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Jockey profile

Mr S Cavanagh

241 rides in the lifetime window · 126 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 135 days ago 92% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
9–241
Wins / Runs
3.7%
Strike rate
n=241
38 (16%)
Placed
0.75
Fair A/E
n=241 · 0.61 incl. margin
−94.25
£1 level stake
n=241 at SP · −39.1%
£141k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.75). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 7% off breaks of two months or more (46 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 241 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.5% Claiming: 3.9%
The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −42.25 to a £1 stake over 126 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The rider also reads well in Chase races (8.6%, n=58). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 0% over 42 rides, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in NH Flat races: Fair A/E 0.31 across 99 rides (1% strike, −92.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.2%−0.5
n=126 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −42.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.1%+7.4
n=9 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +3.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.5%+2.8
n=46 · A/E 1.56 · £1 −23.25
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.9%+0.2
n=230 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −83.25
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.2%+0.5
n=96 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −52.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.7
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 8.6% vs 3.7% · n=58
With Mrs D A Love 9.1% vs 3.7% · n=33
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 3.7% · n=42
In NH Flat races 1% vs 3.7% · n=99
On Good to Soft going 6.5% vs 3.7% · n=31
With C W J Farrell 6.3% vs 3.7% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 99 1 1% −92.00
Hurdle 64 3 4.7% −31.25
Chase 58 5 8.6% +49.00
Flat 20 0 0% −20.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 103 4 3.9% −17.00
Good 61 2 3.3% −42.25
Heavy 42 1 2.4% −29.00
Good to Soft 31 2 6.5% −2.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kilbeggan 25 2 8% −6.25
Limerick 21 0 0% −21.00
Galway 21 0 0% −21.00
Punchestown 20 0 0% −20.00
Clonmel 19 2 10.5% +9.00
Listowel 16 1 6.3% −4.00
Fairyhouse 13 1 7.7% +38.00
Wexford 11 1 9.1% −4.00
Cork 10 0 0% −10.00
Tramore 10 0 0% −10.00
Leopardstown 9 0 0% −9.00
Tipperary 8 0 0% −8.00
Downpatrick 7 1 14.3% +10.00
Sligo 7 0 0% −7.00
Ballinrobe 7 1 14.3% +6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 29 3 10.3% 0.67 −7.25
4th–6th fav 54 3 5.6% 0.99 −10.00
7th+ in betting 154 3 1.9% 0.82 −73.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.1% completed · 122 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 58 77.6% 3 1 9 0 0
Hurdle 64 93.8% 2 1 1 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Newsworthy (IRE) 14 2 6 15 Sep 18
Live Every Day (IRE) 13 1 4 1 Dec 20
Fur Elise (IRE) 9 0 2 5 Dec 19
Jack Aboo (IRE) 8 1 1 13 Apr 15
Il Courra (IRE) 7 1 4 28 Dec 21
Emerald Honours (IRE) 7 0 1 12 Oct 17
Thawmetoesout (IRE) 7 0 1 31 Oct 12
Aspire To Fly (IRE) 6 0 0 11 Sep 19
Go Forty Go (IRE) 5 0 4 26 Jun 17
Dereks Dream (IRE) 4 0 0 26 Jul 24
Mr Dibbs (IRE) 4 0 0 17 May 24
Tinder Dan (IRE) 4 0 0 19 Sep 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 126 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
094056404900
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJohn J Walsh
18% of all rides
2.3% SR · A/E 0.63
TrainerRWSR£1
John J Walsh 43 1 2.3% −26.00
Mrs D A Love 33 3 9.1% +6.00
C W J Farrell 32 2 6.3% −13.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
9
Archived wins
£141k
Prize money
2020
Best season · 2 wins
Newsworthy (IRE) — Breaffy House Resort Handicap Chase Ballinrobe · May 2018
£12,320
Newsworthy (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase Kilbeggan · Jul 2017
£9,240
Hurricane Darwin (IRE) — Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 2) Listowel · Sep 2022
£7,080
Notable horses
Newsworthy (IRE) Live Every Day (IRE) Jack Aboo (IRE) Il Courra (IRE) Big Leg Up (IRE) Hurricane Darwin (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Presenting (GB) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Ask (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,223 runs since 2014 (283 horses).
Shantou (USA) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,845 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Stowaway (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Dilshaan (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.9% of 756 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.5% from 104. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.3% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 144.
Aboo Hom (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 7.1% of 211 runs since 2008 (16 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 241 · newest first

The latest 50 of 241 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 May 2011 to 2 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Jul 26 Limerick Village Star (IRE)T: David M O'Brien INPBA Supporting Irish Racing Flat Race (In Memory Of Jerry McDonnell)16.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 40/1
15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Charlie Shiron (FR)T: Richard J O'Hara Midlands National On 10th July (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 10th 18/1
14 May 26 Clonmel Black Bog Lad (IRE)T: David M O'Brien John Walsh (Mainstown) Memorial Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 7th 25/1
06 Mar 26 Dundalk (AW) Umala (IRE)T: Robson De Aguiar BAR 1 Betting Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight In Shop & Online (Q.R.) Handicap16f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 5/1
28 Dec 25 Leopardstown Rush Slowly (IRE)T: Peter Maher Forest Fest Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 11th 80/1
13 Dec 25 Fairyhouse Myluckymaker (IRE)T: Adrian Murray Irish Stallion Farms EBF 4-Y-O Fillies Flat Race16f · Soft · 17 ran 8th 80/1
06 Nov 25 Clonmel Rush Slowly (IRE)T: Peter Maher racingtv.com/freetrial Flat Race16.5f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 28/1
29 Sep 25 Roscommon Rush Slowly (IRE)T: Peter Maher Connolly's RED MILLS Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 4th 100/1
07 Aug 25 Sligo Rosie Brown (IRE)T: Peter Maher Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18.5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 40/1
30 Jul 25 Galway National Voice (IRE)T: Jessica Bedi Download The Tote App (Q.R.) Maiden12f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 15th 80/1
13 Jul 25 Sligo Rosie Brown (IRE)T: Peter Maher Clayton Hotel Mares Flat Race18.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 25/1
16 Jun 25 Kilbeggan Bossing It (IRE)T: David M O'Brien Watch Every Race Live On Racing TV (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 14 ran 1st 11/4
25 Sep 24 Listowel She's Poetry (IRE)T: Emmet Mullins Listowel Vintners Association Flat Race20f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 80/1
23 Aug 24 Kilbeggan Navy Guitar (IRE)T: Adrian Murray John Thomas McNamara Series Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 6th 11/1
06 Aug 24 Roscommon Quill Energy (IRE)T: Mrs Mary Whelehan Brian Keenan On-Course Bookmaker Flat Race15.5f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 125/1
26 Jul 24 Kilbeggan Dereks Dream (IRE)T: Adrian Murray Hurley Family Maiden Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 5th 66/1
18 May 24 Wexford Ar Aghaidh (IRE)T: Hugh Paul Finegan Wexford Racecourse Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 14 ran 6th 25/1
17 May 24 Kilbeggan Mr Dibbs (IRE)T: Adrian Murray William Hill Epic Value Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)19f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 8th 25/1
22 Apr 24 Tramore Lucky Policy (IRE)T: Paul W Flynn Gaultier Hunters Chase22f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 40/1
22 Apr 24 Tramore Gold Haven (IRE)T: Paul W Flynn West Waterford Handicap Chase (0-95)22f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr S Cavanagh's strike rate?
Mr S Cavanagh has won 9 of 241 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr S Cavanagh's Fair A/E?
0.75, from 241 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).