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Jockey profile

Patrick Wadge

922 rides in the lifetime window · 347 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
111–922
Wins / Runs
12%
Strike rate
n=922
279 (30%)
Placed
1.02
Fair A/E
n=921 · 0.89 incl. margin
−269.33
£1 level stake
n=922 at SP · −29.2%
£1.53m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.2%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (101 rides). Rides mostly for Lucinda Russell — 52% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 922 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec 40.2% when favourite Lucinda Russell: 15.4% from 479 First rides: 13% LTO winners: 22.8% Claiming: 15.2% Rides the favourite in 9% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Wetherby (21.9%, n=32), clear of the rider's 12% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.8% (n=101, Fair A/E 1.26). Lucinda Russell supplies 52% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.4% vs 12%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Heavy going (18.1%, n=83). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2025, £84,405). The standout partner of the record: Traprain Law (FR) — 6 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
13%+1.0
n=347 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −87.63
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
22.8%+10.8
n=101 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +25.65
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10.6%−1.4
n=198 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −48.56
When favourite
40.2%
n=87 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +6.31
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
15.2%+3.2
n=481 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −112.56
Big fields · 14+ runners
10%−2.0
n=100 · A/E 1.48 · £1 −15.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.3%−6.7
n=19 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −15.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 22.8% vs 12% · n=101
At Wetherby 21.9% vs 12% · n=32
With Sandy Forster 5.2% vs 12% · n=58
On Heavy going 18.1% vs 12% · n=83
With Sandy Thomson 18.2% vs 12% · n=33
With Lucinda Russell 15.4% vs 12% · n=479
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 552 65 11.8% −122.35
Chase 310 41 13.2% −108.98
NH Flat 60 5 8.3% −38.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 295 32 10.8% −117.78
Good to Soft 294 32 10.9% −55.47
Soft 243 32 13.2% −67.13
Heavy 83 15 18.1% −21.95
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Perth 145 12 8.3% −64.24
Kelso 132 21 15.9% −25.74
Ayr 131 18 13.7% −31.80
Hexham 85 12 14.1% −32.85
Musselburgh 85 7 8.2% −39.75
Newcastle 81 12 14.8% −10.22
Carlisle 63 7 11.1% −20.22
Wetherby 32 7 21.9% +35.66
Haydock 24 2 8.3% −14.25
Aintree 23 2 8.7% +2.50
Sedgefield 21 1 4.8% −18.00
Cartmel 19 0 0% −19.00
Doncaster 16 2 12.5% −8.42
Cheltenham 13 1 7.7% −5.50
Market Rasen 10 2 20% +2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 411 51 12.4% −113.22
Class 5 271 28 10.3% −100.42
Class 3 125 17 13.6% −55.64
Class 2 80 13 16.3% +24.20
Class 1 32 2 6.3% −21.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 106 39 36.8% 1.13 +1.56
2nd–3rd fav 232 40 17.2% 1.01 −42.39
4th–6th fav 318 23 7.2% 0.88 −96.50
7th+ in betting 266 9 3.4% 0.99 −132.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.5% completed · 862 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 310 80% 10 9 42 1 0
Hurdle 552 85.5% 11 3 66 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Starlyte (IRE) 25 3 8 4 Oct 26
Traprain Law (FR) 22 6 14 18 Apr 26
Idem (FR) 18 6 9 7 Nov 26
Divas Doyen (IRE) 17 1 6 13 Jun 26
Netywell (FR) 17 3 6 7 Mar 26
Serious Operator (IRE) 16 5 6 24 Apr 26
Return Fire (IRE) 15 4 5 14 Apr 25
Bishop Hill (IRE) 14 0 5 16 Aug 25
Spit Spot (GB) 13 2 6 8 Oct 26
Petite Rhapsody (IRE) 12 2 6 19 Aug 23
Rocheval (FR) 11 3 4 27 Oct 26
I Wish You (FR) 11 2 4 15 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 347 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady
3 from 22 13.6% · +1.6pts vs baseline
Last 14 days13.6%
Lifetime base12%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
9121999312713101615
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardLucinda Russell
52% of all rides
15.4% SR · A/E 1.12
TrainerRWSR£1
Lucinda Russell 479 74 15.4% −98.68
Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore 161 15 9.3% −59.65
Sandy Forster 58 3 5.2% −36.50
Sandy Thomson 33 6 18.2% +13.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
111
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.53m
Prize money
2023
Best season · 46 wins
Myretown (IRE) — Ultima Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2025 · Class 1
£84,405
Czech Her Out (IRE) — Jordan Electrics Ltd Seafield Trophy Mares' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2024 · Class 2
£23,148
Myretown (IRE) — Edinburgh Gin Steeple Chase (a Limited Handicap) (gbb Race) Kelso · Oct 2026 · Class 2
£20,812
Notable horses
Traprain Law (FR) Idem (FR) Serious Operator (IRE) Return Fire (IRE) Starlyte (IRE) Netywell (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Malinas (GER) 11.5% · 6–52
Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,965 runs since 2010 (420 horses).
Sir Percy (GB) 13.3% · 6–45
Progeny have won 11.2% of 7,154 runs since 2011 (473 horses).
Jet Away (GB) 14.3% · 4–28
Progeny have won 11.3% of 2,566 runs since 2018 (277 horses).
Shirocco (GER) 7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,206 runs since 2010 (927 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Doyen (IRE) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,391 runs since 2009 (607 horses).
Milan (GB) 13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,890 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 922 · newest first

The latest 50 of 922 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 August 2020 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Nov 26 Ayr Whistle Stop Tour (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Coral "We're Here For It" Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 1st 15/2
11 Nov 26 Ayr Allfor (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore "Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free" Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 5/2F
11 Nov 26 Ayr Dreamings Free (IRE)T: Daniel Bourne Coral "Daily Rewards Shaker" Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 25/1
09 Nov 26 Carlisle Afraidso (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Book Your Christmas Party Here Mares' Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 16/1
07 Nov 26 Aintree Charlie Burnside (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore William Hill Extra Places Every Day "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 15/2
07 Nov 26 Aintree Idem (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 16/1
07 Nov 26 Aintree Cossack Chach (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 28/1
06 Nov 26 Hexham Jet Noir (IRE)T: Jackie Stephen Debra Corner Happy Birthday Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 10/1
06 Nov 26 Hexham Jeu De Maine (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore carpetgallop.co.uk Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 3/1
06 Nov 26 Hexham Kool Raoul (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore carpetgallop.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 1st 7/2
06 Nov 26 Hexham Hombre De Guerra (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore carpetgallop.co.uk Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 5/2
06 Nov 26 Hexham C'mon So (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore carpetgallop.co.uk Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 13/8F
05 Nov 26 Newcastle Ozzy Cosmo (IRE)T: N. W. Alexander Equine Products National Hunt Trainers League Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 22/1
05 Nov 26 Newcastle Humble Jumble (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Get Raceday Ready Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 4th 17/2
05 Nov 26 Newcastle Ludois (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 4/1
01 Nov 26 Carlisle Egbert (GB)T: Sandy Thomson Pricedup Boosts And Bog Cumberland Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 26f · Good · 8 ran 7th 20/1
01 Nov 26 Carlisle Lauvergnat (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Pricedup Now With Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 16/1
31 Oct 26 Ayr Bray Dale (GB)T: Catch Bissett Hogmanay Ball At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 80/1
31 Oct 26 Ayr Dancing Fruits (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson '3b Crane Hire Trick Or Trot' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 17/2
31 Oct 26 Ayr Knomorediamonds (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore United Council Of Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 3/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 20 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 11 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Patrick Wadge's strike rate?
Patrick Wadge has won 111 of 922 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick Wadge do best at?
Wetherby by strike rate: 7 wins from 32 rides (21.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Patrick Wadge ride most for?
Lucinda Russell, with 479 rides since 2008 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 74 (15.4%).
Is Patrick Wadge in form?
In the last 14 days: 22 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 13.6%. That is in line with the baseline of 12% since 2008.
What is Patrick Wadge's Fair A/E?
1.02, from 921 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).