No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.24).
Deterministic profile computed from 165 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
The read
Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.7% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.33). The yard also read well off a 8-14-day break (20.6%, n=34). The market has also underrated the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 1.74 across 57 runners (12.3% strike, +13.50 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 5.6% over 36 runners, 4.1pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes.com Handicap Hurdle at Fairyhouse (Apr 2010, £58,500). The stable star of the record was Un Hinged (IRE) — 10 wins from 60 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.9%−6.8
n=34 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −21.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.7
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
25%+15.3
n=4 · A/E 5.02 · £1 +22.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
22.2%+12.5
n=9 · A/E 2.97 · £1 +5.00
When favourite
26.7%
n=15 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.7%−7.0
n=37 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −28.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
40%+30.3
n=5 · A/E 10.87 · £1 +31.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break20.6% vs 9.7% · n=34
With claiming riders up2.7% vs 9.7% · n=37
Over 2m1f – 2m4f5.6% vs 9.7% · n=36
With horses switching code6.5% vs 9.7% · n=46
On Soft going12.3% vs 9.7% · n=57
On Good going12.5% vs 9.7% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat7379.6%−18.17
Hurdle55610.9%+11.50
Chase3638.3%−7.00
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft57712.3%+13.50
Heavy3538.6%+0.00
Good32412.5%+4.00
Good to Soft1400%−14.00
Standard (AW)1400%−14.00
Good to Firm11218.2%−2.17
Firm200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Naas1815.6%−3.00
Fairyhouse17317.6%+23.33
Leopardstown1616.3%−7.00
Dundalk (AW)1400%−14.00
Gowran Park13215.4%+3.00
Curragh1218.3%−7.00
Punchestown8112.5%+7.00
Navan8112.5%−2.00
Roscommon700%−7.00
Limerick7114.3%−3.50
Thurles600%−6.00
Ballinrobe6116.7%+7.00
Down Royal5120%−0.50
Galway500%−5.00
Downpatrick4125%+0.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 15240%+31.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite18422.2%1.11−1.50
2nd–3rd fav31412.9%1.10−11.17
4th–6th fav2713.7%0.49−18.00
7th+ in betting8977.9%1.93+16.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m46510.9%+17.50
2m1f – 2m4f3625.6%−23.00
1m2f – 1m4f2813.6%−19.00
6f – 7f20525%+12.83
1m – 1m1f1815.6%−5.00
2m5f – 3m15213.3%+4.00
Under 6f200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20084748.5%−22.50
20091516.7%−2.00
201032618.8%+29.83
201137410.8%−1.00
20122813.6%−13.00
2013600%−6.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1241310.5%+3.83
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners5235.8%−28.50
17+ runners4237.1%−19.67
11-13 runners35514.3%+27.00
8-10 runners31412.9%+5.50
5-7 runners5120%+1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 12 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 12 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 8 had their first archived run for this yard.
5 have since run for another yard, most often for Mrs D J Coleman (3); 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1801118276101017000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
28
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£395k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Un Hinged (IRE) — Ladbrokes.com Handicap Hurdle (grade B) Fairyhouse · Apr 2010 · Grade B
£58,500
Un Hinged (IRE) — Most Stylish Lady Novice Handicap Chase (Grade B) Fairyhouse · Apr 2011 · Grade B
£24,375
Un Hinged (IRE) — Coleman Tunnelling Ireland, U.K. And Africa Handicap Chase Punchestown · May 2012
Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.
Raphane (USA)15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 10.6% of 85 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Even Top (IRE)8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 12% of 266 runs since 2008 (33 horses).
Imperial Ballet (IRE)9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,342 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.2% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 150.
Giant's Causeway (USA)0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 11.6% of 3,018 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 394. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8.3% from 422.
Petardia (GB)0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 11.4% of 184 runs since 2008 (6 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.4% from 110.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 324 · newest first
The latest 50 of 324 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 June 2005 to 22 February 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is John J Coleman's strike rate?
John J Coleman has won 16 of 165 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is John J Coleman's Fair A/E?
1.24, from 165 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
John J Coleman·SR 9.7%·A/E 1.24
KTB
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