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Trainer profile

John A Supple

113 runners in the lifetime window · 15 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2015
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
10–113
Wins / Runs
8.8%
Strike rate
n=113
24 (21%)
Placed
1.49
Fair A/E
n=113 · 1.07 incl. margin
+25.58
£1 level stake
n=113 at SP · +22.6%
£82,206
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 10 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.49).

Deterministic profile computed from 113 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 5.1% (n=59, Fair A/E 1.10). The yard also read well off a 15-30-day break (12.9%, n=31). The market has also underrated the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 1.80 across 88 runners (11.4% strike, +50.58 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly on Good going — 2.4% over 41 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.4%−3.4
n=37 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −8.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.8
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
10%+1.2
n=10 · A/E 3.09 · £1 +24.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
50%+41.2
n=2 · A/E 10.91 · £1 +9.00
When favourite
11.1%
n=9 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −5.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.1%−3.7
n=59 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +5.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 2.4% vs 8.8% · n=41
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.7% vs 8.8% · n=37
With a new jockey booking 3.9% vs 8.8% · n=51
With claiming riders up 5.1% vs 8.8% · n=59
Off a 15-30-day break 12.9% vs 8.8% · n=31
In Hurdle races 11.4% vs 8.8% · n=88
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 88 10 11.4% +50.58
Flat 13 0 0% −13.00
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 41 1 2.4% −7.00
Soft 35 2 5.7% −18.50
Heavy 18 5 27.8% +40.33
Good to Firm 11 2 18.2% +18.75
Good to Soft 7 0 0% −7.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 18 2 11.1% +3.00
Cork 15 0 0% −15.00
Listowel 15 3 20% +12.33
Tipperary 7 1 14.3% +27.00
Punchestown 7 1 14.3% +19.00
Killarney 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 6 1 16.7% +15.00
Clonmel 5 2 40% +4.25
Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00
Thurles 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 2 20% 1.16 −2.25
2nd–3rd fav 12 2 16.7% 1.45 −2.17
4th–6th fav 27 1 3.7% 0.61 −16.00
7th+ in betting 64 5 7.8% 2.51 +46.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
94.4% completed · 89 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 1 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 88 94.3% 0 0 3 0 2
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Roadtoabbeyfeale (IRE) 14 2 5 13 Oct 13
Killcara Boy (GB)from Henry Candy · then Patrick Neville 12 2 3 25 Jan 12
Burnswood (IRE)from Charles Egerton · then Marc Barber 12 1 4 26 Nov 11
Blackwell Synergy (FR)then John Upson 10 3 4 5 Oct 13
Sainglend (GB)from Sean Curran · then Paul Rich 10 0 0 19 Aug 11
Masterofthebree (IRE) 9 0 3 7 Jan 12
Top Strategy (IRE)from T M Walsh 7 1 1 9 Mar 11
Dinnie O (IRE) 6 0 0 25 Apr 11
Likearollingstone (IRE)then Paul Rich 5 0 0 3 Nov 11
Come On The Mall (IRE) 4 0 0 1 Jun 15
Thelifeof (IRE) 4 0 0 5 Aug 13
All 15 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 15 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul Rich (2); 9 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
3300013000221480
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJoseph Holly
27% of all rides
9.7% SR · A/E 2.08
RiderRWSR£1
Joseph Holly 31 3 9.7% +19.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
12
Archived wins
£90,988
Prize money
2011
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Blackwell Synergy (FR) — Devon Inn Hotel Handicap Hurdle Listowel · Sep 2013
£11,385
Blackwell Synergy (FR) — Graham Norris Memorial Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Clonmel · Oct 2011
£10,350
Roadtoabbeyfeale (IRE) — Charleville Cheese Maiden Hurdle Listowel · Sep 2012
£7,935

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Milan (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,840 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Definite Article (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Giant's Causeway (USA) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 11.6% of 3,018 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 394. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8.3% from 422.
Monsun (GER) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 15.8% of 2,243 runs since 2008 (250 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 19.6% from 276. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 150.
Tobougg (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).
Antarctique (IRE) 30% · 3–10
Progeny have won 12.2% of 830 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Weakest on Good going: 8.7% from 127.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 155 · newest first

The latest 50 of 155 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 January 2005 to 1 June 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John A Supple's strike rate?
John A Supple has won 10 of 113 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is John A Supple's Fair A/E?
1.49, from 113 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).