What is Ryan Hatch's strike rate?

Ryan Hatch has won 78 of 694 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ryan Hatch do best at?

Ffos Las by strike rate: 6 wins from 30 rides (20%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ryan Hatch ride most for?

Nigel Twiston-Davies, with 487 rides since 2008 — 70% of the total. That pairing has won 66 (13.6%).

What is Ryan Hatch's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 694 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ryan Hatch

694 rides in the lifetime window · 319 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Dec 2016 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

78–694

Wins / Runs

11.2%

Strike rate

n=694

208 (30%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=694 · 0.86 incl. margin

−202.42

£1 level stake

n=694 at SP · −29.2%

£1.08m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (73 rides). Rode mostly for Nigel Twiston-Davies — 70% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 694 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 35.4% when favourite Nigel Twiston-Davies: 13.6% from 487 LTO winners: 20.5% Rode the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ffos Las (20%, n=30), clear of the rider's 11.2% baseline. It is weakest at Warwick (2.9% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.5% (n=73, Fair A/E 1.14). Nigel Twiston-Davies supplied 70% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13.6% vs 11.2%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well over 1m5f – 2m (17.5%, n=183). The record read poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 6.4% over 188 rides, 4.8pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury (Feb 2014, £86,849).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.3%−0.9

n=319 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −76.84

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20.5%+9.3

n=73 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +0.42

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.6%−1.6

n=136 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −58.00

When favourite

35.4%

n=65 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −1.66

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.2%+0.0

n=600 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −182.67

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.2%−2.0

n=131 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −9.05

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.1%−1.1

n=69 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +7.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 20.5% vs 11.2% · n=73

Over 1m5f – 2m 17.5% vs 11.2% · n=183

With first-time headgear 2.8% vs 11.2% · n=36

At Ffos Las 20% vs 11.2% · n=30

At Warwick 2.9% vs 11.2% · n=35

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 6.4% vs 11.2% · n=188

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 380 48 12.6% −50.52

Chase 264 23 8.7% −135.66

NH Flat 48 7 14.6% −14.24

Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 243 28 11.5% −83.50

Soft 185 22 11.9% −29.17

Good to Soft 168 18 10.7% −63.10

Heavy 78 9 11.5% −9.90

Good to Firm 20 1 5% −16.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 52 9 17.3% +11.85

Cheltenham 50 5 10% −12.25

Stratford 40 4 10% −9.62

Worcester 37 4 10.8% −21.88

Ludlow 35 4 11.4% −26.09

Chepstow 35 5 14.3% −12.05

Warwick 35 1 2.9% −31.75

Towcester 31 3 9.7% −14.50

Ffos Las 30 6 20% −0.42

Aintree 28 5 17.9% +8.50

Newbury 27 3 11.1% +15.83

Southwell 27 4 14.8% −15.45

Huntingdon 26 1 3.8% −23.00

Haydock 24 1 4.2% −15.50

Kempton 21 2 9.5% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 256 34 13.3% −69.16

Class 5 141 14 9.9% −42.69

Class 3 133 10 7.5% −84.67

Class 1 73 7 9.6% +3.75

Class 2 48 8 16.7% +8.00

Class 6 43 5 11.6% −17.65

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 80 25 31.3% 1.12 −7.16

2nd–3rd fav 181 34 18.8% 1.12 −7.76

4th–6th fav 238 14 5.9% 0.74 −94.50

7th+ in betting 195 5 2.6% 0.74 −93.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

79.5% completed · 644 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 264 67% 20 15 47 3 2

Hurdle 380 88.2% 8 7 29 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Splash of Ginge (GB) 12 1 1 25 Nov 16

Cogry (GB) 11 1 4 9 Dec 16

Blaklion (GB) 11 4 7 26 Nov 16

Frontier Spirit (IRE) 11 1 3 4 Apr 15

Little Jon (GB) 10 1 3 26 Nov 16

Double Ross (IRE) 10 1 3 23 Oct 16

Bally Beaufort (IRE) 10 3 3 20 Feb 16

Flying Angel (IRE) 9 1 4 11 Nov 16

Lodgician (IRE) 9 0 4 30 Aug 14

Millicent Silver (GB) 8 3 4 4 Dec 16

Thunder Sheik (IRE) 8 3 3 13 Nov 16

Algernon Pazham (IRE) 7 1 3 15 Mar 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 319 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

210159045161122813

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNigel Twiston-Davies

70% of all rides
13.6% SR · A/E 1.08

TrainerRWSR£1

Nigel Twiston-Davies 487 66 13.6% −99.80

Graeme McPherson 39 6 15.4% +15.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.08m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 30 wins

Splash of Ginge (GB) — Betfair Hurdle (Grade 3 Handicap) Newbury · Feb 2014 · Grade 3

£86,849

Blaklion (GB) — RSA Chase (Grade 1 Novices' Chase) Cheltenham · Mar 2016 · Grade 1

£85,425

Ballyoptic (IRE) — Doom Bar Sefton Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) Aintree · Apr 2016 · Grade 1

£56,270

Notable horses

Blaklion (GB) Bally Beaufort (IRE) Millicent Silver (GB) Thunder Sheik (IRE) Ballyoptic (IRE) Ballymalin (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 26.2% · 11–42

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

King's Theatre (IRE) 9.1% · 3–33

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Oscar (IRE) 10% · 3–30

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Old Vic (GB) 22.2% · 6–27

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Presenting (GB) 18.2% · 4–22

Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Milan (GB) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,848 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 694 · newest first

The latest 50 of 694 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 December 2010 to 9 December 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Dec 16 Cheltenham Cogry (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Unicoin Group Handicap Chase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 26f · Good · 12 ran F 8/1

08 Dec 16 Taunton Alexander The Grey (GB)T: Graeme McPherson Dave Criddle Travel & Titan Tours Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 19f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 20/1

06 Dec 16 Uttoxeter Make Me A Fortune (IRE)T: Steve Gollings At UttoxeterTwit Interactive Novices' Limited Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 20/1

04 Dec 16 Kelso Millicent Silver (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Persimmon Homes Scottish Borders National Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 32.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran BD 7/1

03 Dec 16 Aintree Howlongisafoot (IRE)T: Chris Gordon Betfred Grand Sefton Handicap Chase (National Course)Class 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 17 ran F 33/1

03 Dec 16 Aintree Florrie Boy (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Betfred 'home Of Goals Galore' Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 9/2

03 Dec 16 Aintree Cogry (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Betfred Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (National Course)Class 1 · 26f · Good To Soft · 22 ran UR 12/1

01 Dec 16 Market Rasen Crafty Roberto (GB)T: Alex Hales 1stsecuritysolutions.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 8/1

01 Dec 16 Market Rasen Crookstown (IRE)T: Ben Case Read Bryan Cooper At 32Red.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 12/1

01 Dec 16 Market Rasen Hepburn (GB)T: Ali Stronge 32Red Casino Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 100/1

30 Nov 16 Ffos Las Horseguardsparade (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Made In Cardiff Tv Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 16/1

30 Nov 16 Ffos Las Gulshanigans (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Konica Minolta Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 8/1

26 Nov 16 Newbury Blaklion (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Hennessy Gold Cup Chase (Grade 3 Handicap)Class 1 · 26f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 5th 13/2

26 Nov 16 Newbury Little Jon (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Sir Peter O'sullevan Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 7th 25/1

25 Nov 16 Newbury Splash of Ginge (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Bet365 Open Handicap ChaseClass 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 8/1

25 Nov 16 Newbury Ballyoptic (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies bet365 Long Distance Hurdle (Grade 2)Class 1 · 24f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 5/2F

24 Nov 16 Towcester Verygoodverygood (FR)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Agetur Uk Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 21f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 6/4F

23 Nov 16 Hereford Novemberstorm (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies bet365 Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 25.5f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 8/1

21 Nov 16 Ludlow Better Days (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Heath Farm Meats, Bagginswood Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 9 ran F 11/1

21 Nov 16 Ludlow Crievehill (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies toteplacepot Racing's Favourite Bet Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 10/3

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ryan Hatch's strike rate?: Ryan Hatch has won 78 of 694 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ryan Hatch do best at?: Ffos Las by strike rate: 6 wins from 30 rides (20%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ryan Hatch ride most for?: Nigel Twiston-Davies, with 487 rides since 2008 — 70% of the total. That pairing has won 66 (13.6%).
What is Ryan Hatch's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 694 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.