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Trainer profile

Michael McElhone

203 runners in the lifetime window · 31 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2013
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
6–203
Wins / Runs
3%
Strike rate
n=203
34 (17%)
Placed
0.55
Fair A/E
n=203 · 0.42 incl. margin
−136.50
£1 level stake
n=203 at SP · −67.2%
£78,506
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.55).

Deterministic profile computed from 203 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3.4%
The read

The record read poorly in Chase races — 0% over 39 runners, 3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.80 across 75 runners (5.3% strike, −18.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.7%−1.3
n=60 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −57.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
10%+7.0
n=10 · A/E 3.53 · £1 +24.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −0.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.4%+0.4
n=88 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −64.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 0% vs 3% · n=39
On Good going 0% vs 3% · n=32
With horses switching code 0% vs 3% · n=32
Over 2m5f – 3m 0% vs 3% · n=30
In Flat races 5.3% vs 3% · n=75
On Heavy going 5.4% vs 3% · n=56
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 80 2 2.5% −70.50
Flat 75 4 5.3% −18.00
Chase 39 0 0% −39.00
NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 63 1 1.6% −59.50
Heavy 56 3 5.4% −30.00
Good 32 0 0% −32.00
Good to Soft 20 0 0% −20.00
Standard (AW) 14 1 7.1% −11.00
Good to Firm 12 1 8.3% +22.00
Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sligo 26 1 3.8% −22.50
Down Royal 22 0 0% −22.00
Fairyhouse 12 1 8.3% −6.00
Ballinrobe 11 0 0% −11.00
Galway 10 0 0% −10.00
Roscommon 10 1 10% +3.00
Downpatrick 10 0 0% −10.00
Gowran Park 9 0 0% −9.00
Punchestown 9 1 11.1% +25.00
Naas 8 0 0% −8.00
Dundalk (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Navan 7 0 0% −7.00
Limerick 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 7 1 14.3% +0.00
Thurles 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 9 1 11.1% −6.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 1.05 −1.50
2nd–3rd fav 18 3 16.7% 1.27 −2.00
4th–6th fav 42 0 0% 0.00 −42.00
7th+ in betting 138 2 1.4% 0.43 −91.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Hide The Evidence (IRE)from Niall Moran 21 1 3 27 Oct 13
Drinmoy Lad (IRE) 20 2 7 10 Oct 13
Rakamasi (GB) 19 0 3 31 Dec 12
Dooney Rock (IRE)then John Butler 18 1 3 28 Oct 13
Mull On The Run (IRE) 15 0 3 31 Aug 12
Farley's Risk (IRE) 11 0 1 1 Nov 13
Ilikeyou (IRE)then Mark Michael McNiff 10 1 2 25 Feb 09
Sailon Silvergirl (IRE) 8 0 0 18 Jul 11
Dr Knock (IRE) 8 0 2 30 Oct 08
Jack Rio (IRE)then Niall Moran 8 0 2 24 Aug 08
Camolin (IRE)from Enda Kelly 8 0 4 23 Aug 08
Billy The Boot (IRE) 7 0 0 25 Feb 09
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Mark Michael McNiff (2); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
40000404001000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
B M Cash 25 1 4% −19.00
Derek Fox 12 0 0% −12.00
L McNiff 11 0 0% −11.00
Robert Dunne 10 0 0% −10.00
T G M Ryan 9 0 0% −9.00
Willie Supple 9 0 0% −9.00
Ben Curtis 7 0 0% −7.00
Mark Bolger 7 0 0% −7.00
Seamie Heffernan 6 0 0% −6.00
Mr A T Duff 6 1 16.7% −2.50
Martin Harley 5 1 20% −2.00
L P Dempsey 4 1 25% +3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
21
Archived wins
£262k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Ifwhatsowhat (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (70-109) Fairyhouse · Jul 2005
£10,365
Mull On The Run (IRE) — Watree Handicap (60-90) Gowran Park · Oct 2007
£10,365
Mull On The Run (IRE) — Hotel Meyrick Galway Handicap (50-80) Galway · Sep 2007
£10,020
Notable horses
Luxi River (USA) Mull On The Run (IRE) Dr Knock (IRE) Drinmoy Lad (IRE) Amongst Amigos (IRE) Rakamasi (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Carroll House (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 6.2% of 1,033 runs since 2008 (133 horses).
Kheleyf (USA) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,540 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 879.
Rakaposhi King (GB) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 8.9% of 561 runs since 2008 (56 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 5.9% from 118.
Lord Americo (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,189 runs since 2008 (237 horses).
Luso (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
Desert Sun (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,166 runs since 2008 (84 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 513 · newest first

The latest 50 of 513 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 1 November 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Nov 13 Down Royal Farley's Risk (IRE)J: B M Cash Porter & Co. Beginners Chase20f · Yielding · 7 ran PU 50/1
28 Oct 13 Galway Dooney Rock (IRE)J: Sean McDermott John Mulholland Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle (81-130)21.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 6th 20/1
27 Oct 13 Wexford Hide The Evidence (IRE)J: Shane Butler Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 20/1
10 Oct 13 Ayr Hide The Evidence (IRE)J: L McNiff 100 RacingUK Profits Returned To Racing HandicapClass 6 · 13f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 16/1
10 Oct 13 Ayr Drinmoy Lad (IRE)J: L McNiff GBI Racing Service Live In Israel Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 15/2
05 Oct 13 Gowran Park Dooney Rock (IRE)J: Mark Bolger www.gowranpark.ie Handicap Hurdle (grade C)24f · Yielding · 16 ran 11th 25/1
25 Sep 13 Perth Hide The Evidence (IRE)J: Robert Dunne Crabbie's Alcoholic Ginger Beer Claiming HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 12/1
15 Sep 13 Curragh Drinmoy Lad (IRE)J: Conor Hoban Glanbia Handicap6f · Good · 23 ran 10th 25/1
11 Sep 13 Uttoxeter Dooney Rock (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Bet365 Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 4th 12/1
03 Sep 13 Laytown (AW) Drinmoy Lad (IRE)J: W J Lee O'neills Sports Handicap (47-65)6f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 11/2
20 Aug 13 Sligo Drinmoy Lad (IRE)J: W J Lee Tote Jackpot Races 3 To 6 Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)7f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 12/1
08 Aug 13 Sligo Dooney Rock (IRE)J: Mark Bolger Guinness Sligo Handicap Hurdle20f · Yielding · 14 ran 8th 9/1
06 Aug 13 Roscommon Farley's Risk (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Gaaroscommon.ie Beginners Chase21f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 10th 33/1
04 Aug 13 Galway Hide The Evidence (IRE)J: Mark Bolger Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (81-116)18f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 10th 33/1
03 Aug 13 Galway Dooney Rock (IRE)J: A P Heskin Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (Grade C)21.5f · Soft · 20 ran 13th 20/1
31 Jul 13 Galway Dooney Rock (IRE)J: B M Cash 40,000 Tote Jackpot Guarantee Handicap Hurdle (88-130)23.5f · Soft · 17 ran 4th 33/1
31 Jul 13 Galway Hide The Evidence (IRE)J: B M Cash Bet 10 Get 10 At Thetote.com Handicap Hurdle (81-123)20.5f · Soft · 19 ran 11th 33/1
14 Jul 13 Sligo Farley's Risk (IRE)J: Mark Bolger Ladies Day At Sligo 8th August Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)20f · Good · 13 ran 8th 16/1
20 Jun 13 Ffos Las Farley's Risk (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Walters Uk Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 9th 20/1
18 Jun 13 Sligo Drinmoy Lad (IRE)J: L P Dempsey Kilcawley Construction Sligo Handicap (47-65)6.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 5th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael McElhone's strike rate?
Michael McElhone has won 6 of 203 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Michael McElhone's Fair A/E?
0.55, from 203 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).