No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).
Deterministic profile computed from 194 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 7.3%Tommy Treacy: 5.2% from 58
The read
Tommy Treacy rode 30% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.2%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well on Good going (14.7%, n=34). The record read poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 40 runners, 6.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.29 across 61 runners (1.6% strike, −52.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Star Wood (IRE) — 6 wins from 26 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.3%+0.6
n=55 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −26.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
5.6%−1.1
n=18 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.7
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8.3%+1.6
n=12 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
25%
n=8 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −3.70
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.1%−1.6
n=78 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −47.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.7
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Good going14.7% vs 6.7% · n=34
On Heavy going0% vs 6.7% · n=40
On Soft going1.6% vs 6.7% · n=61
Over 1m2f – 1m4f3.3% vs 6.7% · n=30
With horses switching code9.5% vs 6.7% · n=42
Over 1m5f – 2m4.5% vs 6.7% · n=67
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle9366.5%−41.20
Flat6058.3%−20.50
NH Flat2528%−8.00
Chase1600%−16.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft6111.6%−52.00
Heavy4000%−40.00
Good34514.7%+10.60
Good to Soft17211.8%+2.00
Standard (AW)1715.9%−9.00
Good to Firm16425%+11.70
Firm900%−9.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Tramore15213.3%+15.00
Dundalk (AW)1516.7%−7.00
Gowran Park14214.3%+2.50
Wexford1417.1%−5.00
Thurles1300%−13.00
Cork1100%−11.00
Punchestown1000%−10.00
Naas8112.5%−5.80
Clonmel800%−8.00
Galway800%−8.00
Limerick700%−7.00
Fairyhouse700%−7.00
Ballinrobe6116.7%+2.00
Listowel600%−6.00
Killarney600%−6.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 11000%−10.00
Class 5200%−2.00
Class 4100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite13215.4%0.80−8.70
2nd–3rd fav28621.4%1.84+21.50
4th–6th fav5347.5%1.08−19.50
7th+ in betting10011%0.33−79.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m6734.5%−28.00
2m1f – 2m4f5658.9%−26.20
1m2f – 1m4f3013.3%−25.00
1m – 1m1f22418.2%+12.50
2m5f – 3m1800%−18.00
6f – 7f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200867710.4%−12.30
20095447.4%−11.00
20102813.6%−25.90
20112114.8%−12.50
20122300%−23.00
2013100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps8144.9%−45.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners7379.6%−2.00
17+ runners6323.2%−49.80
11-13 runners3525.7%−21.00
8-10 runners1616.3%−8.00
5-7 runners6116.7%−3.90
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 36 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 36 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mrs John Harrington (2) and Ms Margaret Mullins (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.
12 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Butler (2); 24 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
060176613900110
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
23
Archived wins
£397k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Settigano (IRE) — ladbrokes.com Premier Handicap Curragh · Jun 2008
Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.
Presenting (GB)7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Sadler's Wells (USA)13.6% · 3–22
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.
Strategic Choice (USA)8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 12.4% of 331 runs since 2008 (28 horses).
Desert Style (IRE)18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,544 runs since 2008 (247 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.7% from 339. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 232.
Oscar (IRE)0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 329 · newest first
The latest 50 of 329 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 July 2005 to 3 January 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Michael Joseph Fitzgerald's strike rate?
Michael Joseph Fitzgerald has won 13 of 194 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Michael Joseph Fitzgerald?
Tommy Treacy, with 58 runners since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.2%).
What is Michael Joseph Fitzgerald's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 194 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Michael Joseph Fitzgerald·SR 6.7%·A/E 1.04
KTB
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