No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 6.4%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.1%−0.2
n=49 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −25.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.1%+4.8
n=9 · A/E 0.96 · £1 +1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.6%−0.7
n=18 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +23.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −1.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.4%+0.1
n=78 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −2.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.3%−1.0
n=19 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −10.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f0% vs 6.3% · n=30
In Flat races6.4% vs 6.3% · n=78 · A/E 0.82
When claiming6.4% vs 6.3% · n=78 · A/E 0.82
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat7856.4%−2.50
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm2613.8%−15.00
Standard (AW)2015%+21.00
Good16212.5%−2.50
Good to Soft700%−7.00
Soft6116.7%+4.00
Heavy300%−3.00
Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW)1218.3%+29.00
Leicester700%−7.00
Redcar600%−6.00
Lingfield (AW)500%−5.00
Nottingham500%−5.00
Brighton500%−5.00
Ascot500%−5.00
Lingfield300%−3.00
Salisbury300%−3.00
Beverley300%−3.00
Thirsk3133.3%+6.00
Folkestone300%−3.00
Southwell (AW)200%−2.00
Doncaster2150%+8.00
Ripon200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 64337%−18.50
Class 52713.7%+14.00
Class 3500%−5.00
Class 44125%+6.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite6116.7%0.83−1.50
2nd–3rd fav1100%0.00−11.00
4th–6th fav30310%1.27+0.00
7th+ in betting3213.1%0.95+9.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f3000%−30.00
6f – 7f27518.5%+48.50
Under 6f1100%−11.00
1m – 1m1f800%−8.00
1m5f – 2m300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008300%−3.00
2009200%−2.00
2010300%−3.00
2011800%−8.00
20121815.6%−13.50
201320210%+32.00
20147114.3%+3.00
2015900%−9.00
20167114.3%+2.00
2017200%−2.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps7756.5%−1.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners3339.1%+22.50
8-10 runners1815.6%−7.00
14-16 runners1417.1%−5.00
5-7 runners800%−8.00
17+ runners500%−5.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 49 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00·3397070000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→
5
Archived wins
£21,726
Prize money
2013
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
My Kingdom (IRE) — Bookmaker Offers At freebets.co.uk AJA Lady Riders' Handicap (Lady Amateur Riders) Doncaster · Apr 2014 · Class 4
£4,991
Teetotal (IRE) — Ladies' Day Saturday 3rd September Book Now Handicap (Lady Amateur Riders) Thirsk · Aug 2016 · Class 6
£2,496
Magical Speedfit (IRE) — 32 Bonus At 32red.com Amateur Riders' Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Apr 2013 · Class 5
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,381 runs since 2009 (606 horses).
Bold Fact (USA)14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 7.7% of 898 runs since 2008 (53 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.8% from 186.
Exceed and Excel (AUS)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,036 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Diktat (GB)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,054 runs since 2009 (64 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.1% from 214. Weakest on Soft going: 5.2% from 192. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.3% from 218.
Compton Place (GB)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 84 · newest first
The latest 50 of 84 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 May 2006 to 8 July 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Miss Katie Margarson's strike rate?
Miss Katie Margarson has won 5 of 79 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Miss Katie Margarson's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 78 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Miss Katie Margarson·SR 6.3%·A/E 0.81
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