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Trainer profile

Miss Maura McGuinness

268 runners in the lifetime window · 24 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2021
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
7–268
Wins / Runs
2.6%
Strike rate
n=268
37 (14%)
Placed
0.60
Fair A/E
n=268 · 0.44 incl. margin
−159.50
£1 level stake
n=268 at SP · −59.5%
£87,899
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.60).

Deterministic profile computed from 268 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3%
The read

The record is strongest at Down Royal (9.4%, n=32), clear of the yard's 2.6% baseline. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −68.00 to a £1 stake over 132 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The yard also read well over 2m1f – 2m4f (8.2%, n=61) and on Good to Firm going (7.3%, n=41).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.4%−1.2
n=71 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −54.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.6
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.6
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3%+0.4
n=132 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −68.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Down Royal 9.4% vs 2.6% · n=32
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 8.2% vs 2.6% · n=61
On Good to Firm going 7.3% vs 2.6% · n=41
At Dundalk (AW) 0% vs 2.6% · n=47
On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 2.6% · n=47
Off a 8-14-day break 0% vs 2.6% · n=47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 127 2 1.6% −100.00
Hurdle 116 5 4.3% −34.50
NH Flat 23 0 0% −23.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 67 3 4.5% −28.50
Good 65 1 1.5% −48.00
Standard (AW) 47 0 0% −47.00
Good to Firm 41 3 7.3% +12.00
Heavy 33 0 0% −33.00
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 47 0 0% −47.00
Down Royal 32 3 9.4% +30.00
Navan 31 1 3.2% −14.00
Fairyhouse 20 0 0% −20.00
Gowran Park 15 1 6.7% +2.00
Leopardstown 12 1 8.3% −6.00
Naas 12 0 0% −12.00
Galway 11 0 0% −11.00
Downpatrick 10 0 0% −10.00
Roscommon 10 0 0% −10.00
Sligo 9 0 0% −9.00
Tipperary 8 0 0% −8.00
Bellewstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Limerick 7 1 14.3% −0.50
Punchestown 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 22 2 9.1% 0.72 −9.50
4th–6th fav 51 0 0% 0.00 −51.00
7th+ in betting 193 5 2.6% 0.92 −97.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Afram Blue (GB)from William Knight 41 3 7 7 Aug 16
Hawk Flight (IRE)from William Muir 38 1 9 25 Oct 15
Jacks Law (IRE) 28 0 3 24 Feb 12
Kyoto Summit (GB)from Michael Easterby 28 1 3 19 Dec 11
Ragtime Lucy (IRE) 20 1 4 10 Oct 10
Point Calimere (IRE)from Liam McAteer 15 0 5 20 May 10
Enquire Within (IRE)then Desmond McDonogh 12 0 2 24 Sep 21
Oh So Gogo (IRE) 11 0 0 15 Jan 12
Midsummers Day (IRE) 9 0 1 2 Jun 10
Dont Tell Josie (IRE) 9 1 1 7 Nov 08
Green River Dancer (IRE) 7 0 0 12 Nov 11
Buttonhole Rose (IRE) 7 0 0 26 May 11
All 24 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 24 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard J Walker (2); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0051134000570
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderIan McCarthy
12% of all rides
3.1% SR · A/E 0.72
RiderRWSR£1
Ian McCarthy 32 1 3.1% −6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
9
Archived wins
£108k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Kyoto Summit (GB) — Tayto Group Handicap Hurdle (80-102) Down Royal · Nov 2010
£9,315
Point Calimere (IRE) — Kane Heating Ltd Victoria Place Handicap (50-80) Dundalk (AW) · Oct 2007
£8,983
Hawk Flight (IRE) — Leopardstown Leap On Facebook Handicap Leopardstown · Apr 2011
£8,970
Notable horses
Afram Blue (GB) Point Calimere (IRE) Hawk Flight (IRE) Kyoto Summit (GB) Ragtime Lucy (IRE) Dont Tell Josie (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fraam (GB) 7.3% · 3–41
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,027 runs since 2008 (136 horses).
Hawk Wing (USA) 2.5% · 1–40
Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,330 runs since 2008 (330 horses).
Fath (USA) 0% · 0–28
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (98 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.3% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.2% from 167.
Lomitas (GB) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,870 runs since 2008 (163 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.6% from 122. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 319. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.7% from 120.
Luso (GB) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
Fasliyev (USA) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 285 · newest first

The latest 50 of 285 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 May 2006 to 24 September 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Sep 21 Dundalk (AW) Enquire Within (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Join Us On Instagram At dundalk_stadium Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 10/1
28 Aug 21 Navan (IRE) Enquire Within (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Racing Next At Navan On Saturday September 4th Handicap14f · Good · 20 ran 12th 12/1
04 Aug 21 Sligo Enquire Within (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Hazelwood Handicap (45-65)12.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 10/1
23 Jul 21 Down Royal Enquire Within (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Molson Coors Beverage Company Apprentice Handicap (45-70)12.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 4/1
11 Jul 21 Fairyhouse Enquire Within (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Thanks To Gordon Reilly From All At Fairyhouse Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)12f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 22/1
01 Jul 21 Bellewstown Enquire Within (IRE)J: Joe Doyle Awards And Gifts Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)14.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 100/1
11 Jun 21 Fairyhouse Enquire Within (IRE)J: Joe Doyle La Bucca Restaurants Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)12f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 14th 50/1
01 Jun 21 Tipperary Battleitis (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Thank You To All The Frontline Workers Maiden12.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 13th 300/1
11 May 21 Roscommon Battleitis (IRE)J: Joe Doyle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden12f · Yielding · 15 ran 13th 200/1
11 May 21 Roscommon Enquire Within (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden12f · Yielding · 15 ran 9th 200/1
04 Dec 20 Dundalk (AW) Battleitis (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Irish Racing Fundraiser For Children's Health Foundation Crumlin In Memory Of Pat Smullen Maiden (Div 1)10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 250/1
21 Sep 20 Fairyhouse Enquire Within (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Sands Of Mali At Ballyhane Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 16 ran 15th 250/1
08 Jul 20 Gowran Park Enquire Within (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 15th 200/1
22 Jun 20 Roscommon Battleitis (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Athleague Maiden10f · Yielding · 13 ran 12th 250/1
22 Jun 20 Roscommon Enquire Within (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Athleague Maiden10f · Yielding · 13 ran 10th 250/1
17 Jun 20 Gowran Park Battleitis (IRE)J: Ross Coakley It's Not Rocket Science With MansionBet Maiden (Div 2)9.5f · Good · 14 ran 13th 250/1
17 Jun 20 Gowran Park Enquire Within (IRE)J: Ross Coakley It's Not Rocket Science With MansionBet Maiden (Div 1)9.5f · Good · 15 ran 15th 150/1
27 Jul 19 Gowran Park Battleitis (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden9.5f · Good · 14 ran 12th 50/1
25 Nov 18 Navan Quick Getaway (IRE)J: Conor Orr www.navanracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 12th 100/1
14 Nov 18 Fairyhouse Quick Getaway (IRE)J: Conor Orr Christmas Parties At Fairyhouse December 15th Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 9th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss Maura McGuinness's strike rate?
Miss Maura McGuinness has won 7 of 268 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Miss Maura McGuinness do best at?
Down Royal by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 runners (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Miss Maura McGuinness's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 268 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).