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Trainer profile

Ralph J Smith

71 runners in the last 5 seasons · 15 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2024
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–71
Wins / Runs
5.6%
Strike rate
n=71
18 (25%)
Placed
0.88
Fair A/E
n=71 · 0.75 incl. margin
−39.80
£1 level stake
n=71 at SP · −56.1%
£43,989
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.7%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.1%+1.5
n=14 · A/E 1.52 · £1 −8.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
20%+14.4
n=5 · A/E 4.75 · £1 +0.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.6
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −0.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.7%+1.1
n=15 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −6.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Flat races 5.3% vs 5.6% · n=57 · A/E 0.74
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 57 3 5.3% −40.80
Hurdle 13 1 7.7% +2.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 27 2 7.4% −19.30
Good 15 1 6.7% +0.00
Good to Firm 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Firm 3 1 33.3% +5.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 11 2 18.2% −3.30
Kempton (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Bath 6 1 16.7% +2.50
Lingfield (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Windsor 5 0 0% −5.00
Newbury 4 0 0% −4.00
Ffos Las 4 0 0% −4.00
Chepstow 4 0 0% −4.00
Worcester 3 1 33.3% +12.00
Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Salisbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Southwell (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Leicester 2 0 0% −2.00
Wincanton 1 0 0% −1.00
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 36 2 5.6% −15.50
Class 4 16 1 6.3% −13.80
Class 6 16 1 6.3% −7.50
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.03 −0.80
2nd–3rd fav 10 1 10% 0.60 −4.50
4th–6th fav 16 2 12.5% 1.52 +7.50
7th+ in betting 42 0 0% 0.00 −42.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Kingston Sunflower (FR)from Fergal O'Brien · then Fergal O'Brien 9 0 5 24 Jun 24
Ravenswell (FR)then Paul Robson 8 0 0 4 Jul 24
Harlington (FR)then Joe Tickle 8 0 0 1 Jul 24
Northfield Lake (FR)then Paul Robson 7 0 3 6 Jul 24
Record Art (FR)from Fergal O'Brien · then Fergal O'Brien 6 1 2 17 Jul 24
Kingwood Queen (FR)then Roger Teal 6 1 2 10 Jul 24
Art Approval (FR)from Fergal O'Brien · then Joe Tickle 5 0 2 2 Jul 24
Cosmos Artist (GB) 5 0 0 24 Jun 24
Palace Boy (GER)from Fergal O'Brien · then Barry Brennan 5 2 3 11 May 24
Cutting Edge Queen (FR) 3 0 0 1 May 24
Nuketown (IRE)from Edward Bethell 3 0 0 17 Nov 23
The Bear Of Saints (FR)then Joe Tickle 2 0 1 12 Jul 24
All 15 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 15 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Fergal O'Brien (4); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Joe Tickle (4) and Fergal O'Brien (2); 5 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
200000911000013
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
George Rooke 29 2 6.9% −21.30
Taylor Fisher 8 1 12.5% +0.50
Jack Hogan 4 0 0% −4.00
Edward Greatrex 2 0 0% −2.00
Shane Kelly 2 0 0% −2.00
Caoilin Quinn 2 1 50% +13.00
Liam Harrison 2 0 0% −2.00
Rhys Clutterbuck 2 0 0% −2.00
Miss Leanne Ferguson 2 0 0% −2.00
Sean Houlihan 2 0 0% −2.00
Thomas Greatrex 2 0 0% −2.00
David Probert 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
33
Archived wins
£197k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 8 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Victor's Bet (SPA) — Goodwood Amateur Rider Challenge Handicap (In Memory Of The Late Gay Kindersley) Goodwood · Aug 2014 · Class 5
£6,239
Jewelled (GB) — 32Red.com Fillies' Handicap (AWT) Lingfield (AW) · Jun 2014 · Class 4
£5,175
Palace Boy (GER) — Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Jan 2024 · Class 4
£4,972
Notable horses
Victor's Bet (SPA) Who's That Chick (IRE) Expensive Problem (GB) Two In The Pink (IRE) Goodbye Cash (IRE) Sinchiroka (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Hunter's Light (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,315 runs since 2008 (152 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.5% from 166. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.3% from 158. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.6% from 205. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.3% from 128.
Authorized (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,019 runs since 2008 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,043. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Bow Creek (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 6.9% of 347 runs since 2008 (37 horses).
Recorder (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 5.6% of 900 runs since 2008 (124 horses).
Rio de La Plata (USA) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 10.3% of 1,506 runs since 2008 (152 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.8% from 251.
Caravaggio (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.6% of 1,762 runs since 2008 (201 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.5% from 164.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 655 · newest first

The latest 50 of 655 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 July 2006 to 17 July 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Jul 24 Uttoxeter Record Art (FR)J: Caoilin Quinn Uttoxeter Racecourse Caravan And Motorhome Site Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 7/1
12 Jul 24 Chepstow The Bear Of Saints (FR)J: Taylor Fisher Hi-Tech Event Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 12/1
10 Jul 24 Ffos Las Seeking Charles (FR)J: Taylor Fisher TrustMark Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 28/1
10 Jul 24 Ffos Las Kingwood Queen (FR)J: Taylor Fisher Vickers Bet HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 5th 5/1
06 Jul 24 Nottingham Northfield Lake (FR)J: Taylor Fisher Lesley Matthews Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 13 ran 4th 15/2
04 Jul 24 Newbury Ravenswell (FR)J: John Fahy Future Bound At The Billington Foundation HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 8th 15/2
02 Jul 24 Stratford Art Approval (FR)J: Sean Houlihan Saige Composite Products Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 8/1
01 Jul 24 Worcester Record Art (FR)J: Caoilin Quinn Country Racenight Worcester Racecourse 18th July Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 1st 14/1
01 Jul 24 Pontefract Harlington (FR)J: Miss Leanne Ferguson 22nd Wilfred Underwood Memorial Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 40/1
27 Jun 24 Leicester Ravenswell (FR)J: Taylor Fisher Watch On Racing Tv HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 6 ran UR 9/4
24 Jun 24 Bath Kingston Sunflower (FR)J: David Probert AK Bets Big Prices Big Limits HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Firm · 12 ran 2nd 9/2
24 Jun 24 Bath The Bear Of Saints (FR)J: Taylor Fisher AK Bets Home Of Free Bets Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5.5f · Firm · 8 ran 4th 66/1
24 Jun 24 Bath Kingwood Queen (FR)J: Taylor Fisher Download The AK Bets App HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Firm · 6 ran 1st 15/2
24 Jun 24 Chepstow Cosmos Artist (GB)J: Edward Greatrex Chappy Hour At Yeeehaaa.Bet HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 25/1
23 Jun 24 Ffos Las Northfield Lake (FR)J: George Rooke dragonbet.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 4/1
14 Jun 24 Sandown Northfield Lake (FR)J: George Rooke Stuart Robert Alan Williams Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 3rd 8/1
13 Jun 24 Newbury Harlington (FR)J: George Rooke 100/1 Football Comes Home At BetVictor HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 40/1
11 Jun 24 Salisbury Kingwood Queen (FR)J: Rob Hornby Radcliffe & Co Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 25/1
04 Jun 24 Leicester Harlington (FR)J: Tom Marquand See Blue Live At LeicesterRaces 15th June HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 11/4F
01 Jun 24 Worcester Art Approval (FR)J: Sean Houlihan Give Us A Cheer Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ralph J Smith's strike rate?
Ralph J Smith has won 4 of 71 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Ralph J Smith's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 71 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).