What is Neil Pollard's strike rate?

Neil Pollard has won 7 of 217 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Neil Pollard do best at?

Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 41 rides (4.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Neil Pollard's Fair A/E?

0.49, from 216 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Neil Pollard

217 rides in the lifetime window · 140 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2024 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

7–217

Wins / Runs

3.2%

Strike rate

n=217

35 (16%)

Placed

0.49

Fair A/E

n=216 · 0.41 incl. margin

−130.88

£1 level stake

n=217 at SP · −60.3%

£50,587

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.49).

Deterministic profile computed from 217 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.51 and −68.00 to a £1 stake over 118 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (10.5%, n=38). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 0% over 38 rides, 3.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.69 across 116 rides (5.2% strike, −32.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.5%−0.7

n=118 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −68.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.5%+9.3

n=8 · A/E 0.79 · £1 +4.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.2%−1.0

n=45 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −33.00

When favourite

16.7%

n=6 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −3.38

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−3.2

n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−3.2

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 8-14-day break 10.5% vs 3.2% · n=38

With Alan McCabe 6.5% vs 3.2% · n=46

In Class 6 5.9% vs 3.2% · n=85

In Class 4 0% vs 3.2% · n=38

Over 6f – 7f 5.8% vs 3.2% · n=86

On Standard (AW) going 5.2% vs 3.2% · n=116

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 116 6 5.2% −32.50

Good to Firm 43 1 2.3% −40.38

Good 29 0 0% −29.00

Good to Soft 15 0 0% −15.00

Soft 12 0 0% −12.00

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 41 2 4.9% −3.00

Southwell (AW) 26 2 7.7% +0.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 18 1 5.6% −10.50

Lingfield (AW) 17 1 5.9% −5.00

Chelmsford (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00

Redcar 11 0 0% −11.00

Nottingham 8 0 0% −8.00

Yarmouth 8 0 0% −8.00

Ripon 7 0 0% −7.00

Leicester 7 1 14.3% −4.38

Doncaster 7 0 0% −7.00

Newmarket 6 0 0% −6.00

Newbury 6 0 0% −6.00

Folkestone 5 0 0% −5.00

Windsor 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 85 5 5.9% −19.88

Class 5 84 2 2.4% −63.00

Class 4 38 0 0% −38.00

Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 8 1 12.5% 0.52 −5.38

2nd–3rd fav 27 0 0% 0.00 −27.00

4th–6th fav 65 3 4.6% 0.63 −31.50

7th+ in betting 117 3 2.6% 0.86 −67.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Elusive Warrior (USA) 8 2 3 30 Sep 08

Rockfield Lodge (IRE) 6 1 3 22 Apr 09

Clueless (GB) 5 0 0 4 Sep 08

Amical Risks (FR) 4 0 0 20 Aug 08

Princess Raya (GB) 4 0 0 15 Aug 08

Street Life (IRE) 4 0 0 11 Aug 08

Steely Dan (GB) 4 1 1 13 May 08

Tenancy (IRE) 4 0 3 13 May 08

Honest Value (IRE) 4 0 2 13 May 08

Course De Diamante (IRE) 3 0 0 29 Jun 09

Johnny McGurk (GB) 3 0 0 21 Oct 08

Scottish Affair (GB) 3 0 0 13 Sep 08

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 140 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

11094050000··

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardAlan McCabe

21% of all rides
6.5% SR · A/E 0.84

TrainerRWSR£1

Alan McCabe 46 3 6.5% −8.00

Willie Musson 36 1 2.8% −28.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£137k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 7 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Hiddensee (USA) — Everards Handicap Leicester · Apr 2005 · Class 3

£12,272

Miss Pebbles (IRE) — Sunley Foundation Fillies Handicap Epsom Downs · Jul 2005 · Class 5

£5,424

Abbey Cat (IRE) — Hull & E Riding Ferret Rescue Maiden Auction Fillies' Stakes Beverley · Jul 2005 · Class 5

£4,771

Notable horses

Elusive Warrior (USA) Duneen Dream (USA) Rockfield Lodge (IRE) Steely Dan (GB) Bold Adventure (GB) Chrystal Venture (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Royal Applause (GB) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Elusive Quality (USA) 25% · 2–8

Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,387 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.9% from 280. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 319.

Tobougg (IRE) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).

Barathea (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).

Lujain (USA) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,688 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 108.

Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,567 runs since 2008 (871 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 639 · newest first

The latest 50 of 639 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 15 September 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Sep 24 Doncaster King Of York (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Graham Lee Vickers.Bet Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 125/1

11 Jul 09 Nottingham Diamond Duchess (IRE)T: David Lanigan E.B.F. Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 4th 66/1

29 Jun 09 Windsor Course De Diamante (IRE)T: David Lanigan Over 50 Instant Games At Totesportgames.com Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 5/1

26 Jun 09 Folkestone Little Meadow (IRE)T: Julia Feilden Bet Irish Derby - Betdaq Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 100/1

11 Jun 09 Newbury Course De Diamante (IRE)T: David Lanigan Christal Management Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 66/1

11 Jun 09 Newbury Recession Proof (FR)T: Simon Callaghan Pertemps Handicap (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 12th 22/1

30 May 09 Goodwood Kidson (USA)T: George Baker Lifetime In Racing HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Good · 12 ran 8th 66/1

28 May 09 Yarmouth Rony Dony (IRE)T: Mark Rimmer EventGuard Staff Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 12th 200/1

25 May 09 Chepstow Transfixed (IRE)T: David Evans sportingbet.com Heros Claiming StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 3/1

21 May 09 Goodwood Course De Diamante (IRE)T: David Lanigan New Horsewalk Restaurant Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 25/1

12 May 09 Lingfield (AW) Bright Wire (IRE)T: Michael Madgwick Crossbill Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 66/1

04 May 09 Kempton (AW) Cyril The Squirrel (GB)T: Karen George williamhill.com Wanna Bet Man Utd? HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 14/1

27 Apr 09 Southwell (AW) Golden Dixie (USA)T: Ronald Harris Book Your Hospitality Packages HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 16/1

27 Apr 09 Southwell (AW) Spic 'n Span (GB)T: Ronald Harris Play Golf Before Racing At Southwell Claiming StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 9/2

22 Apr 09 Kempton (AW) Rockfield Lodge (IRE)T: Ronald Harris Book Conferences On 01932 753518 HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 10/1

22 Apr 09 Epsom Downs Misaro (GER)T: Ronald Harris Blue Square HandicapClass 3 · 5f · Good · 13 ran 11th 33/1

21 Apr 09 Bath Bright Wire (IRE)T: Michael Madgwick Mb Frames Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 7th 50/1

21 Apr 09 Bath Golden Dixie (USA)T: Ronald Harris Kent Building Plastics HandicapClass 4 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 16/1

21 Apr 09 Bath Red Current (GB)T: Ronald Harris Cr Windows Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 10/1

20 Apr 09 Wolverhampton (AW) Ten Pole Tudor (GB)T: Ronald Harris Celebrate Your Birthday At Wolverhampton Racecourse Claiming StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Neil Pollard's strike rate?: Neil Pollard has won 7 of 217 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Neil Pollard do best at?: Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 41 rides (4.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Neil Pollard's Fair A/E?: 0.49, from 216 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.