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Trainer profile

Liam Grassick

69 runners in the lifetime window · 16 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2015
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–69
Wins / Runs
1.4%
Strike rate
n=69
2 (3%)
Placed
0.67
Fair A/E
n=68 · 0.55 incl. margin
−18.00
£1 level stake
n=69 at SP · −26.1%
£3,520
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.4
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−1.4
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 41 1 2.4% +10.00
Flat 11 0 0% −11.00
NH Flat 10 0 0% −10.00
Chase 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 22 1 4.5% +29.00
Good to Firm 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00
Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Worcester 15 1 6.7% +36.00
Uttoxeter 10 0 0% −10.00
Chepstow 7 0 0% −7.00
Stratford 7 0 0% −7.00
Hereford 6 0 0% −6.00
Bath 4 0 0% −4.00
Ludlow 3 0 0% −3.00
Warwick 3 0 0% −3.00
Taunton 3 0 0% −3.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Towcester 2 0 0% −2.00
Chelmsford (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Cheltenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell 1 0 0% −1.00
Fontwell 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 27 1 3.7% +24.00
Class 4 24 0 0% −24.00
Class 6 16 0 0% −16.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
4th–6th fav 14 0 0% 0.00 −14.00
7th+ in betting 55 1 1.8% 1.47 −4.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
64.6% completed · 48 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 7 42.9% 0 1 3 0 0
Hurdle 41 68.3% 0 0 13 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cleeve Cloud (IRE) 14 0 0 21 Jul 13
Rose de Rita (GB) 11 0 0 21 Mar 12
Sun Bian (GB)from Andrew Balding 8 0 0 13 Nov 08
Walls Way (GB)from Tony Carroll · then Tracey Barfoot-Saunt 5 0 0 2 May 13
Commanche Dream (GB)from Simon Lewis 4 1 2 30 Aug 12
The Banshee (GB) 3 0 0 21 Jun 15
Waltzing Tornado (IRE)from Neil Mulholland 3 0 0 6 Jun 15
South O'The Border (GB)from Nigel Twiston-Davies · then Sophie Leech 3 0 0 13 Dec 12
Late Reg (GB) 3 0 0 7 Oct 12
Royal Renegade (GB) 3 0 0 14 Sep 08
Sandywell George (GB) 3 0 0 18 Jun 08
Kallina (IRE)from Seamus Mullins 2 0 0 21 Jul 13
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·00006000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Liam Treadwell 22 1 4.5% +29.00
J W Stevenson 5 0 0% −5.00
Brian Toomey 5 0 0% −5.00
Derek Laverty 4 0 0% −4.00
Dave Crosse 3 0 0% −3.00
Jodie Mogford 3 0 0% −3.00
Vince Slattery 2 0 0% −2.00
Simon Whitworth 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr G S Quinn 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr J Herbert 2 0 0% −2.00
Aidan Coleman 2 0 0% −2.00
Alain Cawley 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
1
Archived wins
£9,164
Prize money
2012
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Commanche Dream (GB) — Betfred Mobile Lotto Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) Worcester · Jun 2012 · Class 5
£1,949
Notable horses
Commanche Dream (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Noverre (USA) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,831 runs since 2008 (235 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 803. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 407.
Superior Premium (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8.1% of 651 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.8% from 152. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.2% from 215.
Makbul (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,039 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.8% from 117. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 120.
Karinga Bay (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Commanche Run (GB) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 7.3% of 384 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.4% from 125. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4% from 101.
Beat All (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 142 · newest first

The latest 50 of 142 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 January 2005 to 21 June 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Jun 15 Worcester The Banshee (GB)J: Daniel Hiskett totepool Racing's Biggest Supporter Conditional Jockeys' Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran PU 100/1
06 Jun 15 Worcester The Banshee (GB)J: Alain Cawley Tramps & Velvet Nightclub Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Firm · 9 ran PU 66/1
06 Jun 15 Worcester Waltzing Tornado (IRE)J: Liam Treadwell Greenlighting, The UK House Builder's Choice Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good To Firm · 11 ran PU 40/1
28 May 15 Worcester Waltzing Tornado (IRE)J: Liam Treadwell Download The Ladbrokes App Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 12 ran PU 50/1
06 Dec 14 Chepstow The Banshee (GB)J: Tommy Phelan 1st Security Solutions 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran PU 200/1
29 Oct 14 Worcester Waltzing Tornado (IRE)J: Liam Treadwell Top 'A' Level Results Celebration Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 6th 33/1
21 Jul 13 Stratford Kallina (IRE)J: Liam Treadwell 102 Touch FM Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 40/1
21 Jul 13 Stratford Cleeve Cloud (IRE)J: Liam Treadwell Grampy's 65 And We're Going Racing! Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran PU 22/1
26 Jun 13 Worcester Cleeve Cloud (IRE)J: Alain Cawley Christmas Party Nights At Worcester Racecourse Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 16 ran PU 40/1
26 Jun 13 Worcester Kallina (IRE)J: Liam Treadwell Norman MacMillan Cancer Research On Facebook Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race (Div 1)Class 6 · 16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 66/1
11 Jun 13 Worcester Cleeve Cloud (IRE)J: Liam Treadwell Compare Free Bets At Freebets.org 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 6th 17/2
02 May 13 Taunton Walls Way (GB)J: J W Stevenson Bathwick Tyres Midsomer Norton Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 18f · Good To Firm · 10 ran PU 25/1
23 Apr 13 Towcester Walls Way (GB)J: J W Stevenson Ladbrokes Mobile Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 50/1
06 Apr 13 Chepstow Walls Way (GB)J: J W Stevenson attheraces.com Exclusive Barry Geraghty Blog Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 14 ran 6th 66/1
30 Mar 13 Newton Abbot Walls Way (GB)J: J W Stevenson South West Racing Club Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 150/1
18 Mar 13 Southwell Walls Way (GB)J: J W Stevenson 32 Bonus At 32red.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 50/1
13 Dec 12 Taunton South O'The Border (GB)J: Aidan Coleman Bathwick Tyres Bridgwater Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 16 ran 7th 18/1
09 Dec 12 Warwick South O'The Border (GB)J: Aidan Coleman Betfred 'when Both Teams Score' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 20/1
08 Nov 12 Towcester Cleeve Cloud (IRE)J: Liam Treadwell Agetur UK Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 40/1
01 Nov 12 Hereford South O'The Border (GB)J: Sam Thomas bet365 Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Liam Grassick's strike rate?
Liam Grassick has won 1 of 69 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Liam Grassick's Fair A/E?
0.67, from 68 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).