What is David Lanigan's strike rate?

David Lanigan has won 203 of 1,337 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Lanigan do best at?

Doncaster by strike rate: 8 wins from 36 runners (22.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for David Lanigan?

Ted Durcan, with 549 runners since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 92 (16.8%).

What is David Lanigan's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 1,328 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

David Lanigan

1,337 runners in the lifetime window · 227 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Mar 2020 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

203–1,337

Wins / Runs

15.2%

Strike rate

n=1,337

458 (34%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=1,328 · 0.96 incl. margin

−193.69

£1 level stake

n=1,337 at SP · −14.5%

£2.28m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

33.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 100 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 20% off breaks of two months or more (205 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,337 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Apr–May Fresh horses: 19.5% 38.3% when favourite Ted Durcan: 16.8% from 549 Sent off the favourite in 18% of races

The read

It is weakest at Nottingham (2.2% over 46 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 19.5% (n=205, Fair A/E 1.29), but debutants struggle at 5.2% (n=210, Fair A/E 0.92). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 8% strike, Fair A/E 0.63 and −56.80 to a £1 stake over 100 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Ted Durcan rode 41% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (16.8%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Wokingham Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2015, £108,938). The stable star of the record was Wannabe King (GB) — 5 wins from 24 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

19.5%+4.3

n=205 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −23.84

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.8%−3.4

n=17 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +0.00

Debutants · first career start

5.2%−10.0

n=210 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −30.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13.3%−1.9

n=83 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +12.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

15.4%+0.2

n=13 · A/E 1.62 · £1 +6.00

When favourite

38.3%

n=235 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +7.81

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

16.7%+1.5

n=6 · A/E 1.54 · £1 −3.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8%−7.2

n=100 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −56.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 28% vs 15.2% · n=189

With debutants 5.2% vs 15.2% · n=210

With George Baker 25.5% vs 15.2% · n=141

At Nottingham 2.2% vs 15.2% · n=46

With C&D winners 25% vs 15.2% · n=76

With Stevie Donohoe 6.7% vs 15.2% · n=90

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 575 102 17.7% −67.08

Good to Firm 310 54 17.4% +26.81

Good 235 24 10.2% −27.48

Good to Soft 113 10 8.8% −71.45

Soft 76 8 10.5% −40.47

Firm 16 5 31.3% −2.02

Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 200 33 16.5% −24.17

Wolverhampton (AW) 152 31 20.4% −14.90

Lingfield (AW) 129 25 19.4% +13.48

Chelmsford (AW) 64 6 9.4% −37.74

Newmarket 59 5 8.5% +5.00

Windsor 57 9 15.8% −27.01

Newmarket 56 4 7.1% −42.30

Yarmouth 54 7 13% +77.75

Leicester 46 8 17.4% −0.96

Nottingham 46 1 2.2% −44.00

Sandown 43 3 7% −18.50

Ascot 41 5 12.2% −10.25

Doncaster 36 8 22.2% +18.55

Salisbury 33 4 12.1% −1.62

Newbury 32 3 9.4% +5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 612 92 15% −123.64

Class 4 314 53 16.9% +37.45

Class 6 179 28 15.6% −28.73

Class 1 100 8 8% −56.80

Class 3 80 17 21.3% −9.72

Class 2 51 5 9.8% −11.25

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 269 95 35.3% 1.15 −2.44

2nd–3rd fav 365 69 18.9% 1.10 −19.25

4th–6th fav 354 32 9% 1.16 −39.00

7th+ in betting 349 7 2% 0.66 −133.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Wannabe King (GB)then Geoffrey Harker 24 5 7 24 Sep 11

Interception (IRE) 19 5 10 18 Jun 16

Biographer (GB) 17 3 8 17 May 15

Mitchum Swagger (GB)then Ralph Beckett 16 3 8 7 Oct 17

Polybius (GB)then David Simcock 16 4 7 1 Oct 16

Sequester (GB) 16 4 7 19 Dec 15

Lexington Empire (GB) 15 4 8 7 Sep 19

Tinghir (IRE) 15 5 6 17 Oct 14

Take A Turn (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 14 2 4 13 Sep 18

Main Sequence (USA) 14 4 8 19 Oct 13

Meeznah (USA) 14 3 9 15 Oct 11

Leader Of The Land (IRE)then Robert Stephens 14 4 7 1 Jul 11

The 60 most-raced of 227 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 60 had their first archived run here.

29 have since run for another yard, most often for Brendan Powell (2) and David Simcock (2); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

29110181811162013131114

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTed Durcan

41% of all rides
16.8% SR · A/E 1.10

RiderRWSR£1

Ted Durcan 549 92 16.8% −99.39

George Baker 141 36 25.5% +67.42

Shane Kelly 92 12 13% −27.87

Stevie Donohoe 90 6 6.7% −44.70

Tom Queally 74 13 17.6% +8.39

Chris Catlin 58 6 10.3% +6.95

Daniel Muscutt 47 7 14.9% −11.62

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

203

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.28m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 26 wins

Interception (IRE) — Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2015 · Class 2

£108,938

Worth Waiting (GB) — Charm Spirit Dahlia Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) Newmarket · May 2019 · Group 2

£56,710

Meeznah (USA) — DFS Park Hill Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) Doncaster · Sep 2011 · Group 2

£45,368

Notable horses

Wannabe King (GB) Interception (IRE) Tinghir (IRE) Sparkling Smile (IRE) Worth Waiting (GB) Sequester (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dansili (GB) 19.7% · 12–61

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,841 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Dubawi (IRE) 24% · 12–50

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,918 runs since 2008 (1,517 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Galileo (IRE) 12.8% · 5–39

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,187 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 888.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 25.6% · 10–39

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,915 runs since 2008 (1,104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 452. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Oasis Dream (GB) 13.2% · 5–38

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,987 runs since 2008 (1,508 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 481. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

King's Best (USA) 14.3% · 5–35

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,337 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,337 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 April 2008 to 13 March 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Mar 20 Lingfield (AW) King Of The South (IRE)J: Shane Kelly Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Novice StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 7/2

27 Feb 20 Chelmsford City (AW) King Of The South (IRE)J: Shane Kelly tote.co.uk Maiden StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 25/1

26 Feb 20 Kempton (AW) Silver Desert (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle 32Red Casino Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 9th 25/1

15 Feb 20 Lingfield (AW) King Of The South (IRE)J: Shane Kelly Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Novice StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 7/1

11 Feb 20 Chelmsford City (AW) Prince Of Eagles (IRE)J: Shane Kelly Ministry Of Sound And Light Extravaganza HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 6 ran 1st EvensF

10 Feb 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Silver Desert (IRE)J: Josephine Gordon Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Fillies' Novice StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 28/1

25 Jan 20 Lingfield (AW) Sparkling Or Still (IRE)J: Shane Kelly Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 12/1

22 Jan 20 Lingfield (AW) Prince Of Eagles (IRE)J: Ben Curtis Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 1st EvensF

15 Jan 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Longsider (IRE)J: Shane Kelly Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Novice StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 11/4F

10 Jan 20 Lingfield (AW) Island Hideaway (GB)J: George Rooke Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 4 ran 1st 2/1

06 Jan 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Sparkling Or Still (IRE)J: Shane Kelly Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 5/1

02 Jan 20 Chelmsford City (AW) Prince Of Eagles (IRE)J: Shane Kelly Book Tickets At chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Novice Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 1)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 11/4

31 Dec 19 Lingfield (AW) Island Hideaway (GB)J: Shane Kelly Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays NurseryClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 11/8F

18 Dec 19 Lingfield (AW) Longsider (IRE)J: Shane Kelly Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Ebf Novice StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 33/1

13 Dec 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Showmolina (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Bet toteplacepot At totesport.com EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 8/1

11 Dec 19 Kempton (AW) Prince Of Eagles (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt British Stallion Studs Ebf Novice StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 4th 25/1

11 Dec 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Sparkling Or Still (IRE)J: Josephine Gordon Bet toteexacta At totesport.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 80/1

09 Dec 19 Lingfield (AW) Island Hideaway (GB)J: Shane Kelly Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 15/8F

28 Nov 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Sparkling Or Still (IRE)J: Shane Kelly Matchbook EBF Future Stayers' Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 100/1

22 Nov 19 Newcastle (AW) City Of Love (GB)J: Shane Kelly Betway Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 10/3

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Lanigan's strike rate?: David Lanigan has won 203 of 1,337 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Lanigan do best at?: Doncaster by strike rate: 8 wins from 36 runners (22.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Lanigan?: Ted Durcan, with 549 runners since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 92 (16.8%).
What is David Lanigan's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 1,328 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.