB)T: Miss Evanna McCutcheon www.naasracecourse.com Apprentice Handicap (47-65)8f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 13th 20/1
17 Jul 14 Leopardstown Red Castle (IRE)T: Ms Joanna Morgan 'stunning' Apprentice Handicap10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 20/1
20 Jun 14 Limerick Calle Aneto (IRE)T: Ms Joanna Morgan 6th July All American Race Day Apprentice Handicap (47-65)11.5f · Good · 13 ran 8th 11/4F
17 Jun 14 Sligo Calle Aneto (IRE)T: Ms Joanna Morgan Audi Sligo Apprentice Handicap (47-65)10f · Good · 14 ran 1st 3/1F
14 May 14 Naas Xsquared (IRE)T: Ms Joanna Morgan Naasracecourse.com Apprentice Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 20/1
10 Jan 14 Dundalk (AW) Califante (GB)T: T Hogan Floodlit Friday Nights Rated Race7f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 5/1
20 Dec 13 Dundalk (AW) Califante (GB)T: T Hogan Crowne Plaza Hotel Of Dundalk Rated Race8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 25/1
01 Nov 13 Dundalk (AW) Great Ability (IRE)T: T Hogan Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Handicap (47-65) Div 28f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 14/1
25 Oct 13 Dundalk (AW) Great Ability (IRE)T: T Hogan Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 12/1
09 Oct 13 Navan Silldora (IRE)T: Ms Joanna Morgan Trim Apprentice Handicap (47-65)5f · Yielding · 18 ran 10th 12/1
27 Sep 13 Dundalk (AW) Salacious Sally (IRE)T: Donal Kinsella Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Apprentice Handicap (50-80)12f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 33/1
27 Sep 13 Dundalk (AW) Great Ability (IRE)T: T Hogan Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 16/1
20 Sep 13 Listowel Great Ability (IRE)T: T Hogan John & Terry Moriarty Memorial Handicap (47-65)6.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 16/1
20 Aug 13 Sligo Beat The Bell (GB)T: B Lalor Tote Jackpot Races 3 To 6 Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)7f · Soft · 14 ran 6th 10/1
20 Aug 13 Sligo Great Ability (IRE)T: T Hogan Tote Jackpot Races 3 To 6 Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)7f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 12/1
14 Aug 13 Gowran Park Try Freedom (IRE)T: Peter Casey Golf Membership At Gowran Park For 2014 Apprentice Handicap (47-65)9.5f · Good · 16 ran 8th 20/1
09 Aug 13 Tipperary Great Ability (IRE)T: T Hogan Costello's Tavern Apprentice Handicap (47-65)7.5f · Good · 16 ran 12th 12/1
06 Aug 13 Cork Beat The Bell (GB)T: B Lalor Mallow Apprentice Handicap (50-75)6f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kate O'Brien's strike rate?
Kate O'Brien has won 6 of 112 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Kate O'Brien's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 111 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).