Kevin Ghunowa
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 250 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (57 rides). Rode mostly for Ronald Harris — 58% of rides in the window.
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.5% (n=57, Fair A/E 1.29), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=89, Fair A/E 0.85). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 7.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.37 and +70.50 to a £1 stake over 144 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −75.25 to a £1 stake over 213 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Ronald Harris supplied 58% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.1%, A/E 0.90). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (10.3%, n=126). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.4% over 42 rides, 4.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.60 across 119 rides (3.4% strike, −26.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The standout partner of the record was Judge 'n Jury (GB) — 6 wins from 20 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,426 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,426 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2005 to 2 October 2010.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Kevin Ghunowa's strike rate?
- Kevin Ghunowa has won 52 of 761 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Kevin Ghunowa do best at?
- Leicester by strike rate: 3 wins from 36 rides (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Kevin Ghunowa ride most for?
- Ronald Harris, with 444 rides since 2008 — 58% of the total. That pairing has won 36 (8.1%).
- What is Kevin Ghunowa's Fair A/E?
- 0.88, from 757 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.