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Jockey profile

Mr A Fitzgerald

185 rides in our archive record, 2005–2007 · 152 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jun 2007
Archive record 2005–2007
No rides from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 2 Jan 2005 to 1 Jun 2007. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
5–185
Wins / Runs
2.7%
Strike rate
n=185
27 (15%)
Placed
0.44
n=185 · 0.29 incl. margin
−147.00
£1 level stake
n=185 at SP · −79.5%
£150k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode 185 times in our archive record (2005–2007), winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.44).

Deterministic profile computed from 185 archived runs (archive record 2005–2007) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Paul Nolan: 3.9% from 51
The read

The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.58 and −114.00 to a £1 stake over 152 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Paul Nolan supplied 28% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (3.9%, A/E 0.42). The rider also read well in Flat races (5.7%, n=35). The market has consistently overbet the rider over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.00 across 53 rides (0% strike, −53.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.7% baseline
When favourite
0%
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.3%+0.6
n=152 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −114.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.7
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 2.7% · n=53
In Flat races 5.7% vs 2.7% · n=35
On Good going 5.4% vs 2.7% · n=37
Over 1m5f – 2m 4.1% vs 2.7% · n=123 · A/E 0.68
With Paul Nolan 3.9% vs 2.7% · n=51 · A/E 0.42
In NH Flat races 2.2% vs 2.7% · n=137 · A/E 0.34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 137 3 2.2% −121.50
Flat 35 2 5.7% −12.50
Chase 7 0 0% −7.00
Hurdle 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 64 2 3.1% −50.00
Heavy 38 1 2.6% −33.00
Good 37 2 5.4% −18.00
Good to Firm 25 0 0% −25.00
Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 23 2 8.7% −0.50
Fairyhouse 18 1 5.6% −11.50
Gowran Park 14 0 0% −14.00
Limerick 12 0 0% −12.00
Naas 11 0 0% −11.00
Clonmel 9 0 0% −9.00
Galway 9 0 0% −9.00
Wexford 8 1 12.5% −4.00
Cork 8 0 0% −8.00
Kilbeggan 8 0 0% −8.00
Tralee 6 1 16.7% −1.00
Sligo 6 0 0% −6.00
Listowel 6 0 0% −6.00
Bellewstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Tipperary 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
2nd–3rd fav 28 4 14.3% 1.20 −5.00
4th–6th fav 52 1 1.9% 0.31 −37.00
7th+ in betting 97 0 0% 0.00 −97.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.9% completed · 13 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 7 57.1% 0 0 3 0 0
Hurdle 6 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mighty Star (IRE) 4 0 3 3 Jun 06
Dul Ar An Ol (IRE) 3 0 2 18 Apr 06
Midnight Gift (IRE) 3 1 2 27 Dec 05
Brens Choice (IRE) 3 0 0 15 Dec 05
Shawe Taylor (IRE) 3 0 0 26 Nov 05
Adastra Lad (IRE) 3 0 1 22 Jul 05
Square Ball (IRE) 3 0 0 4 Jul 05
Premount (IRE) 3 0 0 5 Mar 05
Will If I Want (IRE) 2 0 0 20 Sep 06
Rooftop Protest (IRE) 2 0 0 19 Sep 06
Cruthu Na Putoige (IRE) 2 0 0 9 Jun 06
Fiery Lord (IRE) 2 0 1 9 Apr 06
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 152 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 2005–2007
JFMAMJJASOND
000855000008
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardPaul Nolan
28% of all rides
3.9% SR · A/E 0.42
TrainerRWSR£1
Paul Nolan 51 2 3.9% −32.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£150k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Shuil Aris (IRE) — Bewleys Hotels & EBF NH Fillies Bumper Punchestown · Apr 2006
£49,000
Its A Dream (IRE) — Goffs Land Rover Bumper Punchestown · Apr 2005
£39,350
First Author (IRE) — Drumree (Pro-Am) INH Flat Race Fairyhouse · Dec 2005
£6,910

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lord Americo (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 7.5% of 4,424 runs since 2005 (444 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 10.7% of 19,129 runs since 2005 (1,655 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 17.8% from 107.
Presenting (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 10.9% of 22,747 runs since 2005 (1,876 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24% from 150.
Supreme Leader (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10% of 6,230 runs since 2005 (661 horses).
Anshan (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 8.9% of 6,232 runs since 2005 (572 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.3% from 862.
Arctic Lord (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 6.2% of 2,012 runs since 2005 (162 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 185 · newest first

The latest 50 of 185 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 1 June 2007.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr A Fitzgerald's strike rate?
Mr A Fitzgerald has won 5 of 185 rides between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 2.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
Which yard does Mr A Fitzgerald ride most for?
Paul Nolan, with 51 rides between 2005 and 2007 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.9%).
What is Mr A Fitzgerald's Fair A/E?
0.44, from 185 rides with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008). This profile has no runs from 2008, so every figure on this page counts from the start of the archive instead.