Maurice Linehan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (59 rides). Rode mostly for Jonjo O'Neill — 67% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Market Rasen (2.4% over 42 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.6% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.96), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.9% (n=130, Fair A/E 1.25). Jonjo O'Neill supplied 67% of the rides and edges the rider's average (14.2% vs 11.4%, A/E 1.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well beyond 3m (25.7%, n=35) and on Good to Firm going (25%, n=32). The market has also underrated the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 1.35 across 164 rides (15.9% strike, +12.67 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly on Soft going — 4.8% over 104 rides, 6.6pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 464 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 464 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 April 2009 to 6 November 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Maurice Linehan's strike rate?
- Maurice Linehan has won 53 of 464 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Maurice Linehan do best at?
- Market Rasen by strike rate: 1 wins from 42 rides (2.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Maurice Linehan ride most for?
- Jonjo O'Neill, with 310 rides since 2008 — 67% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (14.2%).
- What is Maurice Linehan's Fair A/E?
- 1.06, from 462 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.